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Alternative Strategies to Manage Weather Risk in Perennial Fruit Crop Production

Author

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  • Ho, Shuay-Tsyr
  • Ifft, Jennifer E.
  • Rickard, Bradley J.
  • Turvey, Calum G.

Abstract

Fruit producers in the Eastern United States face a wide range of weather-related risks during the growing season, and many of these events have the capacity to largely impact yields and profitability. This research examines the economic implications associated with responding to these risks for sweet cherry production in three different systems: using high tunnels to protect the crop, purchasing revenue insurance products, and employing weather insurance schemes. The analysis considers a distribution of revenue flows and costs using detailed price, yield, and weather data between 1984 and 2013. Our results show that the high tunnel system generates the largest net return if significant price premiums exist for earlier and larger fruit. Under most conditions, the results also indicate that net returns for the system that uses revenue-based crop insurance exceed those for the system that uses weather insurance products.

Suggested Citation

  • Ho, Shuay-Tsyr & Ifft, Jennifer E. & Rickard, Bradley J. & Turvey, Calum G., 2016. "Alternative Strategies to Manage Weather Risk in Perennial Fruit Crop Production," Working Papers 250036, Cornell University, Department of Applied Economics and Management.
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:cudawp:250036
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.250036
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Richards, Timothy J. & Manfredo, Mark R., 2003. "Infrequent Shocks and Rating Revenue Insurance: A Contingent Claims Approach," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 28(2), pages 1-19, August.
    2. Moschini, Giancarlo & Hennessy, David A., 2001. "Uncertainty, risk aversion, and risk management for agricultural producers," Handbook of Agricultural Economics, in: B. L. Gardner & G. C. Rausser (ed.), Handbook of Agricultural Economics, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 2, pages 88-153, Elsevier.
    3. Price, T. Jeffrey & Wetzstein, Michael E., 1999. "Irreversible Investment Decisions In Perennial Crops With Yield And Price Uncertainty," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 24(1), pages 1-13, July.
    4. Barry Barnett, 2014. "Multiple-peril crop insurance: successes and challenges," Agricultural Finance Review, Emerald Group Publishing, vol. 74(2), pages 200-216, July.
    5. Feng Song & Jinhua Zhao & Scott M. Swinton, 2011. "Switching to Perennial Energy Crops Under Uncertainty and Costly Reversibility," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 93(3), pages 764-779.
    6. Leif Erec Heimfarth & Oliver Musshoff, 2011. "Weather index-based insurances for farmers in the North China Plain: An analysis of risk reduction potential and basis risk," Agricultural Finance Review, Emerald Group Publishing, vol. 71(2), pages 218-239, August.
    7. Lindsey, Jeanne K. & Duffy, Patricia A. & Nelson, Robert G. & Ebel, Robert C. & Dozier, William A., 2009. "Evaluation of Risk Management Methods for Satsuma Mandarin," 2009 Annual Meeting, January 31-February 3, 2009, Atlanta, Georgia 46754, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    8. Curtis, Kynda R. & Yeager, Irvin & Black, Brent & Drost, Daniel & Ward, Ruby, 2014. "Market and Pricing Potential for Extended Season Fresh Produce Sales: An Intermountain West Example," Journal of Food Distribution Research, Food Distribution Research Society, vol. 45(2), pages 1-20, July.
    9. Calum G. Turvey & Joshua Woodard & Edith Liu, 2014. "Financial engineering for the farm problem," Agricultural Finance Review, Emerald Group Publishing, vol. 74(2), pages 271-286, July.
    10. Alfons Weersink & Szu-Hsuan Celia Chiang, 2006. "Pricing Weather Insurance with a Random Strike Price: The Ontario Ice-Wine Harvest," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 88(3), pages 696-709.
    11. Belasco, Eric J. & Galinato, Suzette P. & Marsh, Tom & Miles, Carol & Wallace, Russell, 2013. "High Tunnels Are My Crop Insurance: An Assessment of Risk Management Tools for Small-scale Specialty Crop Producers," Agricultural and Resource Economics Review, Northeastern Agricultural and Resource Economics Association, vol. 42(2), pages 1-16, August.
    12. Calum G. Turvey, 2001. "Weather Derivatives for Specific Event Risks in Agriculture," Review of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 23(2), pages 333-351.
    13. Fleege, Trevor A. & Richards, Timothy J. & Manfredo, Mark R. & Sanders, Dwight R., 2004. "The Performance Of Weather Derivatives In Managing Risks Of Specialty Crops," 2004 Conference, April 19-20, 2004, St. Louis, Missouri 19026, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
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    Cited by:

    1. Shuoli Zhao & Chengyan Yue, 2020. "Risk preferences of commodity crop producers and specialty crop producers: An application of prospect theory," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 51(3), pages 359-372, May.

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    Keywords

    Crop Production/Industries; Farm Management; Risk and Uncertainty;
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