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Particle filters and Bayesian inference in financial econometrics


  • Hedibert F. Lopes
  • Ruey S. Tsay



Suggested Citation

  • Hedibert F. Lopes & Ruey S. Tsay, 2011. "Particle filters and Bayesian inference in financial econometrics," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(1), pages 168-209, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:jof:jforec:v:30:y:2011:i:1:p:168-209

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    Cited by:

    1. Jondeau, Eric & Lahaye, Jérôme & Rockinger, Michael, 2015. "Estimating the price impact of trades in a high-frequency microstructure model with jumps," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(S2), pages 205-224.
    2. Huw Dixon & Joshy Easaw & Saeed Heravi, 2020. "Forecasting inflation gap persistence: Do financial sector professionals differ from nonfinancial sector ones?," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(3), pages 461-474, July.
    3. Elmar Mertens & James M. Nason, 2020. "Inflation and professional forecast dynamics: An evaluation of stickiness, persistence, and volatility," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 11(4), pages 1485-1520, November.
    4. Michael B. Gordy & Pawel J. Szerszen, 2015. "Bayesian Estimation of Time-Changed Default Intensity Models," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2015-2, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    5. Zhong, Guang-Yan & Li, Jiang-Cheng & Jiang, George J. & Li, Hai-Feng & Tao, Hui-Ming, 2018. "The time delay restraining the herd behavior with Bayesian approach," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 507(C), pages 335-346.
    6. Tevfik Aktekin & Nicholas G. Polson & Refik Soyer, 2020. "A family of multivariate non‐gaussian time series models," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 41(5), pages 691-721, September.
    7. Guido Ascari & Paolo Bonomolo & Hedibert Lopes, 2018. "Walk on the wild side: Multiplicative sunspots and temporarily unstable paths," DNB Working Papers 597, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department.
    8. Virbickaitė, Audronė & Ausín, M. Concepción & Galeano, Pedro, 2020. "Copula stochastic volatility in oil returns: Approximate Bayesian computation with volatility prediction," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    9. Haakon Kavli & Kevin Kotzé, 2014. "Spillovers in Exchange Rates and the Effects of Global Shocks on Emerging Market Currencies," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 82(2), pages 209-238, June.
    10. Paul Gaskell & Frank McGroarty & Thanassis Tiropanis, 2014. "Signal Diffusion Mapping: Optimal Forecasting with Time Varying Lags," Papers 1409.6443,
    11. Michele Bianchi & Frank Fabozzi, 2015. "Investigating the Performance of Non-Gaussian Stochastic Intensity Models in the Calibration of Credit Default Swap Spreads," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 46(2), pages 243-273, August.
    12. Virbickaitė, Audronė & Frey, Christoph & Macedo, Demian N., 2020. "Bayesian sequential stock return prediction through copulas," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 22(C).
    13. Karol Gellert & Erik Schlögl, 2018. "Parameter Learning and Change Detection Using a Particle Filter With Accelerated Adaptation," Research Paper Series 392, Quantitative Finance Research Centre, University of Technology, Sydney.
    14. Liu Xiangdong & Li Xianglong & Zheng Shaozhi & Qian Hangyong, 2020. "PMCMC for Term Structure of Interest Rates under Markov Regime Switching and Jumps," Journal of Systems Science and Information, De Gruyter, vol. 8(2), pages 159-169, April.
    15. Gorynin, Ivan & Derrode, Stéphane & Monfrini, Emmanuel & Pieczynski, Wojciech, 2017. "Fast smoothing in switching approximations of non-linear and non-Gaussian models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 38-46.
    16. Panayotis Michaelides & Mike Tsionas & Panos Xidonas, 2020. "A Bayesian Signals Approach for the Detection of Crises," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 18(3), pages 551-585, September.
    17. Lopes, Hedibert F. & Virbickaite, Audrone & Ausín Olivera, María Concepción & Galeano San Miguel, Pedro, 2014. "Particle learning for Bayesian non-parametric Markov Switching Stochastic Volatility model," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS ws142819, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística.
    18. Nuno Silva, 2015. "Industry based equity premium forecasts," GEMF Working Papers 2015-19, GEMF, Faculty of Economics, University of Coimbra.
    19. Lee, Kyoungjae & Lee, Jaeyong & Dass, Sarat C., 2018. "Inference for differential equation models using relaxation via dynamical systems," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 127(C), pages 116-134.
    20. Schumacher, Christian, 2014. "MIDAS regressions with time-varying parameters: An application to corporate bond spreads and GDP in the Euro area," VfS Annual Conference 2014 (Hamburg): Evidence-based Economic Policy 100289, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    21. Hui ‘Fox’ Ling & Douglas B. Stone, 2016. "Time-varying forecasts by variational approximation of sequential Bayesian inference," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(1), pages 43-67, January.
    22. T. R. Santos, 2018. "A Bayesian GED-Gamma stochastic volatility model for return data: a marginal likelihood approach," Papers 1809.01489,
    23. Kenichiro McAlinn & Knut Are Aastveit & Jouchi Nakajima & Mike West, 2019. "Multivariate Bayesian Predictive Synthesis in Macroeconomic Forecasting," Working Papers No 01/2019, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
    24. Karol Gellert & Erik Schlogl, 2018. "Parameter Learning and Change Detection Using a Particle Filter With Accelerated Adaptation," Papers 1806.05387,
    25. McAlinn, Kenichiro & West, Mike, 2019. "Dynamic Bayesian predictive synthesis in time series forecasting," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 210(1), pages 155-169.


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