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Implications of Climate Change on Regional Livestock Production in the United States


  • Beach, Robert
  • Zhang, Yuquan
  • Baker, Justin
  • Hagerman, Amy
  • McCarl, Bruce


This study used a partial equilibrium model focusing on U.S. agriculture to investigate the climate change implications for U.S. livestock production. Climate change impacts on crop productivity, grazing land productivity, and livestock animals’ biophysical growth were factored into the model to examine the market equilibrium changes under alternative climate change scenarios. Results suggest that the U.S. livestock sector would be negatively influenced by climate change, with meat and milk prices increasing and exports decreasing. Livestock producers would expand the use of grazing and raise more animals to meet market demand given reduced productivity per head. Profit margins for meat and milk production would however decline due to increases in input prices than more than outweigh the gains from higher output prices.

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  • Beach, Robert & Zhang, Yuquan & Baker, Justin & Hagerman, Amy & McCarl, Bruce, 2015. "Implications of Climate Change on Regional Livestock Production in the United States," 2015 Conference, August 9-14, 2015, Milan, Italy 211207, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:iaae15:211207
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.211207

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    1. Jianhong Mu & Bruce McCarl & Anne Wein, 2013. "Adaptation to climate change: changes in farmland use and stocking rate in the U.S," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 18(6), pages 713-730, August.
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    Environmental Economics and Policy; Livestock Production/Industries;

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