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Sustainability of Latin American Fiscal Deficits: A Panel Data Approach

  • Jacobo Campo Robledo

    ()

  • Luis Fernando Melo Velandia

    ()

This paper evaluates the fiscal sustainability hypothesis for eight Latin Americancountries for the period 1960 - 2009: Argentina, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Panama, Peru, Paraguayand Uruguay. Using second generation cointegration panel data models, we test whether governmentrevenues and primary expenditures are sustainable in the long run. This methodology allowsfor cross-sectional dependence among countries and is appropriate under the existence of potentialstructural breaks. We found empirical evidence of sustainability of the primary deficit for theseLatin American countries but only in a weak sense.

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Paper provided by BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA in its series BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA with number 009106.

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Length: 16
Date of creation: 12 Dec 2011
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:col:000094:009106
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  1. Christophe Rault & Antonio Alfonso, 2007. "What do we really know about fiscal sustainability in the EU? A panel data diagnostic," William Davidson Institute Working Papers Series wp893, William Davidson Institute at the University of Michigan.
  2. Haug, Alfred A, 1991. "Cointegration and Government Borrowing Constraints: Evidence for the United States," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 9(1), pages 97-101, January.
  3. Antonio Afonso, 2004. "Fiscal Sustainability: the Unpleasant European Case," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2004 57, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
  4. Ignacio Lozano & Enrique Cabrera, 2009. "Una nota sobre la sostenibilidad fiscal y el nexo entre los ingresos y gastos del Gobierno Colombiano," BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA 006126, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA.
  5. Suzanne McCoskey & Chihwa Kao, 1998. "A residual-based test of the null of cointegration in panel data," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(1), pages 57-84.
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