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Financial Black-Holes: The Interaction of Financial Regulation and Bailout Guarantees

Author

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  • Tornell, Aaron
  • Rancière, Romain

Abstract

This paper argues that the U.S. financial crisis is a new type of crisis: a "financial black hole." Financial black holes are characterized by the breaking-up of credit market discipline and the large-scale financing of negative NPV projects. In a theoretical model, we explain how the combination of perceived government guarantees and the ability to issues catastrophe-bond-like liabilities generate financial black holes. We then show that the stylized facts of the U.S. economy are consistent with a financial black hole equilbrium.

Suggested Citation

  • Tornell, Aaron & Rancière, Romain, 2011. "Financial Black-Holes: The Interaction of Financial Regulation and Bailout Guarantees," CEPR Discussion Papers 8248, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:8248
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Atif Mian & Amir Sufi, 2009. "The Consequences of Mortgage Credit Expansion: Evidence from the U.S. Mortgage Default Crisis," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 124(4), pages 1449-1496.
    2. Landier, Augustin & Sraer, David & Thesmar, David, 2010. "Going for broke: New Century Financial Corporation, 2004-2006," TSE Working Papers 10-199, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE).
    3. Joshua Coval & Jakub Jurek & Erik Stafford, 2009. "The Economics of Structured Finance," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 23(1), pages 3-25, Winter.
    4. Romain Rancière & Aaron Tornell & Frank Westermann, 2008. "Systemic Crises and Growth," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 123(1), pages 359-406.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Fabrizio De Francesco & Martino Maggetti, 2018. "Assessing disproportionality: indexes of policy responses to the 2007–2008 banking crisis," Policy Sciences, Springer;Society of Policy Sciences, vol. 51(1), pages 17-38, March.
    2. Stijn Claessens & M. Ayhan Kose, 2013. "Financial Crises: Explanations, Types and Implications," CAMA Working Papers 2013-06, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    3. Priyank Gandhi & Hanno Lustig, 2010. "Size Anomalies in U.S. Bank Stock Returns: A Fiscal Explanation," NBER Working Papers 16553, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Bailout guarantees; Derivatives; Financial crisis; Financial regulation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity
    • E60 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - General
    • F34 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Lending and Debt Problems
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G18 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Government Policy and Regulation

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