Volatility Forecasts Using Nonlinear Leverage Effects
Author
Abstract
Suggested Citation
Download full text from publisher
References listed on IDEAS
- Carvalho, Carlos M. & Lopes, Hedibert F., 2007. "Simulation-based sequential analysis of Markov switching stochastic volatility models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 51(9), pages 4526-4542, May.
- Jacquier, Eric & Polson, Nicholas G & Rossi, Peter E, 2002.
"Bayesian Analysis of Stochastic Volatility Models,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 20(1), pages 69-87, January.
- Jacquier, Eric & Polson, Nicholas G & Rossi, Peter E, 1994. "Bayesian Analysis of Stochastic Volatility Models," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 12(4), pages 371-389, October.
- Friedman, Moshe & Harris, Lawrence, 1998. "A Maximum Likelihood Approach for Non-Gaussian Stochastic Volatility Models," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 16(3), pages 284-291, July.
- Takahashi, Makoto & Omori, Yasuhiro & Watanabe, Toshiaki, 2013.
"News impact curve for stochastic volatility models,"
Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 120(1), pages 130-134.
- Makoto Takahashi & Yasuhiro Omori & Toshiaki Watanabe, 2012. "News Impact Curve for Stochastic Volatility Models," Global COE Hi-Stat Discussion Paper Series gd12-242, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
- Sangjoon Kim & Neil Shephard & Siddhartha Chib, 1998.
"Stochastic Volatility: Likelihood Inference and Comparison with ARCH Models,"
The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 65(3), pages 361-393.
- Sangjoon Kim, Neil Shephard & Siddhartha Chib, "undated". "Stochastic volatility: likelihood inference and comparison with ARCH models," Economics Papers W26, revised version of W, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
- Sangjoon Kim & Neil Shephard, 1994. "Stochastic volatility: likelihood inference and comparison with ARCH models," Economics Papers 3., Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
- Sangjoon Kim & Neil Shephard & Siddhartha Chib, 1996. "Stochastic Volatility: Likelihood Inference And Comparison With Arch Models," Econometrics 9610002, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Yu, Jun, 2005.
"On leverage in a stochastic volatility model,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 127(2), pages 165-178, August.
- Jun Yu, 2004. "On Leverage in a Stochastic Volatility Model," Working Papers 13-2004, Singapore Management University, School of Economics.
- Jun Yu, 2004. "On Leverage in a Stochastic Volatility Model," Econometric Society 2004 Far Eastern Meetings 506, Econometric Society.
- Jun Yu, 2004. "On leverage in a stochastic volatility model," Econometric Society 2004 Far Eastern Meetings 497, Econometric Society.
- Hedibert F. Lopes & Ruey S. Tsay, 2011. "Particle filters and Bayesian inference in financial econometrics," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(1), pages 168-209, January.
- Glosten, Lawrence R & Jagannathan, Ravi & Runkle, David E, 1993.
"On the Relation between the Expected Value and the Volatility of the Nominal Excess Return on Stocks,"
Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 48(5), pages 1779-1801, December.
- Lawrence R. Glosten & Ravi Jagannathan & David E. Runkle, 1993. "On the relation between the expected value and the volatility of the nominal excess return on stocks," Staff Report 157, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
- Shirota, Shinichiro & Hizu, Takayuki & Omori, Yasuhiro, 2014.
"Realized stochastic volatility with leverage and long memory,"
Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 618-641.
- Shinichiro Shirota & Takayuki Hizu & Yasuhiro Omori, 2012. "Realized stochastic volatility with leverage and long memory," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-869, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
- Shinichiro Shirota & Takayuki Hizu & Yasuhiro Omori, 2013. "Realized Stochastic Volatility with Leverage and Long Memory," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-880, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
- Nakajima, Jouchi & Omori, Yasuhiro, 2009.
"Leverage, heavy-tails and correlated jumps in stochastic volatility models,"
Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 53(6), pages 2335-2353, April.
- Jouchi Nakajima & Yasuhiro Omori, 2007. "Leverage, heavy-tails and correlated jumps in stochastic volatility models," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-514, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
- Bekaert, Geert & Wu, Guojun, 2000.
"Asymmetric Volatility and Risk in Equity Markets,"
The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 13(1), pages 1-42.
- Geert Bekaert & Guojun Wu, 1997. "Asymmetric Volatility and Risk in Equity Markets," NBER Working Papers 6022, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Drew Creal, 2012.
"A Survey of Sequential Monte Carlo Methods for Economics and Finance,"
Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(3), pages 245-296.
- Creal, D., 2009. "A survey of sequential Monte Carlo methods for economics and finance," Serie Research Memoranda 0018, VU University Amsterdam, Faculty of Economics, Business Administration and Econometrics.
- Omori, Yasuhiro & Chib, Siddhartha & Shephard, Neil & Nakajima, Jouchi, 2007. "Stochastic volatility with leverage: Fast and efficient likelihood inference," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 140(2), pages 425-449, October.
- Christie, Andrew A., 1982. "The stochastic behavior of common stock variances : Value, leverage and interest rate effects," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 10(4), pages 407-432, December.
- Peter Reinhard Hansen & Zhuo Huang & Howard Howan Shek, 2012. "Realized GARCH: a joint model for returns and realized measures of volatility," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(6), pages 877-906, September.
- repec:bla:jfinan:v:53:y:1998:i:6:p:2059-2106 is not listed on IDEAS
- Chib, Siddhartha & Nardari, Federico & Shephard, Neil, 2002. "Markov chain Monte Carlo methods for stochastic volatility models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 108(2), pages 281-316, June.
- Nicholas G. Polson & Jonathan R. Stroud & Peter Müller, 2008. "Practical filtering with sequential parameter learning," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 70(2), pages 413-428, April.
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- Kenichiro McAlinn & Asahi Ushio & Teruo Nakatsuma, 2020. "Volatility forecasts using stochastic volatility models with nonlinear leverage effects," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(2), pages 143-154, March.
- Trojan, Sebastian, 2013. "Regime Switching Stochastic Volatility with Skew, Fat Tails and Leverage using Returns and Realized Volatility Contemporaneously," Economics Working Paper Series 1341, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science, revised Aug 2014.
- Yanhui Xi & Hui Peng & Yemei Qin, 2016. "Modeling Financial Time Series Based on a Market Microstructure Model with Leverage Effect," Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society, Hindawi, vol. 2016, pages 1-15, February.
- T. R. Santos, 2018. "A Bayesian GED-Gamma stochastic volatility model for return data: a marginal likelihood approach," Papers 1809.01489, arXiv.org.
- Jensen, Mark J. & Maheu, John M., 2014.
"Estimating a semiparametric asymmetric stochastic volatility model with a Dirichlet process mixture,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 178(P3), pages 523-538.
- Mark J Jensen & John M Maheu, 2012. "Estimating a Semiparametric Asymmetric Stochastic Volatility Model with a Dirichlet Process Mixture," Working Papers tecipa-453, University of Toronto, Department of Economics.
- Mark J. Jensen & John M. Maheu, 2012. "Estimating a semiparametric asymmetric stochastic volatility model with a Dirichlet process mixture," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2012-06, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
- Mark J. Jensen & John M. Maheu, 2012. "Estimating a Semiparametric Asymmetric Stochastic Volatility Model with a Dirichlet Process Mixture," Working Paper series 45_12, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Xi, Yanhui & Peng, Hui & Qin, Yemei & Xie, Wenbiao & Chen, Xiaohong, 2015. "Bayesian analysis of heavy-tailed market microstructure model and its application in stock markets," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 141-153.
- Siem Jan Koopman & Eugenie Hol Uspensky, 2002.
"The stochastic volatility in mean model: empirical evidence from international stock markets,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 17(6), pages 667-689.
- Siem Jan Koopman & Eugenie Hol Uspensky, 2002. "The stochastic volatility in mean model: empirical evidence from international stock markets," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 17(6), pages 667-689, December.
- Manabu Asai & Michael McAleer, 2011.
"Alternative Asymmetric Stochastic Volatility Models,"
Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(5), pages 548-564, October.
- Manabu Asai & Michael McAleer, 2009. "Alternative Asymmetric Stochastic Volatility Models," CARF F-Series CARF-F-166, Center for Advanced Research in Finance, Faculty of Economics, The University of Tokyo.
- Manabu Asai & Michael McAleer, 2010. "Alternative Asymmetric Stochastic Volatility Models," KIER Working Papers 739, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
- Manabu Asai & Michael McAleer, 2010. "Alternative Asymmetric Stochastic Volatility Models," Working Papers in Economics 10/70, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
- Asai, M. & McAleer, M.J., 2010. "Alternative Asymmetric Stochastic Volatility Models," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI 2010-69, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
- Manabu Asai & Michael McAleer, 2009. "Alternative Asymmetric Stochastic Volatility Models," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-655, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
- Willy Alanya & Gabriel Rodríguez, 2019.
"Asymmetries in Volatility: An Empirical Study for the Peruvian Stock and Forex Markets,"
Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies (RPBFMP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 22(01), pages 1-18, March.
- Gabriel Rodriguez & Willy Alanya, 2016. "Asymmetries in Volatility: An Empirical Study for the Peruvian Stock and Forex Markets," Documentos de Trabajo / Working Papers 2016-413, Departamento de Economía - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú.
- Manabu Asai & Michael McAleer & Jun Yu, 2006.
"Multivariate Stochastic Volatility,"
Microeconomics Working Papers
22058, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research.
- Siddhartha Chib & Yasuhiro Omori & Manabu Asai, 2007. "Multivariate stochastic volatility," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-488, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
- Omori, Yasuhiro & Watanabe, Toshiaki, 2008.
"Block sampler and posterior mode estimation for asymmetric stochastic volatility models,"
Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 52(6), pages 2892-2910, February.
- Yasuhiro Omori & Toshiaki Watanabe, 2007. "Block Sampler and Posterior Mode Estimation for Asymmetric Stochastic Volatility Models," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-507, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
- Karamé, Frédéric, 2018.
"A new particle filtering approach to estimate stochastic volatility models with Markov-switching,"
Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 8(C), pages 204-230.
- Frédéric Karamé, 2018. "A new particle filtering approach to estimate stochastic volatility models with Markov-switching," Post-Print hal-02296093, HAL.
- Aknouche, Abdelhakim, 2013. "Periodic autoregressive stochastic volatility," MPRA Paper 69571, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2015.
- David Chan & Robert Kohn & Chris Kirby, 2006. "Multivariate Stochastic Volatility Models with Correlated Errors," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(2-3), pages 245-274.
- Antonio A. F. Santos, 2021. "Bayesian Estimation for High-Frequency Volatility Models in a Time Deformed Framework," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 57(2), pages 455-479, February.
- Deschamps, Philippe J., 2011. "Bayesian estimation of an extended local scale stochastic volatility model," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 162(2), pages 369-382, June.
- Abdelhakim Aknouche, 2017. "Periodic autoregressive stochastic volatility," Statistical Inference for Stochastic Processes, Springer, vol. 20(2), pages 139-177, July.
- Lengua Lafosse, Patricia & Rodríguez, Gabriel, 2018. "An empirical application of a stochastic volatility model with GH skew Student's t-distribution to the volatility of Latin-American stock returns," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 155-173.
- Philipp Otto & Osman Dou{g}an & Suleyman Tac{s}p{i}nar & Wolfgang Schmid & Anil K. Bera, 2023. "Spatial and Spatiotemporal Volatility Models: A Review," Papers 2308.13061, arXiv.org.
- Phillip, Andrew & Chan, Jennifer & Peiris, Shelton, 2020. "On generalized bivariate student-t Gegenbauer long memory stochastic volatility models with leverage: Bayesian forecasting of cryptocurrencies with a focus on Bitcoin," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 16(C), pages 69-90.
More about this item
NEP fields
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:- NEP-FMK-2016-05-28 (Financial Markets)
Statistics
Access and download statisticsCorrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1605.06482. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.