IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/nathaz/v118y2023i2d10.1007_s11069-023-06054-2.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Weather, climate change, and transport: a review

Author

Listed:
  • Stefan Gössling

    (Western Norway Research Institute
    Linnaeus University)

  • Christoph Neger

    (Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Investigación Científica)

  • Robert Steiger

    (University of Innsbruck)

  • Rainer Bell

    (Bonn University)

Abstract

Transportation is affected by weather and extreme weather events, and there is evidence that heatwaves, heavy precipitation, storms, wildfires, and floods increasingly affect transport infrastructures, operations, and travel behavior. Climate change is expected to reinforce this trend, as mean weather parameters change, and the frequency and intensity of extreme events increases. This paper summarizes interrelationships of weather and transport for different transport modes from both supply and demand side perspectives on the basis of a literature review. To further explore the complexity of these interrelationships, it also evaluates news items (n = 839) in a sample of global media news outlets covering the world and population-dense world regions. Results confirm that extreme events have become disruptive of transport systems at the micro and macro scale, also affecting transport behavior. There are implications for environment, economy, technology, health, and society. Interrelationships are illustrated and discussed: Climatic impact drivers can be expected to increase transport vulnerabilities and risks, and have relevance for transport planning and adaptation.

Suggested Citation

  • Stefan Gössling & Christoph Neger & Robert Steiger & Rainer Bell, 2023. "Weather, climate change, and transport: a review," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 118(2), pages 1341-1360, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:118:y:2023:i:2:d:10.1007_s11069-023-06054-2
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-023-06054-2
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11069-023-06054-2
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11069-023-06054-2?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Burbidge, Rachel, 2018. "Adapting aviation to a changing climate: Key priorities for action," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 167-174.
    2. Borsky, Stefan & Unterberger, Christian, 2019. "Bad weather and flight delays: The impact of sudden and slow onset weather events," Economics of Transportation, Elsevier, vol. 18(C), pages 10-26.
    3. Ghislain Dubois & Jean-Paul Ceron & Stefan Gössling & C. Michael Hall, 2016. "Weather preferences of French tourists: lessons for climate change impact assessment," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 136(2), pages 339-351, May.
    4. Helbich, Marco & Böcker, Lars & Dijst, Martin, 2014. "Geographic heterogeneity in cycling under various weather conditions: evidence from Greater Rotterdam," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 38-47.
    5. Simon H. Lee & Paul D. Williams & Thomas H. A. Frame, 2019. "Increased shear in the North Atlantic upper-level jet stream over the past four decades," Nature, Nature, vol. 572(7771), pages 639-642, August.
    6. Bean, Richard & Pojani, Dorina & Corcoran, Jonathan, 2021. "How does weather affect bikeshare use? A comparative analysis of forty cities across climate zones," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    7. Motoaki, Yutaka & Daziano, Ricardo A., 2015. "A hybrid-choice latent-class model for the analysis of the effects of weather on cycling demand," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 217-230.
    8. Yuntao Zhou & Nan Zhang & Chao Li & Yong Liu & Ping Huang, 2018. "Decreased takeoff performance of aircraft due to climate change," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 151(3), pages 463-472, December.
    9. Wu, Jingwen & Liao, Hua, 2020. "Weather, travel mode choice, and impacts on subway ridership in Beijing," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 135(C), pages 264-279.
    10. Guy Gratton & Anil Padhra & Spyridon Rapsomanikis & Paul D. Williams, 2020. "The impacts of climate change on Greek airports," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 160(2), pages 219-231, May.
    11. Torbjørn Lorentzen, 2020. "Climate change and winter road maintenance," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 161(1), pages 225-242, July.
    12. Kimpton, Anthony & Loginova, Julia & Pojani, Dorina & Bean, Richard & Sigler, Thomas & Corcoran, Jonathan, 2022. "Weather to scoot? How weather shapes shared e-scooter ridership patterns," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    13. Bergström, A. & Magnusson, R., 2003. "Potential of transferring car trips to bicycle during winter," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 37(8), pages 649-666, October.
    14. Noland, Robert B., 2021. "Scootin’ in the rain: Does weather affect micromobility?," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 149(C), pages 114-123.
    15. Hong, Jinhyun & Philip McArthur, David & Stewart, Joanna L., 2020. "Can providing safe cycling infrastructure encourage people to cycle more when it rains? The use of crowdsourced cycling data (Strava)," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 133(C), pages 109-121.
    16. Nankervis, Max, 1999. "The effect of weather and climate on bicycle commuting," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 33(6), pages 417-431, August.
    17. Ethan D. Coffel & Terence R. Thompson & Radley M. Horton, 2017. "The impacts of rising temperatures on aircraft takeoff performance," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 144(2), pages 381-388, September.
    18. Böcker, Lars & Prillwitz, Jan & Dijst, Martin, 2013. "Climate change impacts on mode choices and travelled distances: a comparison of present with 2050 weather conditions for the Randstad Holland," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 176-185.
    19. Tom Thomas & Rinus Jaarsma & Bas Tutert, 2013. "Exploring temporal fluctuations of daily cycling demand on Dutch cycle paths: the influence of weather on cycling," Transportation, Springer, vol. 40(1), pages 1-22, January.
    20. An, Ran & Zahnow, Renee & Pojani, Dorina & Corcoran, Jonathan, 2019. "Weather and cycling in New York: The case of Citibike," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 97-112.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Bean, Richard & Pojani, Dorina & Corcoran, Jonathan, 2021. "How does weather affect bikeshare use? A comparative analysis of forty cities across climate zones," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    2. Wessel, Jan, 2020. "Using weather forecasts to forecast whether bikes are used," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 138(C), pages 537-559.
    3. Hong, Jinhyun & Philip McArthur, David & Stewart, Joanna L., 2020. "Can providing safe cycling infrastructure encourage people to cycle more when it rains? The use of crowdsourced cycling data (Strava)," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 133(C), pages 109-121.
    4. Wadud, Zia, 2014. "Cycling in a changed climate," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 12-20.
    5. Spencer, Phoebe & Watts, Richard & Vivanco, Luis & Flynn, Brian, 2013. "The effect of environmental factors on bicycle commuters in Vermont: influences of a northern climate," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 11-17.
    6. Kimpton, Anthony & Loginova, Julia & Pojani, Dorina & Bean, Richard & Sigler, Thomas & Corcoran, Jonathan, 2022. "Weather to scoot? How weather shapes shared e-scooter ridership patterns," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    7. Lanzendorf, Martin & Busch-Geertsema, Annika, 2014. "The cycling boom in large German cities—Empirical evidence for successful cycling campaigns," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 26-33.
    8. Böcker, Lars & Dijst, Martin & Faber, Jan, 2016. "Weather, transport mode choices and emotional travel experiences," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 360-373.
    9. Carmela De Vivo & Marta Ellena & Vincenzo Capozzi & Giorgio Budillon & Paola Mercogliano, 2022. "Risk assessment framework for Mediterranean airports: a focus on extreme temperatures and precipitations and sea level rise," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 111(1), pages 547-566, March.
    10. Faber, R.M. & Jonkeren, O. & de Haas, M.C. & Molin, E.J.E. & Kroesen, M., 2022. "Inferring modality styles by revealing mode choice heterogeneity in response to weather conditions," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 162(C), pages 282-295.
    11. de Kruijf, Joost & van der Waerden, Peter & Feng, Tao & Böcker, Lars & van Lierop, Dea & Ettema, Dick & Dijst, Martin, 2021. "Integrated weather effects on e-cycling in daily commuting: A longitudinal evaluation of weather effects on e-cycling in the Netherlands," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 148(C), pages 305-315.
    12. Rahat Sabyrbekov & Indra Overland, 2020. "Why Choose to Cycle in a Low-Income Country?," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(18), pages 1-14, September.
    13. Kyle Gebhart & Robert Noland, 2014. "The impact of weather conditions on bikeshare trips in Washington, DC," Transportation, Springer, vol. 41(6), pages 1205-1225, November.
    14. Hudde, Ansgar, 2023. "It's the mobility culture, stupid! Winter conditions strongly reduce bicycle usage in German cities, but not in Dutch ones," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 106(C).
    15. Kathrin Goldmann & Jan Wessel, 2020. "Some People Feel the Rain, Others Just Get Wet: An Analysis of Regional Differences in the Effects of Weather on Cycling," Working Papers 33, Institute of Transport Economics, University of Muenster.
    16. Ryley, Tim & Baumeister, Stefan & Coulter, Liese, 2020. "Climate change influences on aviation: A literature review," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 55-64.
    17. Khashayar Kazemzadeh & Aliaksei Laureshyn & Lena Winslott Hiselius & Enrico Ronchi, 2020. "Expanding the Scope of the Bicycle Level-of-Service Concept: A Review of the Literature," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(7), pages 1-30, April.
    18. Pucher, John & Buehler, Ralph & Seinen, Mark, 2011. "Bicycling renaissance in North America? An update and re-appraisal of cycling trends and policies," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 45(6), pages 451-475, July.
    19. Vandenbulcke, Grégory & Dujardin, Claire & Thomas, Isabelle & Geus, Bas de & Degraeuwe, Bart & Meeusen, Romain & Panis, Luc Int, 2011. "Cycle commuting in Belgium: Spatial determinants and 're-cycling' strategies," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 45(2), pages 118-137, February.
    20. Chandra, Shailesh & Jimenez, Jose & Radhakrishnan, Ramalingam, 2017. "Accessibility evaluations for nighttime walking and bicycling for low-income shift workers," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 97-108.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:118:y:2023:i:2:d:10.1007_s11069-023-06054-2. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.