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Destabilization Effect of International Trade in a Perfect Foresight Dynamic General Equilibrium Model

Author

Listed:
  • Kazuo Nishimura

    (Institute of Economic Research, Kyoto University - Kyoto University [Kyoto])

  • Alain Venditti

    () (GREQAM - Groupement de Recherche en Économie Quantitative d'Aix-Marseille - ECM - École Centrale de Marseille - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - AMU - Aix Marseille Université - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales, EDHEC Business School - Département Comptabilité, Droit, Finance et Economie)

  • Makoto Yano

    (Institute of Economic Research, Kyoto University - Kyoto University [Kyoto])

Abstract

In the present paper, we consider a two-country, two-good, two-factor general equilibrium model with CIES non-linear preferences, asymmetric technologies across countries and decreasing returns to scale. It is shown that aggregate instability and endogenous fluctuations may occur due to international trade. In particular, we prove that the integration into a common market on which countries trade the produced good and the capital input may lead to period-two cycles even when the closed-economy equilibrium is saddle-point stable in both countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Kazuo Nishimura & Alain Venditti & Makoto Yano, 2013. "Destabilization Effect of International Trade in a Perfect Foresight Dynamic General Equilibrium Model," Working Papers halshs-00796692, HAL.
  • Handle: RePEc:hal:wpaper:halshs-00796692
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://halshs.archives-ouvertes.fr/halshs-00796692
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Kunihiko Konishi, 2015. "Growth Cycles in a Two-country Model of Innovation," Discussion Papers in Economics and Business 15-07, Osaka University, Graduate School of Economics.
    2. Antoine Le Riche, 2017. "Macroeconomic volatility and trade in OLG economies," International Journal of Economic Theory, The International Society for Economic Theory, vol. 13(4), pages 401-425, December.
    3. Yuichi Furukawa, 2015. "Leapfrogging cycles in international competition," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 59(2), pages 401-433, June.
    4. Kevin X. D. Huang & Qinglai Meng & Jianpo Xue, 2019. "Money growth targeting and indeterminacy in small open economies," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 68(3), pages 499-535, October.
    5. Le Riche, Antoine & Lloyd-Braga, Teresa & Modesto, Leonor, 2021. "Intra-Industry Trade, Involuntary Unemployment and Macroeconomic Stability," IZA Discussion Papers 14047, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    endogenous fluctuations; international trade; aggregate instability; perfect foresight dynamic general equilibrium model; non-linear preferences;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C62 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Existence and Stability Conditions of Equilibrium
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • F11 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Neoclassical Models of Trade
    • F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies
    • O41 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - One, Two, and Multisector Growth Models

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