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Measuring the impact of the European Capital of Culture programme on overnight stays: evidence for the last two decades

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  • Martin Falk
  • Eva Hagsten

Abstract

This study explores the effects of the European Capital of Culture (ECoC) on tourism demand, measured as overnight stays, for the years 1998–2014. The analysis includes 34 ECoC hosts and makes use of data on approximately 800 European cities. A difference-in-differences propensity score matching estimator shows that hosting the ECoC leads to an increase in overnight stays of 8% on average during the year of the event but does not stimulate tourism demand in subsequent years. To account for deviations in the distribution of tourism inflows between ECoC and other cities, the quantile difference-in-differences estimator is used. This leads to similar but somewhat stronger results, especially for the year of the event and for the year after. Separate estimations of ECoC hosts reveal that there is a certain degree of heterogeneity in the effect. Long-term impacts can only be observed for a small group of cities (Essen, Guimarães, Salamanca and Tallinn).

Suggested Citation

  • Martin Falk & Eva Hagsten, 2017. "Measuring the impact of the European Capital of Culture programme on overnight stays: evidence for the last two decades," European Planning Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(12), pages 2175-2191, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:eurpls:v:25:y:2017:i:12:p:2175-2191
    DOI: 10.1080/09654313.2017.1349738
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    Cited by:

    1. NataSa URBANÈiKOVA, 2018. "European Capitals Of Culture: What Are Their Individualities?," Theoretical and Empirical Researches in Urban Management, Research Centre in Public Administration and Public Services, Bucharest, Romania, vol. 13(4), pages 43-55, November.
    2. Miroslav D. Vujičić & Uglješa Stankov & Vanja Pavluković & Ivana Štajner-Papuga & Sanja Kovačić & Jovana Čikić & Nemanja Milenković & Tamara Zelenović Vasiljević, 2023. "Prepare for Impact! A Methodological Approach for Comprehensive Impact Evaluation of European Capital of Culture: The Case of Novi Sad 2022," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 165(2), pages 715-736, January.
    3. Enguang Zhang & Jing Zhang & Xuesi Li & Yangyang Dai & Mingdou Zhang & Weilu Li, 2024. "Does the establishment of civilized cities promote urban inclusive development?——Quasi-natural experiment based on the selection of “National Civilized City”," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 19(12), pages 1-26, December.
    4. Emanuela Macrì & Francesco Samà, 2022. "Matera, capitale Europea della Cultura 2019: effetti sul turismo e sull’economia locale," Regional Economy, , vol. 6(Q1), pages 33-40.
    5. Davorka Mikulić & Blanka Škrabić Perić & Zvonimir Kuliš, 2025. "The role of culture in shaping tourism demand: evidence from panel data analysis of European living labs," Eastern Journal of European Studies, Centre for European Studies, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, vol. 16, pages 70-97, June.
    6. Marijana Pantić & Saša Milijić, 2021. "The European Green Capital Award—Is It a Dream or Reality for Belgrade (Serbia)?," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(11), pages 1-20, May.
    7. Borowiecki, Karol Jan & Pedersen, Maja U. & Mitchell, Sara Beth, 2023. "Using big data to measure cultural tourism in Europe with unprecedented precision," Discussion Papers on Economics 5/2023, University of Southern Denmark, Department of Economics.
    8. Jiafeng Gu, 2024. "The impact of national tourism day festivals on inbound tourism: A spatial difference-in-differences approach," Tourism Economics, , vol. 30(2), pages 417-441, March.
    9. Žilić Ivan, 2024. "Just Dance? The Economic Effects of the Ultra Europe Music Festival in Split," Zagreb International Review of Economics and Business, Sciendo, vol. 27(2), pages 133-151.

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