Machine Learning Markets
Prediction markets show considerable promise for developing flexible mechanisms for machine learning. Here, machine learning markets for multivariate systems are defined, and a utility-based framework is established for their analysis. This differs from the usual approach of defining static betting functions. It is shown that such markets can implement model combination methods used in machine learning, such as product of expert and mixture of expert approaches as equilibrium pricing models, by varying agent utility functions. They can also implement models composed of local potentials, and message passing methods. Prediction markets also allow for more flexible combinations, by combining multiple different utility functions. Conversely, the market mechanisms implement inference in the relevant probabilistic models. This means that market mechanism can be utilized for implementing parallelized model building and inference for probabilistic modelling.
|Date of creation:||Jun 2011|
|Date of revision:|
|Publication status:||Published in Journal of Machine Learning Research W&CP 15(AISTATS):716-724, 2011|
|Contact details of provider:|| Web page: http://arxiv.org/|
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03-025, Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research.
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NBER Working Papers
10359, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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- repec:reg:rpubli:460 is not listed on IDEAS
- repec:reg:rpubli:259 is not listed on IDEAS
- Napp, Clotilde & Jouini, Elyès, 2006. "Aggregation of Heterogeneous Beliefs," Economics Papers from University Paris Dauphine 123456789/80, Paris Dauphine University.
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