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Sustainability of Latin American Fiscal Deficits: A Panel Data Approach

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  • Jacobo Campo Robledo
  • Luis Fernando Melo Velandia

Abstract

This paper evaluates the fiscal sustainability hypothesis for eight Latin Americancountries for the period 1960 - 2009: Argentina, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Panama, Peru, Paraguayand Uruguay. Using second generation cointegration panel data models, we test whether governmentrevenues and primary expenditures are sustainable in the long run. This methodology allowsfor cross-sectional dependence among countries and is appropriate under the existence of potentialstructural breaks. We found empirical evidence of sustainability of the primary deficit for theseLatin American countries but only in a weak sense.

Suggested Citation

  • Jacobo Campo Robledo & Luis Fernando Melo Velandia, 2011. "Sustainability of Latin American Fiscal Deficits: A Panel Data Approach," Borradores de Economia 9106, Banco de la Republica.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000094:009106
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    Cited by:

    1. Tran, Ngan, 2018. "Debt threshold for fiscal sustainability assessment in emerging economies," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 40(2), pages 375-394.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Fiscal Sustainability; Panel Unit Root tests; Panel Cointegration tests; Structural Change.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • H62 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Deficit; Surplus

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