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Dynamic Management of a Water Resources-Socioeconomic-Environmental System Based on Feedbacks Using System Dynamics

Author

Listed:
  • Qianjin Dong

    (Wuhan University
    Wuhan University)

  • Xu Zhang

    (Wuhan University)

  • Yalin Chen

    (Nanjing University of Finance & Economics)

  • Debin Fang

    (Wuhan University)

Abstract

System dynamics (SD) have been used in water resources management for many years. However, water resources management using SD is usually in one direction, up to down or down to up, and does not consider internal and external system feedbacks, which may mislead managers and reduce the adaptability of water resources systems. Therefore, dynamic management of a water resources-socioeconomic-environmental (WSE) system based on feedbacks was established in this paper using SD, and a feedback function considering different intensities of feedbacks was proposed. The Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region (BTHR), China, was chosen as the study area. Three subsystems were included in the WSE system: a socioeconomic subsystem, a water resources subsystem, and an environmental subsystem. We established and compared different dynamic management scenarios with various intensities of feedbacks. The results show that the shortage of water resources and pollution in the BTHR will continue to deteriorate from 2015 to 2030 if no management measures are taken, and the government should direct more attention to reducing the water demand of primary industry and population growth. In addition, we found that the three subsystems in the WSE system influence each other and evolve mutually. In particular, the influence of the water resources subsystem on the environmental subsystem is remarkable and cannot be ignored. This paper may act as a guide for adaptive and multi-objective management of WSE systems.

Suggested Citation

  • Qianjin Dong & Xu Zhang & Yalin Chen & Debin Fang, 2019. "Dynamic Management of a Water Resources-Socioeconomic-Environmental System Based on Feedbacks Using System Dynamics," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 33(6), pages 2093-2108, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:33:y:2019:i:6:d:10.1007_s11269-019-02233-8
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-019-02233-8
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    2. Guojiao Chen & Cuiyou Yao & Lurong Fan & Linze Li & Haiqing Cao, 2022. "Sustainability-oriented system dynamics method for coordinated megacity ecosystem development: the case of Beijing, China," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 24(9), pages 11027-11057, September.
    3. Marzieh Momeni & Kourosh Behzadian & Hossein Yousefi & Sina Zahedi, 2021. "A Scenario-Based Management of Water Resources and Supply Systems Using a Combined System Dynamics and Compromise Programming Approach," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 35(12), pages 4233-4250, September.
    4. Huan Liu & Guangyuan Niu & Qingxiang Zhang & Yuxi Yang & Hong Yao, 2022. "Town-Level Aquatic Environmental Sensitivity Assessment Based on an Improved Ecological Footprint Model," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 36(2), pages 763-777, January.
    5. Mengjie Yang & Kai Yang & Yue Che & Shiqiang Lu & Fengyun Sun & Ying Chen & Mengting Li, 2021. "Resolving Transboundary Water Conflicts: Dynamic Evolutionary Analysis Using an Improved GMCR Model," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 35(10), pages 3321-3338, August.
    6. Keivan Karimlou & Nemat Hassani & Abdollah Rashidi Mehrabadi & Mohammad Reza Nazari, 2020. "Developing a Model for Decision-Makers in Dynamic Modeling of Urban Water System Management," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 34(2), pages 481-499, January.

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