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Destabilization Effect of International Trade in a Perfect Foresight Dynamic General Equilibrium Model

Author

Listed:
  • Kazuo Nishimura

    (Institute of Economic Research, Kyoto University)

  • Alain Venditti

    (Aix-Marseille University (Aix-Marseille School of Economics), CNRS-GREQAM, EHESS & EDHEC)

  • Makoto Yano

    (Institute of Economic Research, Kyoto University)

Abstract

In the present paper, we consider a two-country, two-good, two-factor general equilibrium model with CIES non-linear preferences, asymmetric technologies across countries and decreasing returns to scale. It is shown that aggregate instability and endogenous fluctuations may occur due to international trade. In particular, we prove that the integration into a common market on which countries trade the produced good and the capital input may lead to period-two cycles even when the closed-economy equilibrium is saddle-point stable in both countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Kazuo Nishimura & Alain Venditti & Makoto Yano, 2013. "Destabilization Effect of International Trade in a Perfect Foresight Dynamic General Equilibrium Model," AMSE Working Papers 1313, Aix-Marseille School of Economics, France, revised Feb 2013.
    • Handle: RePEc:aim:wpaimx:1313
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    4. Antoine Le Riche, 2017. "Macroeconomic volatility and trade in OLG economies," International Journal of Economic Theory, The International Society for Economic Theory, vol. 13(4), pages 401-425, December.
    5. Le Riche, Antoine & Lloyd-Braga, Teresa & Modesto, Leonor, 2022. "Intra-industry trade, involuntary unemployment and macroeconomic stability," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Perfect foresight dynamic general equilibrium model; international trade; aggregate instability; endogenous fluctuations; non-linear preferences;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C62 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Existence and Stability Conditions of Equilibrium
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • F11 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Neoclassical Models of Trade
    • F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies
    • O41 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - One, Two, and Multisector Growth Models

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