IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/ags/saeana/45985.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

A Risk Analysis of Converting CRP Acres to a Wheat-Sorghum-Fallow Rotation

Author

Listed:
  • Williams, Jeffery R.
  • Llewelyn, Richard V.
  • Pendell, Dustin L.
  • Schlegel, Alan J.
  • Troy, Dumler

Abstract

This study examines the economic potential of producing a wheat (Triticum aesitivum) and grain sorghum (Sorghum bicolor (L.) Moench) rotation with three different tillage strategies compared to the Conservation Reserve Program (CRP) in a semi-arid region. This research uses stochastic efficiency with respect to a function (SERF) to determine the preferred management strategies under various risk preferences and utility-weighted certainty equivalent risk premiums. Yields, input rates, and field operations from an experimental field in western Kansas are used to calculate net returns for each tillage strategy. Although current net returns to crop production using reduced tillage and no-tillage strategies are higher than CRP, risk analysis indicates CRP would be the preferred strategy for some risk-averse managers.

Suggested Citation

  • Williams, Jeffery R. & Llewelyn, Richard V. & Pendell, Dustin L. & Schlegel, Alan J. & Troy, Dumler, 2009. "A Risk Analysis of Converting CRP Acres to a Wheat-Sorghum-Fallow Rotation," 2009 Annual Meeting, January 31-February 3, 2009, Atlanta, Georgia 45985, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:saeana:45985
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.45985
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/45985/files/A%20Risk%20Analysis%20of%20Converting%20CRP%20Acres%20to%20a%20Wheat-Sorghum-Fallow%20Rotation.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.22004/ag.econ.45985?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Babcock, Bruce A. & Choi, E. Kwan & Feinerman, Eli, 1993. "Risk And Probability Premiums For Cara Utility Functions," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 18(01), pages 1-8, July.
    2. J. Brian Hardaker & James W. Richardson & Gudbrand Lien & Keith D. Schumann, 2004. "Stochastic efficiency analysis with risk aversion bounds: a simplified approach," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 48(2), pages 253-270, June.
    3. Richardson, James W. & Klose, Steven L. & Gray, Allan W., 2000. "An Applied Procedure For Estimating And Simulating Multivariate Empirical (Mve) Probability Distributions In Farm-Level Risk Assessment And Policy Analysis," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 32(2), pages 1-17, August.
    4. Kalaitzandonakes, Nicholas G. & Monson, Michael J., 1994. "An Analysis Of Potential Conservation Effort Of Crp Participants In The State Of Missouri: A Latent Variable Approach," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 26(01), pages 1-9, July.
    5. Dustin L. Pendell & Jeffery R. Williams & Scott B. Boyles & Charles W. Rice & Richard G. Nelson, 2007. "Soil Carbon Sequestration Strategies with Alternative Tillage and Nitrogen Sources under Risk," Review of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 29(2), pages 247-268.
    6. Good, Darrel L. & Irwin, Scott H., 2008. "The New Era of Corn, Soybean, and Wheat Prices," Marketing and Outlook Briefs 183493, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    7. Jeffery R. Williams, 1988. "A Stochastic Dominance Analysis of Tillage and Crop Insurance Practices in a Semiarid Region," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 70(1), pages 112-120.
    8. Pendell, Dustin L. & Perry, William R. & Williams, Jeffery R. & Barnaby, Glenn Arthur, Jr. & Lubben, Bradley D., 2003. "Mathematical Formulas For Calculating Net Returns From Participation In Government Programs, Crp, And Crop Insurance Alternatives," Staff Papers 30711, Kansas State University, Department of Agricultural Economics.
    9. repec:jaa:jagape:v:32:y:2000:i:2:p:299-315 is not listed on IDEAS
    10. Johnson, Phillip N. & Misra, Sukant K. & Ervin, R. Terry, 1997. "A Qualitative Choice Analysis Of Factors Influencing Post-Crp Land Use Decisions," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 29(01), pages 1-11, July.
    11. Schumann, Keith D. & Richardson, James W. & Lien, Gudbrand D. & Hardaker, J. Brian, 2004. "Stochastic Efficiency Analysis Using Multiple Utility Functions," 2004 Annual meeting, August 1-4, Denver, CO 19957, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    12. Johnson, Phillip N. & Misra, Sukant K. & Ervin, R. Terry, 1997. "A Qualitative Choice Analysis of Factors Influencing Post-CRP Land Use Decisions," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 29(1), pages 163-173, July.
    13. Kalaitzandonakes, N.G. & Monson, M., 1994. "An Analysis of Potential Conservation Effort of CRP Participants in the State of Missouri: A Latent Variable Approach," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 26(1), pages 200-208, July.
    14. repec:ags:joaaec:v:32:y:2000:i:2:p:299-315 is not listed on IDEAS
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Feng Song & Jinhua Zhao & Scott M. Swinton, 2011. "Switching to Perennial Energy Crops Under Uncertainty and Costly Reversibility," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 93(3), pages 764-779.
    2. Galinato, Suzette P. & Young, Douglas L. & Frear, Craig S. & Yoder, Jonathan K., 2011. "Will Washington Provide Its Own Crop Feedstocks for Biofuels?," Western Economics Forum, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 10(01), pages 1-11.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Williams, Jeffery R. & Pachta, Matthew J. & Roozeboom, Kraig L. & Llewelyn, Richard V. & Claassen, Mark M. & Bergtold, Jason S., 2012. "Risk Analysis of Tillage and Crop Rotation Alternatives with Winter Wheat," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 44(4), pages 1-16, November.
    2. Eihab M. Fathelrahman & James C. Ascough II & Dana L. Hoag & Robert W. Malone & Philip Heilman & Lori J. Wiles & Ramesh S. Kanwar, 2011. "Continuum of Risk Analysis Methods to Assess Tillage System Sustainability at the Experimental Plot Level," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 3(7), pages 1-29, July.
    3. Eihab Fathelrahman & Aydin Basarir & Mohamed Gheblawi & Sherin Sherif & James Ascough, 2014. "Economic Risk and Efficiency Assessment of Fisheries in Abu-Dhabi, United Arab Emirates (UAE): A Stochastic Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 6(6), pages 1-21, June.
    4. Adusumilli, Naveen & Wang, Hua & Dodla, Syam & Deliberto, Michael, 2020. "Estimating risk premiums for adopting no-till and cover crops management practices in soybean production system using stochastic efficiency approach," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 178(C).
    5. Uchida, Emi & Xu, Jintao & Rozelle, Scott, 2003. ""Grain For Green" In China: Cost-Effectiveness And Sustainability Of A Conservation Set-Aside Program," 2003 Annual meeting, July 27-30, Montreal, Canada 22252, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    6. Claassen, Roger & Hansen, LeRoy T. & Peters, Mark & Breneman, Vincent E. & Weinberg, Marca & Cattaneo, Andrea & Feather, Peter & Gadsby, Dwight M. & Hellerstein, Daniel & Hopkins, Jeffrey W. & Johnsto, 2001. "Agri-Environmental Policy at the Crossroads: Guideposts on a Changing Landscape," Agricultural Economic Reports 33983, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    7. Lyman, Nathaniel & Nalley, Lawton Lanier, 2013. "Stochastic Valuation of Hybrid Rice Technology in Arkansas," 2013 Annual Meeting, February 2-5, 2013, Orlando, Florida 142505, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    8. Dustin L. Pendell & Jeffery R. Williams & Scott B. Boyles & Charles W. Rice & Richard G. Nelson, 2007. "Soil Carbon Sequestration Strategies with Alternative Tillage and Nitrogen Sources under Risk," Review of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 29(2), pages 247-268.
    9. Fan, Yubing & Himanshu, Sushil K. & Ale, Srinivasulu & DeLaune, Paul B. & Zhang, Tian & Park, Seong C. & Colaizzi, Paul D. & Evett, Steven R. & Baumhardt, R. Louis, 2022. "The synergy between water conservation and economic profitability of adopting alternative irrigation systems for cotton production in the Texas High Plains," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 262(C).
    10. Watkins, K. Bradley & Hignight, Jeffrey A. & Anders, Merle M., 2009. "Assessing the Impacts of Soil Carbon Credits and Risk on No-Till Rice Profitability," 2009 Annual Meeting, January 31-February 3, 2009, Atlanta, Georgia 45806, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    11. Williams, Jeffery R. & Pachta, Matthew J. & Claassen, Mark & Roozeboom, Kraig & Llewelyn, Richard, 2011. "Wheat Stubble To Burn or Not to Burn: An Economic Analysis," Western Economics Forum, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 10(01), pages 1-11.
    12. Angelos Liontakis & Alexandra Sintori & Irene Tzouramani, 2021. "The Role of the Start-Up Aid for Young Farmers in the Adoption of Innovative Agricultural Activities: The Case of Aloe Vera," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-24, April.
    13. Frikkie Maré & Bennie Grové & Johan Willemse, 2017. "Evaluating the long-term effectiveness of crop insurance products to provide cost effective and constant cover for maize producers under stochastic yields and prices," Agrekon, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 56(3), pages 233-247, July.
    14. Hristovska, Tatjana & Watkins, K. Bradley & Anders, Merle M., 2012. "An Economic Risk Analysis of No-till Management for the Rice-Soybean Rotation System used in Arkansas," 2012 Annual Meeting, February 4-7, 2012, Birmingham, Alabama 119676, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    15. Asci, Serhat & VanSickle, John J. & Cantliffe, Daniel J., 2014. "Risk in Investment Decision Making and Greenhouse Tomato Production Expansion in Florida," International Food and Agribusiness Management Review, International Food and Agribusiness Management Association, vol. 17(4), pages 1-26, November.
    16. Fumasi, Roland J. & Klose, Steven L. & Kaase, Greg H. & Richardson, James W. & Outlaw, Joe L., 2008. "Viability of cellulosic feedstock production from producer to biorefinery," Integration of Agricultural and Energy Systems Conference, February 12-13, 2008, Atlanta, Georgia 48716, Farm Foundation.
    17. Lynch, Lori & Brown, Cheryl, 2000. "Landowner Decision Making About Riparian Buffers," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 32(3), pages 1-12, December.
    18. Lien, Gudbrand D. & Flaten, Ola & Schumann, Keith D. & Richardson, James W. & Korsaeth, Audun & Eltun, Ragnar, 2005. "Comparison of Risk Between Cropping Systems in Eastern Norway," 2005 International Congress, August 23-27, 2005, Copenhagen, Denmark 24663, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    19. Asci, Serhat & VanSickle, John J. & Fry, Curtiss J. & Thomas, John, 2015. "Where is Risk in Fumigation Choice: Methyl Bromide versus Alternatives?," 2015 Annual Meeting, January 31-February 3, 2015, Atlanta, Georgia 196862, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    20. Jacobson, Sarah, 2014. "Temporal spillovers in land conservation," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 107(PA), pages 366-379.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Agricultural and Food Policy; Crop Production/Industries; Farm Management; Land Economics/Use; Risk and Uncertainty;
    All these keywords.

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ags:saeana:45985. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: AgEcon Search (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/saeaaea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.