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Causality between Exports, Productivity and Financial Support in European Union Agriculture

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  • Bruce Morley
  • Wyn Morgan

Abstract

Morley B. and Morgan W. Causality between exports, productivity and financial support in European Union agriculture, Regional Studies. The aim of this paper is to investigate the causal relationship between exports and productivity and exports and agricultural support within the European Union. Using the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach to co-integration and error correction models, evidence is found of exports within the European Union being determined by support in Ireland and France, as well as gains in productivity contributing to export growth in Germany and the UK. This finding may help explain why some countries within the European Union, such as France, have large agricultural trade surpluses, whilst others run large deficits. [image omitted] Morley B. et Morgan W. Les rapports de causalite entre les exportations, la productivite et le soutien financier dans l'agriculture de l'Eu, Regional Studies. Cet article cherche a examiner les rapports de causalite entre les exportations et la productivite, et les exportations et le soutien agricole au sein de l'Eu. A partir de la facon ARDL d'aborder les modeles de cointegration et de correction d'erreur, il s'avere que, pour l'Irlande et la France, les exportations a l'interieur de l'Eu sont determinees par le soutien. En outre, pour l'Allemagne et le R-U, il s'avere que les gains de productivite contribuent a la croissance des exportations. Il se peut que ce resultat explique pourquoi certains pays-membres de l'Eu, tels la France, jouissent d'importants excedents agricoles, tandis que d'autres accusent d'importants deficits. Pac Exportations Soutien financier Productivite Morley B. und Morgan W. Die kausale Beziehung zwischen Exporten, Produktivitat und Finanzsubventionen in der Landwirtschaft der EU, Regional Studies. In diesem Beitrag wird die kausale Beziehung zwischen Exporten und Produktivitat sowie zwischen Exporten und landwirtschaftlichen Subventionen in der Europaischen Union untersucht. Mit Hilfe des ARDL-Ansatzes zur Kointegration und unter Einsatz von Fehlerkorrekturmodellen finden wir Belege dafur, dass die Exporte innerhalb der EU in Irland und Frankreich von Subventionen bestimmt werden und dass Produktivitatssteigerungen in Deutschland und Grossbritannien zum Exportwachstum beitragen. Diese Ergebnisse konnen zur Erklarung der Frage beitragen, warum einige Staaten der EU, wie zum Beispiel Frankreich, in der Landwirtschaft umfangreiche Handelsuberschusse verbuchen konnen, wahrend andere grosse Defizite aufweisen. GAP Exporte Finanzsubventionen Produktivitat Morley B. y Morgan W. Causalidad entre exportaciones, productividad y apoyo financiero en el sector agricola de la UE, Regional Studies. La finalidad de este ensayo es investigar la relacion causal entre exportaciones y productividad y las exportaciones y las subvenciones agricolas en la Union Europea. Con ayuda de un modelo autorregresivo con retardos distribuidos (ARDL), observamos en Irlanda y Francia la evidencia de exportaciones en la Union Europea que estan determinados por el apoyo, asi como los beneficios en la productividad que contribuyen al crecimiento de las exportaciones en Alemania y el Reino Unido. Estos resultados podrian explicar el motivo por el que algunos paises en la UE, por ejemplo Francia, tengan grandes excedentes de comercio agricola mientras que en otros hay grandes deficits. PAC Exportaciones Ayuda financiera Productividad

Suggested Citation

  • Bruce Morley & Wyn Morgan, 2008. "Causality between Exports, Productivity and Financial Support in European Union Agriculture," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(2), pages 189-198.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:regstd:v:42:y:2008:i:2:p:189-198
    DOI: 10.1080/00343400601142738
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    Cited by:

    1. Asma Saeed & Zahoor Ul Haq & Javed Iqbal, 2018. "Investigating the Nexus between Productivity and Export Performance of Pakistan," Global Economics Review, Humanity Only, vol. 3(2), pages 94-104, December.

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