IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/bdj/smioir/2025-02.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Move fast and integrate things: The making of a European Industrial Policy for Artificial Intelligence

Author

Listed:
  • Simone Vannuccini

    (Graduate School of Economics and Management, University Cote d'Azur)

Abstract

In this paper, I use the case of artificial intelligence (AI) to analyse the challenges and opportunities in designing a European industrial policy that (i) adopts a pro-competitive posture, (ii) does not fall victim of the risk of double weaponization by pro-nationalistic and pro-oligopolistic narratives, and (iii) re-orients its goals away from the AI ‘arms race’ and to the provision of public goods. At the moment, the AI industry is an infant industry, and the European digital stack enabling AI applications is controlled by non-European actors, which reduces European autonomy and justifies policy support. I suggest that while AI’s economic impact are overestimated and hyped, AI should be a pillar of European industrial policy due to its strategic asset and dual-use nature. Through a series of proposals, I outline the contours of a European AI industrial policy; its features can be summarised by three keywords: public, as in the public assets that the EU should aim to build on the basis of open source technology and in the public interest; federated, through variety and the decentralisation of AI solutions conceived as a non-oligopolistic European alternative to large scale systems; and federal, realising decoupling across the technology stack, when possible and advisable, through supranational tools, institutions, and finances.

Suggested Citation

  • Simone Vannuccini, 2025. "Move fast and integrate things: The making of a European Industrial Policy for Artificial Intelligence," MIOIR Working Paper Series 2025-02, The Manchester Institute of Innovation Research (MIoIR), The University of Manchester.
  • Handle: RePEc:bdj:smioir:2025-02
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://pure.manchester.ac.uk/ws/portalfiles/portal/893388412/mioir.wp.2025-02.pdf
    File Function: Submitted version (MIOIR WP Series), 2025
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Erik Brynjolfsson & Daniel Rock & Chad Syverson, 2021. "The Productivity J-Curve: How Intangibles Complement General Purpose Technologies," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 13(1), pages 333-372, January.
    2. Daron Acemoglu, 2025. "The simple macroeconomics of AI," Economic Policy, CEPR, CESifo, Sciences Po;CES;MSH, vol. 40(121), pages 13-58.
    3. Hélène Dernis & Flavio Calvino & Laurent Moussiegt & Daisuke Nawa & Lea Samek & Mariagrazia Squicciarini, 2023. "Identifying artificial intelligence actors using online data," OECD Science, Technology and Industry Working Papers 2023/01, OECD Publishing.
    4. Simon Evenett & Adam Jakubik & Fernando Martín & Michele Ruta, 2024. "The return of industrial policy in data," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 47(7), pages 2762-2788, July.
    5. Paul Belleflamme, 2005. "Versioning in the Information Economy: Theory and Applications," CESifo Economic Studies, CESifo Group, vol. 51(2-3), pages 329-358.
    6. Guarascio, Dario & Reljic, Jelena & Stöllinger, Roman, 2025. "Diverging paths: AI exposure and employment across European regions," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 11-24.
    7. Kristina McElheran & J. Frank Li & Erik Brynjolfsson & Zachary Kroff & Emin Dinlersoz & Lucia Foster & Nikolas Zolas, 2024. "AI adoption in America: Who, what, and where," Journal of Economics & Management Strategy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 33(2), pages 375-415, March.
    8. Alessio Terzi & Monika Sherwood & Aneil Singh, 2023. "European industrial policy for the green and digital revolution," Science and Public Policy, Oxford University Press, vol. 50(5), pages 842-857.
    9. Dirk Bergemann & Alessandro Bonatti & Alex Smolin, 2025. "The Economics of Large Language Models: Token Allocation, Fine-Tuning, and Optimal Pricing," Papers 2502.07736, arXiv.org.
    10. Igna, Ioana & Venturini, Francesco, 2023. "The determinants of AI innovation across European firms," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 52(2).
    11. Babina, Tania & Fedyk, Anastassia & He, Alex & Hodson, James, 2024. "Artificial intelligence, firm growth, and product innovation," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    12. Jeffrey Ding & Allan Dafoe, 2020. "The Logic of Strategic Assets: From Oil to Artificial Intelligence," Papers 2001.03246, arXiv.org, revised May 2021.
    13. Réka Juhász & Nathan Lane & Dani Rodrik, 2024. "The New Economics of Industrial Policy," Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 16(1), pages 213-242, August.
    14. Giovanni Dosi & Lorenzo Cresti & Federico Riccio & Maria Enrica Virgillito, 2024. "Industrial policies for global commons: why it is time to think of the ghetto rather than of the moon," LEM Papers Series 2024/32, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
    15. Carlota Perez, 2010. "Technological revolutions and techno-economic paradigms," Cambridge Journal of Economics, Cambridge Political Economy Society, vol. 34(1), pages 185-202, January.
    16. Antonioli, Davide & Marzucchi, Alberto & Rentocchini, Francesco & Vannuccini, Simone, 2024. "Robot adoption and product innovation," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 53(6).
    17. Nathaniel Lane, 2020. "The New Empirics of Industrial Policy," Journal of Industry, Competition and Trade, Springer, vol. 20(2), pages 209-234, June.
    18. Crespi Francesco & Cerra Rosario & Zezza Francesco, 2025. "Coopetitive Technological Sovereignty: A Strategy to Reconcile International Collaboration with Knowledge and Economic Security," Intereconomics: Review of European Economic Policy, Sciendo, vol. 60(2), pages 73-80.
    19. repec:osf:socarx:tnxg6_v1 is not listed on IDEAS
    20. Anders Humlum & Emilie Vestergaard, 2025. "Large Language Models, Small Labor Market Effects," NBER Working Papers 33777, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    21. Kattel, Rainer, 2024. "Past, present and future of innovation agencies in Europe," Working Papers 80, Austrian Foundation for Development Research (ÖFSE).
    22. Kristina McElheran & Mu-Jeung Yang & Zachary Kroff & Erik Brynjolfsson, 2025. "The Rise of Industrial AI in America: Microfoundations of the Productivity J-curve(s)," Working Papers 25-27, Center for Economic Studies, U.S. Census Bureau.
    23. Clemens Fuest & Daniel Gros & Philipp-Leo Mengel & Giorgio Presidente & Jean Jean Tirole, 2024. "EU Innovation Policy: How to Escape the Middle Technology Trap," EconPol Policy Reports Report, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
    24. Alfonso Iozzo, 2019. "Welfare for the European Union in the Age of Globalisation," Annals of the Fondazione Luigi Einaudi. An Interdisciplinary Journal of Economics, History and Political Science, Fondazione Luigi Einaudi, Torino (Italy), vol. 53(1), pages 183-190, June.
    25. repec:osf:socarx:gsyq4_v1 is not listed on IDEAS
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Flavio Calvino & Luca Fontanelli, 2025. "Decoding AI: Nine facts about how firms use artificial intelligence in France," LEM Papers Series 2025/13, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
    2. Flavio Calvino & Luca Fontanelli, 2024. "AI Users Are Not All Alike: The Characteristics of French Firms Buying and Developing AI," CESifo Working Paper Series 11466, CESifo.
    3. Rathi, Sawan & Majumdar, Adrija & Chatterjee, Chirantan, 2024. "Did the COVID-19 pandemic propel usage of AI in pharmaceutical innovation? New evidence from patenting data," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 198(C).
    4. Carlo Drago & Alberto Costantiello & Marco Savorgnan & Angelo Leogrande, 2025. "Driving AI Adoption in the EU: A Quantitative Analysis of Macroeconomic Influences," Working Papers hal-05102974, HAL.
    5. Hanming Fang & Ming Li & Guangli Lu, 2025. "Decoding China’s Industrial Policies," PIER Working Paper Archive 25-012, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
    6. Fontanelli, Luca & Guerini, Mattia & Miniaci, Raffaele & Secchi, Angelo, 2025. "Predictive AI and productivity growth dynamics: evidence from French firms," FEEM Working Papers 355806, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM).
    7. Charles Hoffreumon & Chris Forman & Nicolas van Zeebroeck, 2024. "Make or buy your artificial intelligence? Complementarities in technology sourcing," Journal of Economics & Management Strategy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 33(2), pages 452-479, March.
    8. Flavio Calvino & Chiara Criscuolo & Luca Fontanelli & Lionel Nesta & Elena Verdolini, 2024. "The role of human capital for AI adoption: Evidence from French firms," CEP Discussion Papers dp2055, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
    9. Mark Knell & Simone Vannuccini, 2022. "Tools and concepts for understanding disruptive technological change after Schumpeter," Jena Economics Research Papers 2022-005, Friedrich-Schiller-University Jena.
    10. Ludovic Dibiaggio & Lionel Nesta & Simone Vannuccini, 2024. "European Sovereignty in Artificial Intelligence: A Competence-Based Perspective," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-04841182, HAL.
    11. Kristina McElheran & J. Frank Li & Erik Brynjolfsson & Zachary Kroff & Emin Dinlersoz & Lucia Foster & Nikolas Zolas, 2024. "AI adoption in America: Who, what, and where," Journal of Economics & Management Strategy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 33(2), pages 375-415, March.
    12. Carmen Heinrich & Christoph Knill & Yves Steinebach, 2025. "Analyzing industrial policy portfolios," Policy Sciences, Springer;Society of Policy Sciences, vol. 58(1), pages 87-109, March.
    13. Catherine L. Mann, 2024. "Could Domestic Industrial Policies, Even With Global Fragmentation, Revive Productivity?," International Productivity Monitor, Centre for the Study of Living Standards, vol. 47, pages 3-19, Fall.
    14. Lane, Nathaniel, 2016. "Manufacturing Revolutions: Industrial Policy and Industrialization in South Korea," SocArXiv 6tqax, Center for Open Science.
    15. Alessio Terzi & Monika Sherwood & Aneil Singh, 2023. "European industrial policy for the green and digital revolution," Science and Public Policy, Oxford University Press, vol. 50(5), pages 842-857.
    16. Manuel Montes, 2024. "Philippine industrial policy? Why not?," Philippine Review of Economics, University of the Philippines School of Economics and Philippine Economic Society, vol. 61(2), pages 1-21, December.
    17. Simone Vannuccini & Ekaterina Prytkova, 2021. "Artificial Intelligence’s New Clothes? From General Purpose Technology to Large Technical System," SPRU Working Paper Series 2021-02, SPRU - Science Policy Research Unit, University of Sussex Business School.
    18. Bofinger, Peter & Geißendörfer, Lisa & Haas, Thomas & Mayer, Fabian, 2023. "Credit as an instrument for growth: A monetary explanation of the Chinese growth story," W.E.P. - Würzburg Economic Papers 107, University of Würzburg, Department of Economics.
    19. Damioli, Giacomo & Van Roy, Vincent & Vertesy, Daniel & Vivarelli, Marco, 2025. "Is artificial intelligence leading to a new technological paradigm?," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 347-359.
    20. Marioni, Larissa da Silva & Rincon-Aznar, Ana & Venturini, Francesco, 2024. "Productivity performance, distance to frontier and AI innovation: Firm-level evidence from Europe," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 228(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • L40 - Industrial Organization - - Antitrust Issues and Policies - - - General
    • L50 - Industrial Organization - - Regulation and Industrial Policy - - - General
    • O33 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - Technological Change: Choices and Consequences; Diffusion Processes

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bdj:smioir:2025-02. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Holly Crossley (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/prmanuk.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.