Single housing starts and macroeconomic activity: an application of generalized impulse response analysis
Most studies that have examined the relationship between the housing market and the macroeconomy have focused on how changes in housing supply affect real activity and the like. In this paper, the possibility that housing starts respond to sudden changes or shocks to macroeconomic factors is explicitly accounted for. The empirical methodology employs the recently developed technique of generalized impulse response analysis Pesaran and Shin (1998). The results highlight the endogeneity that exists among the housing market and macroeconomic activity.
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Volume (Year): 12 (2005)
Issue (Month): 3 ()
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- Pesaran, M. H. & Shin, Y., 1997.
"Generalised Impulse Response Analysis in Linear Multivariate Models,"
Cambridge Working Papers in Economics
9710, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
- Pesaran, H. Hashem & Shin, Yongcheol, 1998. "Generalized impulse response analysis in linear multivariate models," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(1), pages 17-29, January.
- Thomas M. Fullerton Jr. & Juan Alberto Luevano & Carol Taylor West, 2004. "Accuracy of Regional Single-Family Housing Start Forecasts," Urban/Regional 0404010, EconWPA.
- Koop, Gary & Pesaran, M. Hashem & Potter, Simon M., 1996. "Impulse response analysis in nonlinear multivariate models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 74(1), pages 119-147, September.
- Yin-Wong Cheung & Menzie D. Chinn, 1999. "Are Macroeconomic Forecasts Informative? Cointegration Evidence from the ASA-NBER Surveys," NBER Working Papers 6926, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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