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A robust consumption model when the intensity of technological progress is ambiguous

Author

Listed:
  • Motoh Tsujimura

    (Doshisha University)

  • Hidekazu Yoshioka

    (Shimane University)

Abstract

In this paper, we examine a consumption policy for economic growth when predictions of labor-augmenting technological progress are ambiguous. We focus especially on ambiguity related to the intensity of technological progress. We assume a production economy that consists of a representative household and firm. First, we estimate the long-term growth rate explicitly. Next, we formulate the central planner’s problem by employing a Hansen–Sargent-type robust control approach. We then verify the viscosity property of the Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman–Isaacs equation associated with the central planner’s problem. Then, we numerically solve the Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman–Isaacs equation to derive the optimal consumption policy. Furthermore, we numerically solve the nonlinear partial differential equation and obtain the optimal consumption and distortion.

Suggested Citation

  • Motoh Tsujimura & Hidekazu Yoshioka, 2023. "A robust consumption model when the intensity of technological progress is ambiguous," Mathematics and Financial Economics, Springer, volume 17, number 2, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:mathfi:v:17:y:2023:i:1:d:10.1007_s11579-022-00325-5
    DOI: 10.1007/s11579-022-00325-5
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Technological progress; Ambiguity; Poisson process; Robust control; Viscosity solutions;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C61 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Optimization Techniques; Programming Models; Dynamic Analysis
    • O33 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - Technological Change: Choices and Consequences; Diffusion Processes
    • O40 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - General

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