IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/cop/wpaper/g-319.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Expanding Global Bev to enhance analysis of trade policy, COVID impacts and other wine industry issues

Author

Listed:
  • Glyn Wittwer

Abstract

The Global Bev Model is a partial equilibrium model of various wine types plus beer and spirits. This paper summarises four enhancements to the model. First, each still wine type is split into red and white. This is relevant in response to the prohibitive tariff imposed by China on Australian wine imports. Second, an on-premise sector is added to improve the depiction of wine consumption in the model. During COVID, lockdowns and social restrictions have resulted in marked reductions in hotel and restaurant activity, with a corresponding reduction in on-premise wine consumption. Now, the impacts on on-premise and off-premise can be analysed separately. Third, given the importance of interstate exports of wine from California to the rest of the nation, California is split from the rest of USA in the global model. Finally, a top-down module has been added to the model to capture sub-national impacts in Australia and sub-state impacts in California.

Suggested Citation

  • Glyn Wittwer, 2021. "Expanding Global Bev to enhance analysis of trade policy, COVID impacts and other wine industry issues," Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre Working Papers g-319, Victoria University, Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre.
    • Handle: RePEc:cop:wpaper:g-319
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.copsmodels.com/ftp/workpapr/g-319.pdf
    File Function: Initial version, 2021-09
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.copsmodels.com/elecpapr/g-319.htm
    File Function: Local abstract: may link to additional material.
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Kym Anderson & Kimie Harada, 2019. "How Much Wine Is Really Produced and Consumed in China, Hong Kong, and Japan?," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Kym Anderson (ed.), The International Economics of Wine, chapter 15, pages 379-404, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    2. Mark Horridge, 2011. "The TERM model and its data base," Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre Working Papers g-219, Victoria University, Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre.
    3. Wittwer, Glyn & Anderson, Kym, 2020. "A Model of Global Beverage Markets," Journal of Wine Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 15(3), pages 330-354, August.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Glyn Wittwer, 2021. "Expanding the Global Bev Model to enhance analysis of trade policy, COVID impacts and other wine industry issues," Wine Economics Research Centre Working Papers 2021-05, University of Adelaide, Wine Economics Research Centre.
    2. Kym Anderson, 2025. "China s wine market: Recent shocks, long-term prospects," Departmental Working Papers 2025-08, The Australian National University, Arndt-Corden Department of Economics.
    3. Bohlmann, H.R. & Horridge, J.M. & Inglesi-Lotz, R. & Roos, E.L. & Stander, L., 2019. "Regional employment and economic growth effects of South Africa’s transition to low-carbon energy supply mix," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 128(C), pages 830-837.
    4. Francois J. Stofberg & Jan H. van Heerden, 2015. "The Short Term Economic Impact of Levying E-Tolls on Industries," Working Papers 201527, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Francois Jacobus Stofberg & Jan Van Heerden, 2016. "The Short-Term Economic Impact of Levying E-Tolls on Industries," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 84(4), pages 574-593, December.
    6. Elberry, Ahmed M. & Garaffa, Rafael & Faaij, André & van der Zwaan, Bob, 2024. "A review of macroeconomic modelling tools for analysing industrial transformation," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 199(C).
    7. Honkatukia, Juha, 2013. "The VATTAGE Regional Model VERM - A Dynamic, Regional, Applied General Equilibrium Model of the Finn," Research Reports 171, VATT Institute for Economic Research.
    8. Francois Jacobus Stofberg & Jan Horn van Heerden & Heinrich Bohlmann, 2020. "A fiscus for better economic and social development in South Africa," ERSA Working Paper Series, Economic Research Southern Africa, vol. 0.
    9. Francois J. Stofberg & Jan H. van Heerden & Heinrich R. Bohlmann, 2020. "A Fiscus for Better Economic and Social Development in South Africa," Working Papers 202072, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    10. Standardi, Gabriele & Turdyeva, Natalia, 2019. "Testing a methodology to split a national SAM and compute intra-national trade flows: an application for the Russian regions," Conference papers 333050, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    11. Wittwer, Glyn & Anderson, Kym, 2021. "COVID-19 and Global Beverage Markets: Implications for Wine," Journal of Wine Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 16(2), pages 117-130, May.
    12. Lagemann, Andreas & Sacht, Stephen, 2025. "The effects of establishing a hydrogen industry in Northern Germany," HWWI Working Paper Series 3/2025, Hamburg Institute of International Economics (HWWI).
    13. Glyn Wittwer & Kym Anderson, 2022. "Enhancing a model of global beverage markets," Wine Economics Research Centre Working Papers 2022-04, University of Adelaide, Wine Economics Research Centre.
    14. Kym Anderson, 2020. "Asia’S Emergence In Global Beverage Markets: The Rise Of Wine," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 65(04), pages 755-779, June.
    15. Diniz, Tiago & Ferreira-Filho, Joaquim Bento & Horridge, Mark, 2018. "Economic and regional impacts of investments in electricity generation in Brazil," Conference papers 332933, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    16. Wittwer, Glyn & Anderson, Kym, 2020. "A Model of Global Beverage Markets," Journal of Wine Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 15(3), pages 330-354, August.
    17. Ashkan Masouman & Charles Harvie, 2020. "Forecasting, impact analysis and uncertainty propagation in regional integrated models: A case study of Australia," Environment and Planning B, , vol. 47(1), pages 65-83, January.
    18. Glyn Wittwer & Kym Anderson, 2021. "COVID‐19’s impact on Australian wine markets and regions," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 65(4), pages 822-847, October.
    19. Stofberg, F.J. & van Heerden, J.H. & Horridge, M. & Roos, L., 2022. "A fiscus for better economic and social development in South Africa," Conference papers 333392, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    20. Arief A. Yusuf & Elizabeth L. Roos & Jonathan M. Horridge, 2018. "Indonesia's Moratorium on Palm Oil Expansion from Natural Forests: Economy-Wide Impacts and the Role of International Transfers," Asian Development Review, MIT Press, vol. 35(2), pages 85-112, September.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • C68 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computable General Equilibrium Models
    • F17 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Forecasting and Simulation
    • Q17 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Agriculture in International Trade

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:cop:wpaper:g-319. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Mark Horridge (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/cpmonau.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.