IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/ags/aaae23/365878.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Anticipatory cash transfers for climate resilience – evidence from a randomized experiment in Northeast Nigeria

Author

Listed:
  • Balana, Bedru
  • Adeyanju, Dolapo
  • Clingain, Clare
  • de Brauw, Alan
  • Andam, Kwaw
  • Yohanna, Ishaku
  • Olarewaju, Olukunbi
  • Schneider, Molly

Abstract

This paper presents the findings from an experimental study designed to assess the impacts of a one-off large lump sum anticipatory cash transfers on welfare and coping strategies of smallholders in climate-risk and conflict-affected communities in northeast Nigeria. The central hypothesis of the intervention is that when climate vulnerable communities have timely access to information and the financial and social resources to act upon that information, they will avoid negative coping strategies and build more diversified and climate resilient livelihoods. The study transferred a lump sum of anticipatory cash to a randomly sampled group of 725 households (‘treatment’) based on a climate data risk threshold for flooding. An equal number of comparable households (‘control’) received the same amount of cash after the flooding. The study collected baseline and endline data from the sample of 1450 households and analyzed using a pre-defined econometric model. Several indicators of outcomes including food security, climate adaptive and resilience actions, and wellbeing measures were used to assess the intervention. The results indicate that anticipatory cash has significant impacts on reducing negative coping strategies, increasing the number of pre-emptive climate adaptive actions, and increasing investment in productive assets that could enhance future resilience. On other hand, anticipatory actions do not seem to have significant impacts on short-term food and non-food consumption expenditures. In a nutshell, findings indicate that a one-off large sum anticipatory transfer could lead households to build their climate resilience, and hence a promising intervention to reduce vulnerability of households to future climate shocks.

Suggested Citation

  • Balana, Bedru & Adeyanju, Dolapo & Clingain, Clare & de Brauw, Alan & Andam, Kwaw & Yohanna, Ishaku & Olarewaju, Olukunbi & Schneider, Molly, 2023. "Anticipatory cash transfers for climate resilience – evidence from a randomized experiment in Northeast Nigeria," 2023 Seventh AAAE/60th AEASA Conference, September 18-21, 2023, Durban, South Africa 365878, African Association of Agricultural Economists (AAAE).
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:aaae23:365878
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.365878
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/365878/files/342.%20Cash%20transfers%20in%20Nigeria.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.22004/ag.econ.365878?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ashley Pople & Ruth Hill & Stefan Dercon & Ben Brunckhorst, 2021. "Anticipatory Cash Transfers in Climate Disaster Response," CSAE Working Paper Series 2021-07, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford.
    2. Deon Filmer & Kinnon Scott, 2012. "Assessing Asset Indices," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 49(1), pages 359-392, February.
    3. Adelaja, Adesoji & George, Justin, 2019. "Effects of conflict on agriculture: Evidence from the Boko Haram insurgency," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 184-195.
    4. Norbert Schady & Ariel Fiszbein & Francisco H.G. Ferreira & Niall Keleher & Margaret Grosh & Pedro Olinto & Emmanuel Skoufias, 2009. "Conditional Cash Transfers : Reducing Present and Future Poverty," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 2597.
    5. Dietrich, Stephan & Schmerzeck, Georg, 2019. "Cash transfers and nutrition: The role of market isolation after weather shocks," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 1-1.
    6. Mohammed Sanusi Shiru & Shamsuddin Shahid & Noraliani Alias & Eun-Sung Chung, 2018. "Trend Analysis of Droughts during Crop Growing Seasons of Nigeria," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(3), pages 1-13, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Ahmed, Akhter & Bakhtiar, M. Mehrab & Hoddinott, John F. & Roy, Shalini, 2024. "Does nutrition-sensitive social protection build longer-term resilience? Experimental evidence from Bangladesh," IFPRI discussion papers 2282, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Prof. Hyacinth Ichoku & Dr. Ihuoma Anthony & Dr. Tosin Olushola & Apinran Martins, 2023. "Analyzing the Evolving Relationships among Climate Change, Insecurity, and Food Price Inflation in Nigeria: NARDL Approach," International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science, International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science (IJRISS), vol. 7(11), pages 100-124, November.
    2. Beuermann, Diether W. & Hoffmann, Bridget & Stampini, Marco & Vargas, David L. & Vera-Cossio, Diego, 2025. "Shooting a moving target: Evaluating targeting tools for social programs when income fluctuates," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
    3. Felipe Barrera‐Osorio & Andreas de Barros & Deon Filmer, 2024. "Long‐term impacts of primary school scholarships: Evidence from Cambodia," Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(1), pages 10-38, January.
    4. Karen Macours & Norbert Schady & Renos Vakis, 2012. "Cash Transfers, Behavioral Changes, and Cognitive Development in Early Childhood: Evidence from a Randomized Experiment," American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, American Economic Association, vol. 4(2), pages 247-273, April.
    5. Claudio A. Agostini & Marcela Perticara & Javiera Selman, 2023. "Tackling Vulnerable Households through a Working Tax Credit Scheme: A Feasible Alternative to Cash Transfers," Hacienda Pública Española / Review of Public Economics, IEF, vol. 245(2), pages 119-155, June.
    6. Filmer, Deon & Schady, Norbert, 2011. "Does more cash in conditional cash transfer programs always lead to larger impacts on school attendance?," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(1), pages 150-157, September.
    7. Blanco, Esther & Struwe, Natalie & Walker, James M., 2021. "Experimental evidence on sharing rules and additionality in transfer payments," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 188(C), pages 1221-1247.
    8. Nissan, Hannah & Simmons, Will & Downs, Shauna M., 2022. "Building climate-sensitive nutrition programmes," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 113561, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    9. Barrientos, Armando, 2012. "Social Transfers and Growth: What Do We Know? What Do We Need to Find Out?," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 40(1), pages 11-20.
    10. de Brauw, Alan & Gilligan, Daniel O. & Hoddinott, John & Roy, Shalini, 2014. "The Impact of Bolsa Família on Women’s Decision-Making Power," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 487-504.
    11. Verónica Amarante & Marco Manacorda & Edward Miguel & Andrea Vigorito, 2011. "Do Cash Transfers Improve Birth Outcomes? Evidence from Matched Vital Statistics, Social Security and Program Data," NBER Working Papers 17690, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    12. Gentilini,Ugo, 2016. "The revival of the"cash versus food"debate : new evidence for an old quandary ?," Policy Research Working Paper Series 7584, The World Bank.
    13. Axel Eizmendi Larrinaga & Germ'an Reyes, 2025. "Cash and Cognition: The Impact of Transfer Timing on Standardized Test Performance and Human Capital," Papers 2507.21393, arXiv.org.
    14. Vesco, P. & Baliki, G. & Brück, T. & Döring, S. & Eriksson, A. & Fjelde, H. & Guha-Sapir, D. & Hall, J. & Knutsen, C. H. & Leis, M. R. & Mueller, H. & Rauh, C. & Rudolfsen, I. & Swain, A., 2024. "The Impacts of Armed Conflict on Human Development," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2462, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    15. Benjamin Schwab, 2020. "In the Form of Bread? A Randomized Comparison of Cash and Food Transfers in Yemen," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 102(1), pages 91-113, January.
    16. Teresa Molina Millán & Tania Barham & Karen Macours & John A Maluccio & Marco Stampini, 2019. "Long-Term Impacts of Conditional Cash Transfers: Review of the Evidence," The World Bank Research Observer, World Bank, vol. 34(1), pages 119-159.
    17. Christian Raschke, 2016. "The Impact of the German Child Benefit on Household Expenditures and Consumption," German Economic Review, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 17(4), pages 438-477, November.
    18. repec:ags:ijag24:346773 is not listed on IDEAS
    19. Kafle, Kashi & Omotilewa, Oluwatoba J., 2021. "Who is likely to benefit from public and private sector investments in farmer-led irrigation? Evidence from Ethiopia," 2021 Annual Meeting, August 1-3, Austin, Texas 313964, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    20. -, 2013. "Gender Equality Observatory of Latin America and the Caribbean. Annual report 2012: A look at grants, support and burden for women," Observatorio de Igualdad de Género en América Latina y el Caribe. Estudios, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), number 35445 edited by Eclac, September.
    21. Kym Anderson, 2013. "Agricultural price distortions: trends and volatility, past, and prospective," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 44(s1), pages 163-171, November.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ags:aaae23:365878. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: AgEcon Search (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/aaaeaea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.