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Predicting mergers and acquisitions in the food industry

Author

Listed:
  • Adesoji Adelaja

    (Department of Agricultural, Food and Resource Economics, Cook College, Rutgers University, 55 Dudley Road, New Brunswick, NJ 08901)

  • Rodolfo Nayga

    (Department of Agricultural Economics, Texas A&M University, 334 Blocker Building, College Station, TX 77843-2124)

  • Zafar Farooq

    (Copelco Capital, Inc., One International Boulevard, Mahwah, NJ 07430)

Abstract

Two logit models are estimated to explain merger and acquisition (M&A) activities in US food manufacturing using firm level data for public firms: a “target model” predicting the likelihood of a firm being targeted for M&A and a “takeover model” predicting the likelihood of a targeted firm being taken over. Target model results suggest the importance of firm liquidity, debt|leverage, profitability, growth in sales, stock earnings capacity, percentage of common stocks traded in the stock market, and market-to-book ratio. Activity or turnover ratio, firm size, and price-earnings ratio were not statistically significant. Takeover model results suggest the importance of degree of officer control, attitude surrounding the transaction, number of prior bids, existence of litigation during negotiations, and involvement of the bidder and|or target in other takeovers during negotiations. With predictive accuracy of 74.5 and 62.9%, respectively, these models suggest the systematic nature of M&A activities. © 1999 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

Suggested Citation

  • Adesoji Adelaja & Rodolfo Nayga & Zafar Farooq, 1999. "Predicting mergers and acquisitions in the food industry," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 15(1), pages 1-23.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:agribz:v:15:y:1999:i:1:p:1-23
    DOI: 10.1002/(SICI)1520-6297(199924)15:1<1::AID-AGR1>3.0.CO;2-N
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Declerck, Francis, 2016. "Mergers & Acquisitions in the Food Business: How did the 2002 and 2008/2009 Economic Crises Impact Corporate Valuation?," International Journal on Food System Dynamics, International Center for Management, Communication, and Research, vol. 7(3), pages 1-13, June.
    2. Rude, James & Goddard, Ellen, 2021. "Canadian dairy regulations as a driver of foreign direct investment: the case of Saputo," International Food and Agribusiness Management Review, International Food and Agribusiness Management Association, vol. 24(3), February.
    3. Carlos J. O. Trejo‐Pech & Michael A. Gunderson & Dayton M. Lambert, 2021. "Mergers and acquisitions in the U.S. agribusiness sector, 1990–2017," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(4), pages 713-730, October.
    4. Theofanis Papageorgiou & Panayotis G. Michaelides & John G. Milios, 2011. "Technology and economic fluctuations in the US food sector (1958‐2006)," International Journal of Social Economics, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 38(2), pages 140-164, January.
    5. Dirk van der Krogt & Jerker Nilsson & Viggo Høst, 2007. "The impact of cooperatives' risk aversion and equity capital constraints on their inter-firm consolidation and collaboration strategies-with an empirical study of the European dairy industry," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 23(4), pages 453-472.
    6. Kim, C.S. & Hallahan, Charles B. & Schaible, Glenn D. & Leath, Mack N., 2000. "A Decomposed Regression Model For Measuring Structural Changes In The Flour Milling Industry," 2000 Annual meeting, July 30-August 2, Tampa, FL 21834, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    7. Richards, Timothy J. & Manfredo, Mark R., 2003. "Cooperative Mergers and Acquisitions: The Role of Capital Constraints," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 28(1), pages 1-17, April.
    8. Adesoji O. Adelaja & Ramyani Mukhopadhyay, 2022. "Time‐to‐completion for mergers and acquisitions in the food and agribusiness industry," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(3), pages 579-607, July.
    9. Muehlfeld, Katrin & Weitzel, Utz & van Witteloostuijn, Arjen, 2011. "Mergers and acquisitions in the global food processing industry in 1986-2006," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 36(4), pages 466-479, August.
    10. Hudson, Darren & Herndon, Cary W., Jr., 2000. "Mergers, Acquisitions, Joint Ventures, And Strategic Alliances In Agricultural Cooperatives," Research Reports 15799, Mississippi State University, Department of Agricultural Economics.
    11. Oliver Ebneth & Ludwig Theuvsen, 2007. "Large mergers and acquisitions of European brewing groups-event study evidence on value creation," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 23(3), pages 377-406.
    12. Tugce Karatas & Ali Hirsa, 2021. "Predicting Status of Pre and Post M&A Deals Using Machine Learning and Deep Learning Techniques," Papers 2110.09315, arXiv.org.
    13. Neumann, Gyde & Weiss, Christoph R., 2001. "Strukturwandel durch Fusionen im Ernährungssektor: Ein anhaltender Konzentrationsprozess?," German Journal of Agricultural Economics, Humboldt-Universitaet zu Berlin, Department for Agricultural Economics, vol. 50(06), pages 1-9.
    14. Papageorgiou, Theofanis & Michaelides, Panayotis G. & Milios, John, 2009. "Economic Fluctuations, Cyclical Regularities and Technological Change: The U.S. Food Sector (1958–2006)," MPRA Paper 67115, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    15. C.S. Kim & C. Hallahan & G. Schaible & G. Schluter, 2001. "Economic analysis of the changing structure of the U.S. flour milling industry," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 17(1), pages 161-171.

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