More-or-less elicitation (MOLE): reducing bias in range estimation and forecasting
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References listed on IDEAS
- AndrÃ¡s Vargha & Harold D. Delaney, 2000. "A Critique and Improvement of the CL Common Language Effect Size Statistics of McGraw and Wong," Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, , vol. 25(2), pages 101-132, June.
- Uriel Haran & Don A. Moore & Carey K. Morewedge, 2010. "A simple remedy for overprecision in judgment," Judgment and Decision Making, Society for Judgment and Decision Making, vol. 5(7), pages 467-476, December.
- Arthur Carvalho, 2016. "An Overview of Applications of Proper Scoring Rules," Decision Analysis, INFORMS, vol. 13(4), pages 223-242, December.
- Furnham, Adrian & Boo, Hua Chu, 2011. "A literature review of the anchoring effect," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), Elsevier, vol. 40(1), pages 35-42, February.
- repec:wly:riskan:v:35:y:2015:i:7:p:1230-1251 is not listed on IDEAS
More about this item
KeywordsBias; Elicitation; Forecasting; Overconfidence; Range estimation; Anchoring;
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