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Interdependent Hazards, Local Interactions, and the Return Decision of Recent Migrants

Author

Listed:
  • Govert Bijwaard

    (Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute)

  • Christian Schluter

    (Centre de la Vieille Charite)

Abstract

Consider the duration of stay of migrants in a host country. We propose a statistical model of locally interdependent hazards in order to examine whether interactions at the level of the neighbourhood are present and lead to social multipliers. To this end, we propose and study a new two-stage estimation strategy based on an inverted linear rank test statistic. Using a unique large administrative panel dataset for the population of recent labour immigrants to the Netherlands, we quantify the local social multipliers in several factual and counterfactual experiments, and demonstrate that these can be substantial.

Suggested Citation

  • Govert Bijwaard & Christian Schluter, 2016. "Interdependent Hazards, Local Interactions, and the Return Decision of Recent Migrants," RF Berlin - CReAM Discussion Paper Series 1620, Rockwool Foundation Berlin (RF Berlin) - Centre for Research and Analysis of Migration (CReAM).
    • Handle: RePEc:crm:wpaper:1620
    as

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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    6. Bijwaard Govert E. & Ridder Geert & Woutersen Tiemen, 2013. "A Simple GMM Estimator for the Semiparametric Mixed Proportional Hazard Model," Journal of Econometric Methods, De Gruyter, vol. 2(1), pages 1-23, July.
    7. David McKenzie & Hillel Rapoport, 2010. "Self-Selection Patterns in Mexico-U.S. Migration: The Role of Migration Networks," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 92(4), pages 811-821, November.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    interdependent hazards; local interaction; social multipliers; return migration;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C41 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Duration Analysis; Optimal Timing Strategies
    • C10 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - General
    • C31 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models; Quantile Regressions; Social Interaction Models
    • J61 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Geographic Labor Mobility; Immigrant Workers

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