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A Quarterly Econometric Model for Short-Term Forecasting of the U.S. Dairy Industry

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  • Mosheim, Roberto

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  • Mosheim, Roberto, 2012. "A Quarterly Econometric Model for Short-Term Forecasting of the U.S. Dairy Industry," Technical Bulletins 184305, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:uerstb:184305
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.184305
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Julian M. Alston & Joseph V. Balagtas & Henrich Brunke & Daniel A. Sumner, 2006. "Supply and demand for commodity components: implications of free trade versus the AUSFTA for the US dairy industry ," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 50(2), pages 131-152, June.
    2. Jesse, Ed & Schuelke, Jacob, 2002. "Forecasting Class III and Class IV Milk Prices," Staff Paper Series 453, University of Wisconsin, Agricultural and Applied Economics.
    3. Helmut Lütkepohl & Fang Xu, 2012. "The role of the log transformation in forecasting economic variables," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 42(3), pages 619-638, June.
    4. V. Premakumar & Sudhir Chaudhary, 1996. "Support Prices as Policy Tools in Dairy Industry: Issues in Theoretical Modeling," Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) Publications 96-wp151, Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) at Iowa State University.
    5. Robert Engle, 2001. "GARCH 101: The Use of ARCH/GARCH Models in Applied Econometrics," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 15(4), pages 157-168, Fall.
    6. V. Premakumar & Sudhir Chaudhary, 1996. "Support Prices as Policy Tools in Dairy Industry: Issues in Theoretical Modeling," Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute (FAPRI) Publications (archive only) 96-wp151, Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) at Iowa State University.
    7. Bailey, Kenneth W., 2009. "Documentation of a Dynamic and Simultaneous Econometric Model of the U.S. Dairy Industry," Staff Paper Series 48653, Pennsylvania State University, Department of Agricultural Economics and Rural Sociology.
    8. Susie Miller, 1989. "The Outlook for Dairy Products," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society/Societe canadienne d'agroeconomie, vol. 37(4), pages 1215-1220, December.
    9. Westcott, Paul C., 1986. "A Quarterly Model of U.S. Dairy Sector and Some of Its Policy Implications," Technical Bulletins 157018, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    10. Jesse, Edward V. & Schuelke, Jacob, 2002. "Forecasting Class Iii And Class Iv Milk Prices," Staff Papers 12593, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Department of Agricultural and Applied Economics.
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    Cited by:

    1. Mosheim, Roberto & Blaney, Don & Burdine, Kenneth H. & Maynard, Leigh J., 2014. "Livestock Gross Margin-Dairy Insurance: An Assessment of Risk Management and Potential Supply Impacts," Economic Research Report 164606, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    2. MacLachlan, Matthew & Chelius, Carolyn & Short, Gianna, 2022. "Time-Series Methods for Forecasting and Modeling Uncertainty in the Food Price Outlook," USDA Miscellaneous 327370, United States Department of Agriculture.
    3. Jongeneel, Roel & Gonzalez-Martinez, Ana Rosa, 2022. "The role of market drivers in explaining the EU milk supply after the milk quota abolition," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 194-209.
    4. MacDonald, James M. & Cessna, Jerry & Mosheim, Roberto, 2016. "Changing Structure, Financial Risks, and Government Policy for the U.S. Dairy Industry," Economic Research Report 262200, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    5. Roel Jongeneel & Ana Gonzalez-Martinez, 2022. "EU Dairy after the Quota Abolition: Inelastic Asymmetric Price Responsiveness and Adverse Milk Supply during Crisis Time," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 12(12), pages 1-16, November.

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    Keywords

    Livestock Production/Industries;

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