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Publications

by members of

University of Central Florida → College of Business Administration → Department of Economics → Center for Economic Education

These are publications listed in RePEc written by members of the above institution who are registered with the RePEc Author Service. Thus this compiles the works all those currently affiliated with this institution, not those affilated at the time of publication. List of registered members. Register yourself. Citation analysis. This page is updated in the first days of each month.
| Working papers | Journal articles |

Working papers

2026

  1. Uluc Aysun & Melanie Guldi, 2026, "Revisiting exchange rate predictability: Can machine learning with theoretical filtering outperform canonical models?," Working Papers, University of Central Florida, Department of Economics, number 2026-01, Jan.

2025

  1. Uluc Aysun, 2025, "Maturity mismatches and the transmission of term premium shocks through bank lending," Working Papers, University of Central Florida, Department of Economics, number 2025-01, Feb.
  2. Uluc Aysun & Sewon Hur & Zeynep Yom, 2025, "Technology creation and monetary transmission," Working Papers, University of Central Florida, Department of Economics, number 2025-02, Apr.
  3. Uluc Aysun & Zeynep Yom, 2025, "Technology creation, business cycles and monetary transmission," Villanova School of Business Department of Economics and Statistics Working Paper Series, Villanova School of Business Department of Economics and Statistics, number 61, May.

2023

  1. Sami Alpanda & Uluc Aysun & Serdar Kabaca, 2023, "International Portfolio Rebalancing and Fiscal Policy Spillovers," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 23-56, Nov, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2023-56.
  2. Uluc Aysun & Sami Alpanda, 2023, "The cyclicality of income distribution and innovation induced growth," Working Papers, University of Central Florida, Department of Economics, number 2023-01, Jan.
  3. Uluc Aysun, 2023, "Technology diffusion and international business cycles," Working Papers, University of Central Florida, Department of Economics, number 2023-02, Apr.
  4. Uluc Aysun & Cardel Wright, 2023, "Forecasting inflation and inflation expectations in small open economies: A comparison of market and survey based approaches for Jamaica," Working Papers, University of Central Florida, Department of Economics, number 2023-03, Sep.

2022

  1. Uluc Aysun & Karlia Clarke & Oronde Small, 2022, "Capital Outflow Restrictions and Dollar Drainage," Working Papers, University of Central Florida, Department of Economics, number 2022-02, Oct.

2021

  1. Uluc Aysun & Michael Tseng, 2021, "Regulatory arbitrage and global push factors," Working Papers, University of Central Florida, Department of Economics, number 2021-01, Nov.
  2. Uluc Aysun, 2021, "Identifying the external and internal drivers of exchange rate volatility in small open economies: Evidence from Jamaica," Working Papers, University of Central Florida, Department of Economics, number 2021-02, Nov.

2020

  1. Uluc Aysun & Melanie Guldi & Adam Honig & Zeynep Yom, 2020, "R&D, Market Power and the Cyclicality of Employment," Working Papers, University of Central Florida, Department of Economics, number 2020-01, Aug.
  2. Uluc Aysun & Sami Alpanda, 2020, "Regulatory Arbitrage and Economic Stability," Working Papers, University of Central Florida, Department of Economics, number 2020-02, Aug.

2019

  1. Uluc Aysun, 2019, "Volatility costs of R&D," Working Papers, University of Central Florida, Department of Economics, number 2019-02, Jan.
  2. Uluc Aysun, 2019, "Centralized versus Decentralized Banking: Bank-level evidence from U.S. Call Reports," Working Papers, University of Central Florida, Department of Economics, number 2019-03, May.
  3. Uluc Aysun & Zeynep Yom, 2019, "R&D, innovation spillover and business cycles," Working Papers, University of Central Florida, Department of Economics, number 2019-04, Oct.

2018

  1. Stefan Avdjiev & Uluc Aysun & Ralf Hepp, 2018, "What drives local lending by global banks?," BIS Working Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 746, Sep.

2017

  1. Uluc Aysun & Takeshi Yagihashi, 2017, "The common sources of business cycles in Trans-Pacific countries and the U.S.? A comparison with NAFTA," Working Papers, University of Central Florida, Department of Economics, number 2017-03, Aug.
  2. Uluc Aysun & Zeynep Kabukcuoglu, 2017, "Interest rates, R&D investment and the distortionary effects of R&D incentives," Working Papers, University of Central Florida, Department of Economics, number 2017-04, Nov.

2016

  1. Uluc Aysun, 2016, "The credit channel is alive at the zero lower bound but how does it operate? Firm level evidence on the asymmetric effects of U.S. monetary policy," Working Papers, University of Central Florida, Department of Economics, number 2016-01, Jun.

2015

  1. Uluc Aysun, 2015, "The effects of global bank competition and presence on local business cycles: The Goldilocks principle does not apply to global banking," Working Papers, University of Central Florida, Department of Economics, number 2015-02, Aug, revised Oct 2015.
  2. Uluc Aysun, 2015, "Searching for the source of macroeconomic integration across advanced economies," Working Papers, University of Central Florida, Department of Economics, number 2015-01, Jan.

2014

  1. Uluc Aysun & Ralf Hepp, 2014, "A comparison of the internal and external determinants of global bank loans: Evidence from bilateral cross-country data," Working Papers, University of Central Florida, Department of Economics, number 2014-01, Aug.

2013

  1. Uluc Aysun, 2013, "Bank size and macroeconomic shock transmission: Are there economic volatility gains from shrinking large, too big to fail banks?," Working Papers, University of Central Florida, Department of Economics, number 2013-02, Aug.
  2. Uluc Aysun & Sanglim Lee, 2013, "The determinants of the deviations from the interest rate parity condition," Working Papers, University of Central Florida, Department of Economics, number 2013-03, Aug.

2012

  1. Uluc Aysun & Raman Khaddaria, 2012, "Bankruptcy resolution capacity and regional economic fluctuations," Working Papers, University of Central Florida, Department of Economics, number 2012-01, Jun.
  2. Uluc Aysun & Florence Bouvet & Richard Hofler, 2012, "An alternative measure of structural unemployment," Working Papers, University of Central Florida, Department of Economics, number 2012-04, Jul.
  3. Uluc Aysun & Sami Alpanda, 2012, "International Transmission of Financial Shocks in an Estimated DSGE model," Working Papers, University of Central Florida, Department of Economics, number 2012-06, Oct.

2011

  1. Uluc Aysun & Ralf Hepp, 2011, "Identifying the balance sheet and lending channels of monetary transmission: A loan-level analysis," Working Papers, University of Central Florida, Department of Economics, number 2011-01, Jul.
  2. Uluc Aysun, 2011, "The implications of dynamic financial frictions for DSGE models," Working Papers, University of Central Florida, Department of Economics, number 2011-02, Aug.
  3. Uluc Aysun & Ryan Brady & Adam Honig, 2011, "Financial Frictions and the Credit Channel of Monetary Transmission," Working Papers, University of Central Florida, Department of Economics, number 2011-03, Aug.
  4. Uluc Aysun & Sami Alpanda, 2011, "Global banking and the balance sheet channel of monetary transmission," Working Papers, University of Central Florida, Department of Economics, number 2011-04, Aug.

2010

  1. Uluc Aysun & Ralf Hepp, 2010, "Securitization and the Balance Sheet Channel of Monetary Transmission," Fordham Economics Discussion Paper Series, Fordham University, Department of Economics, number dp2010-05.
  2. Sami Alpanda & Uluc Aysun, 2010, "Bank globalization and the balance sheet channel of monetary transmission," Working papers, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics, number 2010-20, Jul.

2009

  1. Uluc Aysun & Melanie Guldi, 2009, "Exchange rate exposure: A nonparametric approach," Working papers, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics, number 2009-18, Jun.
  2. Uluc Aysun & Ryan Brady & Adam Honig, 2009, "Financial Frictions and Monetary Transmission Strength: A Cross-Country Analysis," Working papers, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics, number 2009-24, Aug, revised Jun 2010.
  3. Uluc Aysun, 2009, "An alternative method for measuring financial frictions," Working papers, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics, number 2009-34, Oct.

2008

  1. Uluc Aysun & Melanie Guldi, 2008, "Increasing Derivatives Market Activity in Emerging Markets and Exchange Rate Exposure," Working papers, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics, number 2008-06, Mar, revised Oct 2008.
  2. Uluc Aysun & Adam Honig, 2008, "Bankruptcy Costs, Liability Dollarization, and Vulnerability to Sudden Stops," Working papers, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics, number 2008-41, Oct.

2006

  1. Uluc Aysun, 2006, "Automatic Stabilizer Feature of Fixed Exchange Rate Regimes in Emerging Markets," Working papers, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics, number 2006-27, Aug, revised Aug 2008.
  2. Uluc Aysun, 2006, "Testing for Balance Sheet Effects in Emerging Market Countries," Working papers, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics, number 2006-28, Aug.
  3. Uluc Aysun, 2006, "Capital Flows, Maturity Mismatches and Profitability in Emerging Markets: Evidence from Bank Level Data," Working papers, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics, number 2006-29, Aug, revised Oct 2007.

Journal articles

2025

  1. Uluc Aysun & Melanie Guldi & Adam Honig & Zeynep Yom, 2025, "R&D, Market Power, and the Cyclicality of Employment," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, volume 57, issue 1, pages 151-184, February, DOI: 10.1111/jmcb.13091.

2024

  1. Alpanda, Sami & Aysun, Uluc & Kabaca, Serdar, 2024, "International portfolio rebalancing and fiscal policy spillovers," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 168, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2024.104925.
  2. Aysun, Uluc & Clarke, Karlia & Small, Oronde, 2024, "Capital outflow restrictions and dollar drainage," Economic Systems, Elsevier, volume 48, issue 2, DOI: 10.1016/j.ecosys.2023.101176.
  3. Aysun, Uluc, 2024, "Identifying the external and internal drivers of exchange rate volatility in small open economies," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, volume 58, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.ememar.2023.101085.
  4. Aysun, Uluc & Wright, Cardel, 2024, "A two-step dynamic factor modelling approach for forecasting inflation in small open economies," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, volume 62, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.ememar.2024.101188.
  5. Aysun, Uluc, 2024, "Technology diffusion and international business cycles," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, volume 140, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2023.102974.

2022

  1. Avdjiev, Stefan & Aysun, Uluc & Tseng, Michael C., 2022, "Regulatory arbitrage behavior of internationally active banks and global financial market conditions," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 112, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2022.105857.
  2. Aysun, Uluc, 2022, "A structural approach to measuring the degree of economic integration: Evidence from G-7 countries," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, volume 124, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2022.102632.
  3. Alpanda, Sami & Aysun, Uluc, 2022, "Regulatory arbitrage and economic stability," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, volume 129, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2022.102740.
  4. Uluc Aysun, 2022, "Centralized versus decentralized drivers of subsidiary lending: evidence from US Call Reports," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 62, issue 4, pages 1687-1714, April, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-021-02070-y.

2021

  1. Uluc Aysun & Zeynep Yom, 2021, "R&D Characteristics, Innovation Spillover, and Technology-Driven Business Cycles," Journal of Industry, Competition and Trade, Springer, volume 21, issue 3, pages 339-365, September, DOI: 10.1007/s10842-021-00358-4.

2020

  1. Aysun, Uluc, 2020, "Volatility costs of R&D," European Economic Review, Elsevier, volume 122, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2019.103365.

2019

  1. Uluc Aysun & Takeshi Yagihashi, 2019, "The common sources of business cycles in Trans‐Pacific countries and the US? A comparison with NAFTA," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, volume 42, issue 4, pages 1077-1109, April, DOI: 10.1111/twec.12742.
  2. Aysun, Uluc & Kabukcuoglu, Zeynep, 2019, "Interest rates, R&D investment and the distortionary effects of R&D incentives," European Economic Review, Elsevier, volume 111, issue C, pages 191-210, DOI: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2018.09.006.
  3. Avdjiev, Stefan & Aysun, Uluc & Hepp, Ralf, 2019, "What drives local lending by global banks?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, volume 90, issue C, pages 54-75, DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2018.09.005.

2018

  1. Aysun, Uluc, 2018, "The effects of global bank competition and presence on local economies: The Goldilocks principle may not apply to global banking," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 70, issue C, pages 159-173, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2017.10.018.
  2. Aysun, Uluc & Jeon, Kiyoung & Kabukcuoglu, Zeynep, 2018, "Is the credit channel alive? Firm-level evidence on the sensitivity of borrowing spreads to monetary policy," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 75, issue C, pages 305-319, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2018.07.004.

2016

  1. Aysun, Uluc & Hepp, Ralf, 2016, "The determinants of global bank lending: Evidence from bilateral cross-country data," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, volume 66, issue C, pages 35-52, DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2015.11.020.
  2. Aysun, Uluc, 2016, "Bank size and macroeconomic shock transmission: Does the credit channel operate through large or small banks?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, volume 65, issue C, pages 117-139, DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2016.04.001.
  3. Uluc Aysun, 2016, "Searching for the source of macroeconomic integration across advanced economies," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, volume 68, issue 2, pages 316-339.

2015

  1. Aysun, Uluc, 2015, "Duration of bankruptcy proceedings and monetary policy effectiveness," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, volume 44, issue C, pages 295-302, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmacro.2015.03.008.

2014

  1. Aysun, Uluc & Bouvet, Florence & Hofler, Richard, 2014, "An alternative measure of structural unemployment," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 38, issue C, pages 592-603, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2014.02.009.
  2. Aysun, Uluc & Lee, Sanglim, 2014, "Can time-varying risk premiums explain the excess returns in the interest rate parity condition?," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, volume 18, issue C, pages 78-100, DOI: 10.1016/j.ememar.2014.01.002.
  3. Alpanda, Sami & Aysun, Uluc, 2014, "International transmission of financial shocks in an estimated DSGE model," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, volume 47, issue C, pages 21-55, DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2014.04.007.
  4. Aysun, Uluc, 2014, "Bankruptcy resolution capacity and economic fluctuations," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, volume 40, issue C, pages 387-399, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmacro.2014.02.001.

2013

  1. Aysun, Uluc & Hepp, Ralf, 2013, "Identifying the balance sheet and the lending channels of monetary transmission: A loan-level analysis," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, volume 37, issue 8, pages 2812-2822, DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2013.04.006.
  2. Aysun, Uluc & Brady, Ryan & Honig, Adam, 2013, "Financial frictions and the strength of monetary transmission," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, volume 32, issue C, pages 1097-1119, DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2012.09.003.

2012

  1. Sami Alpanda & Uluc Aysun, 2012, "Global Banking and the Balance Sheet Channel of Monetary Transmission," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, volume 8, issue 3, pages 141-175, September.
  2. Uluc Aysun, 2012, "Capital Flows, Maturity Mismatches, and Profitability in Emerging Markets: Evidence From Bank Level Data," Journal of Developing Areas, Tennessee State University, College of Business, volume 46, issue 1, pages 211-239, January-J.

2011

  1. Aysun Uluc, 2011, "An Alternative Method for Measuring Financial Frictions," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, volume 11, issue 1, pages 1-31, April, DOI: 10.2202/1935-1690.2182.
  2. Aysun, Uluc & Honig, Adam, 2011, "Bankruptcy costs, liability dollarization, and vulnerability to sudden stops," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, volume 95, issue 2, pages 201-211, July.
  3. Aysun, Uluc & Guldi, Melanie, 2011, "Exchange rate exposure: A nonparametric approach," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, volume 12, issue 4, pages 321-337, DOI: 10.1016/j.ememar.2011.05.002.
  4. Aysun, Uluc & Hepp, Ralf, 2011, "Securitization and the balance sheet channel of monetary transmission," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, volume 35, issue 8, pages 2111-2122, August.
  5. Uluc Aysun & Melanie Guldi, 2011, "Derivatives Market Activity in Emerging Markets and Exchange Rate Exposure," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 47, issue 6, pages 46-67, November.

2010

  1. Uluc Aysun, 2010, "Testing for Balance Sheet Effects in Emerging Markets: A Non‐Crisis Setting," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, volume 13, issue 2, pages 223-256, August, DOI: 10.1111/j.1468-2362.2010.01262.x.

2008

  1. Aysun, Uluc, 2008, "Automatic stabilizer feature of fixed exchange rate regimes," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, volume 9, issue 4, pages 302-328, December.

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