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Bad weather and flight delays: The impact of sudden and slow onset weather events

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  • Borsky, Stefan
  • Unterberger, Christian

Abstract

Weather shocks frequently impair the smooth functioning of transportation systems. We use a dataset consisting of 2.14 million flight departures from ten large U.S. airports between January 2012 and September 2017, and estimate the effects sudden onset events, i.e., precipitation and wind, and slow onset events, i.e., temperature, have on departure delay. For sudden onset events, we apply a difference-in-difference framework that allows for inferences at the hourly level. The effects of slow onset events on departure delay are estimated based on a Prais Winstein estimator with panel-corrected standard errors. Our estimates show a significant increase in departure delay of up to 23 min depending on the weather type and intensity of the disturbance. Given the social costs of schedule delays, these results are of high economic importance.

Suggested Citation

  • Borsky, Stefan & Unterberger, Christian, 2019. "Bad weather and flight delays: The impact of sudden and slow onset weather events," Economics of Transportation, Elsevier, vol. 18(C), pages 10-26.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecotra:v:18:y:2019:i:c:p:10-26
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ecotra.2019.02.002
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    Cited by:

    1. Carmela De Vivo & Marta Ellena & Vincenzo Capozzi & Giorgio Budillon & Paola Mercogliano, 2022. "Risk assessment framework for Mediterranean airports: a focus on extreme temperatures and precipitations and sea level rise," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 111(1), pages 547-566, March.
    2. Lonzius, Christopher & Lange, Anne, 2024. "Aircraft routing clusters and their impact on airline delays," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    3. Chen, Xiaoguang & Chen, Luoye & Xie, Wei & Mueller, Nathaniel D. & Davis, Steven J., 2023. "Flight delays due to air pollution in China," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
    4. Li, Zheng & Hensher, David A. & Rose, John M., 2010. "Willingness to pay for travel time reliability in passenger transport: A review and some new empirical evidence," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 46(3), pages 384-403, May.
    5. Meng, Ling-zhong & Wu, Ming-gong & Wen, Xiang-xi & Li, Guan-zhe & Sun, Xin-guo, 2025. "Delay propagation analysis based on an improved SIR infectious disease model," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 674(C).
    6. Stefan Gössling & Christoph Neger & Robert Steiger & Rainer Bell, 2023. "Weather, climate change, and transport: a review," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 118(2), pages 1341-1360, September.
    7. Mogtit, Abdessamed & Boudjemaa, Redouane & Lagha, Mohand, 2022. "A novel hybrid algorithm based on ga and m-nn for an optimal design of a weather radar network," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    8. Altringer, Levi & Zahran, Sammy & Shwiff, Stephanie A. & Begier, Michael J. & Anderson, Aaron, 2022. "Spillover delay effects of damaging wildlife strike events at U.S. airports," Economics of Transportation, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).
    9. Zhang, Yuhui & Liu, Lili & Peng, Xiong, 2025. "Time series prediction of airport operational resilience under severe weather conditions," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
    10. Hana Pačaiová & Peter Korba & Michal Hovanec & Jozef Galanda & Patrik Šváb & Ján Lukáč, 2021. "Use of Simulation Tools for Optimization of the Time Duration of Winter Maintenance Activities at Airports," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(3), pages 1-14, January.
    11. de Oliveira, McWillian & Eufrásio, Ana Beatriz Rebouças & Guterres, Marcelo Xavier & Murça, Mayara Condé Rocha & Gomes, Rogéria de Arantes, 2021. "Analysis of airport weather impact on on-time performance of arrival flights for the Brazilian domestic air transportation system," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    12. Andrej Přívara & Magdaléna Přívarová, 2019. "Nexus between Climate Change, Displacement and Conflict: Afghanistan Case," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(20), pages 1-19, October.
    13. Sun, Ruihong & Chen, Chun-Da & Chen, Ming-Hsiang & Wang, Renxin & Ye, Xinliang & Zou, Suiwen Sharon, 2025. "The impact of meteorological factors on cruise operations," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 163(C), pages 232-246.
    14. Park, Dong Kie & Kim, Jin Ki, 2023. "Influential factors to aircraft taxi time in airport," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 106(C).
    15. Calzada, Joan & Fageda, Xavier, 2023. "Airport dominance, route network design and flight delays," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 170(C).
    16. Lemetti, Anastasia & Hardell, Henrik & Polishchuk, Tatiana, 2023. "Arrival flight efficiency in pre- and post-Covid-19 pandemics," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 107(C).

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming
    • R41 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Transportation Economics - - - Transportation: Demand, Supply, and Congestion; Travel Time; Safety and Accidents; Transportation Noise

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