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A risk dashboard for the Italian economy

Author

Listed:
  • Fabrizio Venditti

    (Bank of Italy)

  • Francesco Columba

    (Bank of Italy)

  • Alberto Maria Sorrentino

    (Bank of Italy)

Abstract

In this paper we describe an analytical framework to assess financial stability risks in the Italian economy. We use a large number of indicators, selected to take into account the peculiarities of the Italian economy, to monitor risks in seven areas: interlinkages, the credit markets, the macroeconomic environment, funding conditions, the financial markets, and the banking and insurance sectors. Based on thresholds selected on the basis of either expert judgment or historical distributions, we construct risk heatmaps and derive aggregate scores for each of the above risk categories. By providing timely information on the buildup of risks, the proposed dashboard usefully complements other analytical tools currently used for developing and implementing macroprudential policy.

Suggested Citation

  • Fabrizio Venditti & Francesco Columba & Alberto Maria Sorrentino, 2018. "A risk dashboard for the Italian economy," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 425, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    • Handle: RePEc:bdi:opques:qef_425_18
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Arianna Miglietta & Fabrizio Venditti, 2019. "An indicator of macro-financial stress for Italy," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 497, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    2. Judith Eidenberger & Vanessa Redak & Eva Ubl, 2019. "Who puts our financial system at risk? A methodological approach to identify banks with potential significant negative effects on financial stability," Financial Stability Report, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 37, pages 57-72.
    3. Michele Leonardo Bianchi & Alberto Maria Sorrentino, 2022. "Exploring the Systemic Risk of Domestic Banks with ΔCoVaR and Elastic-Net," Journal of Financial Services Research, Springer;Western Finance Association, vol. 62(1), pages 127-141, October.
    4. Michele Leonardo Bianchi & Alberto Maria Sorrentino, 2020. "Measuring CoVaR: An Empirical Comparison," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 55(2), pages 511-528, February.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    early warning indicators; financial stability risks; heatmaps; macroprudential policy;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G23 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Non-bank Financial Institutions; Financial Instruments; Institutional Investors
    • G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation

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