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The Looming Threat of Tariff Hikes: Entry into Exporting Under Trade Agreement Renegotiation

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Listed:
  • Crowley, M. A.
  • Exton, O.
  • Han, L.

Abstract

Since the end of World War II, trade policy around the world has been characterized by a tendency toward greater liberalization. Among developed countries, almost all reductions in import tariffs and relaxation of quantitative restrictions have been negotiated under multilateral, preferential, or bilataral trade agreements. Countries engaged in these negotiations have sought to reduce trade barriers relative to the existing level of protectin - the threat point in the event of a breakdown in negotiations has generally been a continuation of the status quo.

Suggested Citation

  • Crowley, M. A. & Exton, O. & Han, L., 2020. "The Looming Threat of Tariff Hikes: Entry into Exporting Under Trade Agreement Renegotiation," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2016, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    • Handle: RePEc:cam:camdae:2016
    Note: mc865, lh420, oe219
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    2. Crowley, Meredith & Meng, Ning & Song, Huasheng, 2018. "Tariff scares: Trade policy uncertainty and foreign market entry by Chinese firms," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 96-115.
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    4. Crowley, M. A. & Exton, O. & Han, L., 2018. "Renegotiation of Trade Agreements and Firm Exporting Decisions: Evidence from the Impact of Brexit on UK Exports," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 1839, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    5. Kyle Handley & Nuno Limão, 2018. "Trade and Investment under Policy Uncertainty: Theory and Firm Evidence," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Policy Externalities and International Trade Agreements, chapter 4, pages 89-122, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    6. Subramanian, Arvind & Wei, Shang-Jin, 2007. "The WTO promotes trade, strongly but unevenly," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 72(1), pages 151-175, May.
    7. Alejandro G Graziano & Kyle Handley & Nuno Limão, 2021. "Brexit Uncertainty and Trade Disintegration," The Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 131(635), pages 1150-1185.
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    11. Peter Egger & Mario Larch & Kevin E. Staub & Rainer Winkelmann, 2011. "The Trade Effects of Endogenous Preferential Trade Agreements," American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, American Economic Association, vol. 3(3), pages 113-143, August.
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    Cited by:

    1. Mustapha Douch & Terence Huw Edwards, 2022. "The bilateral trade effects of announcement shocks: Brexit as a natural field experiment," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(2), pages 305-329, March.
    2. Freeman, Rebecca & Manova, Kalina & Prayer, Thomas & Sampson, Thomas, 2022. "UK trade in the wake of Brexit," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 117855, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    3. Josh De Lyon & Swati Dhingra, 2020. "Covid-19 and Brexit: Real-time updates on business performance in the United Kingdom," CEP Covid-19 Analyses cepcovid-19-006, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
    4. Jakubik, Adam & Ruta, Michele, 2023. "Trading with friends in uncertain times," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 45(4), pages 768-780.
    5. de Lucio, Juan & Mínguez, Raúl & Minondo, Asier & Requena, Francisco, 2024. "The negative impact of disintegration on trade: The case of Brexit," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 163(C).
    6. Schrader, Klaus & Jessen-Thiesen, Levke, 2021. "Deutsche Arbeitsplätze und Brexit: Die Bedeutung des Exports nach Großbritannien für die Beschäftigung in den deutschen Bundesländern," Kiel Policy Brief 149, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration

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