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Non-economic factors in violence: Evidence from organized crime, suicides and climate in Mexico

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  • Baysan, Ceren
  • Burke, Marshall
  • González, Felipe
  • Hsiang, Solomon
  • Miguel, Edward

Abstract

Organized intergroup violence is almost universally modeled as a calculated act motivated by economic factors. In contrast, it is generally assumed that non-economic factors, such as an individual's emotional state, play a role in many types of interpersonal violence, such as “crimes of passion.” We ask whether non-economic factors can also explain the well-established relationship between temperature and violence in a unique context where intergroup killings by drug-trafficking organizations (DTOs) and other interpersonal homicides are separately documented. A constellation of evidence, including the limited influence of a cash transfer program as well as comparisons with both other DTO crime and suicides, indicate that economic factors only partially mitigate the relationship between temperature and violence that we estimate in Mexico. We argue that non-economic psychological and physiological factors that are affected by temperature, modeled here as a “taste for violence,” likely play an important role in causing both interpersonal and intergroup violence.

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  • Baysan, Ceren & Burke, Marshall & González, Felipe & Hsiang, Solomon & Miguel, Edward, 2019. "Non-economic factors in violence: Evidence from organized crime, suicides and climate in Mexico," Department of Economics, Working Paper Series qt2dq6v0ch, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley.
  • Handle: RePEc:cdl:econwp:qt2dq6v0ch
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    5. Silverio-Murillo, Adan & Balmori-de-la-Miyar, Jose & Sobrino, Fernanda & Prudencio, Daniel, 2024. "Do earthquakes increase or decrease crime?," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 182(C).
    6. Figari, Sebastián, 2025. "Climate change response: Input adjustment in agriculture," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 175(C).
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    10. Nikolai Cook, Taylor Wright, 2024. "Don’t Lose Your Cool: Temperature and Gun-Violence in North America," LCERPA Working Papers jc0146, Laurier Centre for Economic Research and Policy Analysis, revised 2024.

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