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Olena Chyruk

Personal Details

First Name:Olena
Middle Name:
Last Name:Chyruk
Suffix:
RePEc Short-ID:pch1218
[This author has chosen not to make the email address public]
Terminal Degree:2009 Department of Economics; Tippie College of Business; University of Iowa (from RePEc Genealogy)

Affiliation

Economic Research Department
Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago

Chicago, Illinois (United States)
https://www.chicagofed.org/research/index
RePEc:edi:rfrbcus (more details at EDIRC)

Research output

as
Jump to: Working papers Articles

Working papers

  1. Olena Chyruk & David Cox & Lily Liu & James Z. Wang & Stephen Zoulalian, 2026. "Subprime Auto Lending: Trends in Buy Here Pay Here Auto Lending," FEDS Notes 2026-05-08-2, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  2. Luca Benzoni & Olena Chyruk & David Kelley, 2018. "Why Does the Yield-Curve Slope Predict Recessions?," Working Paper Series WP-2018-15, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
  3. Luca Benzoni & Olena Chyruk, 2015. "The Value and Risk of Human Capital," Working Paper Series WP-2015-6, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
  4. Luca Benzoni & Olena Chyruk, 2013. "Human Capital and Long-Run Labor Income Risk," Working Paper Series WP-2013-16, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
  5. Andrea Ajello & Luca Benzoni & Olena Chyruk, 2012. "Core and 'Crust': Consumer Prices and the Term Structure of Interest Rates," Working Paper Series WP-2014-11, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.

Articles

  1. Luca Benzoni & Olena Chyruk & David Kelley, 2018. "Why Does the Yield-Curve Slope Predict Recessions?," Chicago Fed Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
  2. Andrea Ajello & Luca Benzoni & Olena Chyruk, 2012. "No-arbitrage restrictions and the U.S. Treasury market," Economic Perspectives, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, vol. 36(Q II), pages 55-74.
  3. Luca Benzoni & Olena Chyruk, 2009. "Investing over the life cycle with long-run labor income risk," Economic Perspectives, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, vol. 33(Q III), pages 29-43.

Citations

Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.

Working papers

  1. Luca Benzoni & Olena Chyruk & David Kelley, 2018. "Why Does the Yield-Curve Slope Predict Recessions?," Working Paper Series WP-2018-15, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.

    Cited by:

    1. Joseph G. Haubrich, 2020. "Does the Yield Curve Predict Output?," Working Papers 20-34, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    2. Hansen, Anne Lundgaard, 2024. "Predicting recessions using VIX–yield curve cycles," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(1), pages 409-422.
    3. Emile du Plessis & Ulrich Fritsche, 2025. "New forecasting methods for an old problem: Predicting 147 years of systemic financial crises," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(1), pages 3-40, January.
    4. Martin Pažický, 2021. "Predicting Recessions in Germany Using the German and the US Yield Curve," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 17(3), pages 263-291, December.
    5. Pawel Dlotko & Simon Rudkin, 2019. "The Topology of Time Series: Improving Recession Forecasting from Yield Spreads," Working Papers 2019-02, Swansea University, School of Management.
    6. Szczygielski, Jan Jakub & Charteris, Ailie & Obojska, Lidia & Brzeszczyński, Janusz, 2024. "Recession fears and stock markets: An application of directional wavelet coherence and a machine learning-based economic agent-determined Google fear index," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(PA).
    7. Matteo Iacopini & Aubrey Poon & Luca Rossini & Dan Zhu, 2024. "A Quantile Nelson-Siegel model," Papers 2401.09874, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2025.
    8. Sabes, David & Sahuc, Jean-Guillaume, 2023. "Do yield curve inversions predict recessions in the euro area?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    9. Eric Jondeau & Benoit Mojon & Jean-Guillaume Sahuc, 2020. "Bank Funding Cost and Liquidity Supply Regimes," BIS Working Papers 854, Bank for International Settlements.
    10. Massimo Ferrari Minesso & Laura Lebastard & Helena Mezo, 2023. "Text-Based Recession Probabilities," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 71(2), pages 415-438, June.

  2. Luca Benzoni & Olena Chyruk, 2015. "The Value and Risk of Human Capital," Working Paper Series WP-2015-6, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.

    Cited by:

    1. Giovanni Gallipoli & Brant Abbott, 2017. ""Permanent Income" Inequality," 2017 Meeting Papers 1033, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    2. Eric A. Hanushek & Lavinia Kinne & Philipp Lergetporer & Ludger Woessmann, 2020. "Culture and Student Achievement: The Intertwined Roles of Patience and Risk-Taking," NBER Working Papers 27484, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Etienne Dagorn & David Masclet & Thierry Pénard, 2025. "Altruism, cooperativeness and academic achievement: a lab in the field experiment in French middle schools," Post-Print hal-04927294, HAL.
    4. Silvia Angerer & Jana Bolvashenkova & Daniela Glätzle-Rützler & Philipp Lergetporer & Matthias Sutter, 2021. "Children’s patience and school-track choices several years later: Linking experimental and field data," Discussion Paper Series of the Max Planck Institute for Behavioral Economics 2021_12, Max Planck Institute for Behavioral Economics.
    5. A.V. Sultanova & O.S. Chechina, 2016. "Human Capital as a Key Factor of Economic Growth in Crisis," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(2), pages 71-78.
    6. Borys Grochulski & Yuzhe Zhang, 2019. "Wealth Effects with Endogenous Retirement," Economic Quarterly, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, issue 3Q, pages 173-200.
    7. Etienne Dagorn & David Masclet & Thierry Penard, 2022. "The Behavioral Determinants of School Achievement: A Lab in the Field Experiment in Middle School," Economics Working Paper Archive (University of Rennes & University of Caen) 2022-05, Center for Research in Economics and Management (CREM), University of Rennes, University of Caen and CNRS.

  3. Andrea Ajello & Luca Benzoni & Olena Chyruk, 2012. "Core and 'Crust': Consumer Prices and the Term Structure of Interest Rates," Working Paper Series WP-2014-11, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.

    Cited by:

    1. Francisco J. Buera & Juan Pablo Nicolini, 2017. "Liquidity Traps and Monetary Policy: Managing a Credit Crunch," Staff Report 540, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
    2. Olesya Grishchenko & Sarah Mouabbi & Jean‐Paul Renne, 2019. "Measuring Inflation Anchoring and Uncertainty: A U.S. and Euro Area Comparison," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 51(5), pages 1053-1096, August.
    3. Cieslak, Anna & Pang, Hao, 2021. "Common shocks in stocks and bonds," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 142(2), pages 880-904.
    4. Olesya V. Grishchenko & Laura Wilcox, 2024. "Tale About Inflation Tails," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2024-028, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    5. Geert Bekaert & Eric Engstrom & Andrey Ermolov, 2017. "Macro Risks and the Term Structure of Interest Rates," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2017-058, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    6. Andrew B. Martinez, 2020. "Extracting Information from Different Expectations," Working Papers 2020-008, The George Washington University, The Center for Economic Research.
    7. Burçin Kısacıkoğlu, 2020. "Real Term Structure and New Keynesian Models," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 16(3), pages 95-139, June.
    8. Marco Bassetto & Luca Benzoni & Jason Hall, 2024. "On the Mechanics of Fiscal Inflations," Quarterly Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, vol. 44(2), July.
    9. Luca Benzoni & Olena Chyruk & David Kelley, 2018. "Why Does the Yield-Curve Slope Predict Recessions?," Working Paper Series WP-2018-15, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    10. Tomas Breach & Stefania D'Amico & Athanasios Orphanides, 2016. "The Term Structure and Inflation Uncertainty," Working Paper Series WP-2016-22, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    11. François Gourio & Phuong Ngo, 2020. "Risk Premia at the ZLB: A Macroeconomic Interpretation," Working Paper Series WP-2020-01, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    12. Han Xue & Meng Cai & Baoliu Liu & Kaisheng Di & Jin Hu, 2025. "Sustainable development through digital innovation: Unveiling the impact of big data comprehensive experimental zones on energy utilization efficiency," Sustainable Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(1), pages 177-189, February.
    13. Jiawei Du & Yi Hong, 2025. "Ultimate Forward Rate Prediction and its Application to Bond Yield Forecasting: A Machine Learning Perspective," Papers 2601.00011, arXiv.org.
    14. Caldeira, João F. & Moura, Guilherme V. & Santos, André A.P., 2016. "Predicting the yield curve using forecast combinations," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 79-98.
    15. S. Boragan Aruoba, 2016. "Term structures of inflation expectations and real interest rates," Working Papers 16-9, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
    16. S. Boragan Aruoba, 2014. "Term Structures of Inflation Expectations and Real Interest Rates: The Effects of Unconventional Monetary Policy," Staff Report 502, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
    17. Schupp, Fabian, 2020. "The (ir)relevance of the nominal lower bound for real yield curve analysis," Discussion Papers 32/2020, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    18. Francisco Buera & Juan Pablo Nicolini, 2019. "Accounting for the Slow Recovery from the Great Recession: The Role of Credit Constraints," 2019 Meeting Papers 492, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    19. Rui Liu, 2019. "Forecasting Bond Risk Premia with Unspanned Macroeconomic Information," Quarterly Journal of Finance (QJF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 9(01), pages 1-62, March.
    20. Doshi, Hitesh & Jacobs, Kris & Liu, Rui, 2018. "Macroeconomic determinants of the term structure: Long-run and short-run dynamics," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 99-122.
    21. Frank J. Fabozzi & Francesco A. Fabozzi & Diana Tunaru, 2023. "A comparison of multi-factor term structure models for interbank rates," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 61(1), pages 323-356, July.
    22. Bruno Feunou & Jean-Sébastien Fontaine, 2012. "Forecasting Inflation and the Inflation Risk Premiums Using Nominal Yields," Staff Working Papers 12-37, Bank of Canada.

Articles

  1. Luca Benzoni & Olena Chyruk & David Kelley, 2018. "Why Does the Yield-Curve Slope Predict Recessions?," Chicago Fed Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  2. Andrea Ajello & Luca Benzoni & Olena Chyruk, 2012. "No-arbitrage restrictions and the U.S. Treasury market," Economic Perspectives, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, vol. 36(Q II), pages 55-74.

    Cited by:

    1. Stefania D'Amico & Roger Fan & Yuriy Kitsul, 2013. "The Scarcity Value of Treasury Collateral: Repo Market Effects of Security-Specific Supply and Demand Factors," Working Paper Series WP-2013-22, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    2. Luca Benzoni & Olena Chyruk & David Kelley, 2018. "Why Does the Yield-Curve Slope Predict Recessions?," Working Paper Series WP-2018-15, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.

  3. Luca Benzoni & Olena Chyruk, 2009. "Investing over the life cycle with long-run labor income risk," Economic Perspectives, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, vol. 33(Q III), pages 29-43.

    Cited by:

    1. Mehlkopf, R.J., 2011. "Risk sharing with the unborn," Other publications TiSEM fe8a8df6-455f-4624-af10-9, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    2. Fabio Bagliano & Carolina Fugazza & Giovanna Nicodano, 2013. "Optimal life-cycle portfolios for heterogeneous workers," Working Papers 260, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised Dec 2013.
    3. Luca Benzoni & Olena Chyruk, 2013. "Human Capital and Long-Run Labor Income Risk," Working Paper Series WP-2013-16, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    4. Yulin Liu & Min Zhang, 2020. "Is household registration system responsible for the limited participation of stock market in China?," Review of Behavioral Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 13(3), pages 332-350, July.
    5. Yongsung Chang & Jay H. Hong & Marios Karabarbounis, 2014. "Labor-Market Uncertainty and Portfolio Choice Puzzles," Working Paper 14-13, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.
    6. Luca Benzoni & Olena Chyruk, 2015. "The Value and Risk of Human Capital," Working Paper Series WP-2015-6, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.

More information

Research fields, statistics, top rankings, if available.

Statistics

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Co-authorship network on CollEc

NEP Fields

NEP is an announcement service for new working papers, with a weekly report in each of many fields. This author has had 3 papers announced in NEP. These are the fields, ordered by number of announcements, along with their dates. If the author is listed in the directory of specialists for this field, a link is also provided.
  1. NEP-COB: Community banking and credit unions (1) 2026-05-18
  2. NEP-DGE: Dynamic General Equilibrium (1) 2015-09-05
  3. NEP-HRM: Human Capital and Human Resource Management (1) 2015-09-05
  4. NEP-LMA: Labor Markets - Supply, Demand, and Wages (1) 2015-09-05
  5. NEP-MAC: Macroeconomics (1) 2018-12-24
  6. NEP-MON: Monetary Economics (1) 2018-12-24

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