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Multicriteria and Multiperiod Programming for Scenario Analysis in Guadalquivir River Irrigated Farming


  • Vecino, Julio Berbel
  • Baldovín, Maria Jose López
  • Gutierrez, Carlos


A multiperiod model based upon a multicriteria objective function has been developed for a representative area of the Guadalquivir Valley, dividing the irrigated area into homogeneous types of farming as identified by cluster analysis. The model was applied to different future scenarios with a time horizon of 10 years and several different farming environments. A set of eight sustainability indicators has been evaluated for the model. The results show that the evolution of crops over time is closely related to the political environment regarding the Common Agricultural Policy and the application of the Water Framework Directive. Methodological innovation has included the successful simultaneous introduction of MCDM and multiperiod programming techniques applied to agriculture and scenario development.

Suggested Citation

  • Vecino, Julio Berbel & Baldovín, Maria Jose López & Gutierrez, Carlos, 2005. "Multicriteria and Multiperiod Programming for Scenario Analysis in Guadalquivir River Irrigated Farming," 2005 International Congress, August 23-27, 2005, Copenhagen, Denmark 24612, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:eaae05:24612

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Gomez-Limon, J. A. & Berbel, J., 2000. "Multicriteria analysis of derived water demand functions: a Spanish case study," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 63(1), pages 49-72, January.
    2. Rehman, T. & Romero, C., 1993. "The application of the MCDM paradigm to the management of agricultural systems: Some basic considerations," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 41(3), pages 239-255.
    3. Berbel, J. & Rodriguez-Ocana, A., 1998. "An MCDM approach to production analysis: An application to irrigated farms in Southern Spain," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 107(1), pages 108-118, May.
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    Cited by:

    1. Vecino, Julio Berbel & Lopez, Maria Jos & Gutierrez, Carlos, 2005. "Impact of Policy Scenarios in Irrigated Agriculture of River Guadalquivir Basin (Southern Spain)," 2005 International Congress, August 23-27, 2005, Copenhagen, Denmark 24499, European Association of Agricultural Economists.

    More about this item


    multiperiod programming; multicriteria programming; sustainable agriculture; scenario analysis; Agribusiness; C61;

    JEL classification:

    • C61 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Optimization Techniques; Programming Models; Dynamic Analysis


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