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Capital Flows and the Non-Tradables in the Turkish Economy after Capital Account Liberalization

In: Proceedings of the Conference on Emerging Economic Issues in a Globalizing World

  • F. Kemal Kýzýlca

    (Ankara University)

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    This paper investigates the relationship between capital flows and the share of the non-tradables sector in the Turkish economy after capital account liberalization. Findings support a lagged, yet positive effect of capital flows on the share of non-tradables, which brings the economy more vulnerable to the risk of reversal of capital inflows. This underline the importance of a regulation controlling foreign currency denominated borrowings of private sector firms with limited export earnings and elimination of excessive official reserve accumulation which acts as an implicit bailout guarantee.

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    File URL: http://eco.ieu.edu.tr/wp-content/proceedings/2008/0806.pdf
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    This chapter was published in:
  • Oguz Esen & Ayla Ogus (ed.), 2008. "Proceedings of the International Conference on Emerging Economic Issues in a Globalizing World," Proceedings of the IUE-SUNY Cortland Conference in Economics, Izmir University of Economics, number 2008.
  • This item is provided by Izmir University of Economics in its series Papers of the Annual IUE-SUNY Cortland Conference in Economics with number 200806.
    Handle: RePEc:izm:prcdng:200806
    Contact details of provider: Fax: (90) 232 279 2626
    Web page: http://eco.ieu.edu.tr

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    1. A. Senhadji Semlali & Charles Collyns, 2002. "Lending Booms, Real Estate Bubbles and the Asian Crisis," IMF Working Papers 02/20, International Monetary Fund.
    2. E. Murat Ucer & C. John McDermott & Pierre-Richard Agénor, 1997. "Fiscal Imbalances, Capital Inflows, and the Real Exchange Rate; The Case of Turkey," IMF Working Papers 97/1, International Monetary Fund.
    3. Alberto Gabriele & Korkut Baratav & Ashok Parikh, 2000. "Instability and Volatility of Capital Flows to Developing Countries," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 23(8), pages 1031-1056, 08.
    4. Paul Louis Ceriel Hilbers & Lisbeth Zacho & Qin Lei, 2001. "Real Estate Market Developments and Financal Sector Soundness," IMF Working Papers 01/129, International Monetary Fund.
    5. Richard J. Herring & Susan Wachter, 1999. "Real Estate Booms and Banking Busts: An International Perspective," Center for Financial Institutions Working Papers 99-27, Wharton School Center for Financial Institutions, University of Pennsylvania.
    6. M. Ayhan Kose & Kenneth Rogoff & Eswar Prasad & Shang-Jin Wei, 2003. "Effects of Financial Globalization on Developing Countries; Some Empirical Evidence," IMF Occasional Papers 220, International Monetary Fund.
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