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Efecto de los Ingresos Permanentes sobre el Delito: Un Enfoque Espacial y un Caso de Aplicación

Author

Listed:
  • Catalina Gómez Toro
  • Hermilson Velásquez
  • Joaquín Andrés Urrego
  • Juan David Valderrama

Abstract

En este artículo se analiza el impacto que sobre los delitos en una unidad espacial y en sus vecinos ejerce un incremento en los ingresos permanentes. Diferentes especificaciones de modelos de panel espacial permiten recoger los efectos de la distribución espacial y del ingreso sobre la variable de interés. Un caso de aplicación para Medellín permite afirmar que un aumento del 1% en los ingresos permanentes en las comunas reduce en promedio el 0,67% los delitos y el efecto sobre sus vecinos es significativo y variable. Pruebas de robustez evidencian la bondad de los resultados y la adecuación del modelo al proceso generador de los datos. ****** This paper analyzes the impact of increment in the permanent income on crime in each spatial unit and their neighbors. Different specifications of spatial panel data are estimated to capture the effects of spatial distribution and income on crime. In the particular case of Medellin, the estimated impact of increase 1% in permanent income in specific commune is a decrease in crime near to 0,67%, and the effects of each neighbor are variable and significant. Tests statistics can show the robustness of the conclusions and the adequate specification of the model.

Suggested Citation

  • Catalina Gómez Toro & Hermilson Velásquez & Joaquín Andrés Urrego & Juan David Valderrama, 2014. "Efecto de los Ingresos Permanentes sobre el Delito: Un Enfoque Espacial y un Caso de Aplicación," Documentos de Trabajo de Valor Público 10900, Universidad EAFIT.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000122:010900
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    anel espacial; delito; ingreso; Medellín;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • K4 - Law and Economics - - Legal Procedure, the Legal System, and Illegal Behavior
    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • R12 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Size and Spatial Distributions of Regional Economic Activity; Interregional Trade (economic geography)
    • R23 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Regional Migration; Regional Labor Markets; Population

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