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Commodity Prices and Domestic Inflation in India

Author

Listed:
  • Ajit R. Joshi

    (Ajit R. Joshi, Research Scholar, Indian Institute of Technology Madras, Chennai, India. E-mail: ajitjoshirbi@gmail.com)

  • Debashis Acharya

    (Debashis Acharya, Associate Professor, Department of Economics, University of Hyderabad, Hyderabad. E-mail: debuiitm@gmail.com)

Abstract

In this article, the relationship between international prices of primary commodities and domestic inflation in India has been explored empirically for the period 1994 to 2007. For this purpose a commodity price index with international price quotations and domestic WPI weights has been constructed. The empirical results show that cointegration between international and domestic prices has grown stronger in the period since 2000. The co-movement is found at both aggregate indices as also the sub-groups viz. fuel and manufactured products. While carrying out this analysis, it was found that it is necessary to use an appropriate index, in order to capture the country-specific exposure, rather than using the aggregate indices published by international agencies, whose coverage and weights may not represent the risks and exposures of specific countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Ajit R. Joshi & Debashis Acharya, 2011. "Commodity Prices and Domestic Inflation in India," Global Journal of Emerging Market Economies, Emerging Markets Forum, vol. 3(2), pages 223-246, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:emeeco:v:3:y:2011:i:2:p:223-246
    DOI: 10.1177/097491011100300204
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Calista Cheung & Sylvie Morin, 2007. "The Impact of Emerging Asia on Commodity Prices," Money Affairs, CEMLA, vol. 0(2), pages 181-224, July-Dece.
    2. Mahdavi, Saeid & Zhou, Su, 1997. "Gold and commodity prices as leading indicators of inflation: Tests of long-run relationship and predictive performance," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 49(5), pages 475-489.
    3. Gregory, Allan W. & Hansen, Bruce E., 1996. "Residual-based tests for cointegration in models with regime shifts," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 70(1), pages 99-126, January.
    4. Gregory, Allan W & Hansen, Bruce E, 1996. "Tests for Cointegration in Models with Regime and Trend Shifts," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 58(3), pages 555-560, August.
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    Cited by:

    1. Hoang, Thi Hong Van & Lahiani, Amine & Heller, David, 2016. "Is gold a hedge against inflation? New evidence from a nonlinear ARDL approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 54-66.
    2. Pratap Kumar JENA, 2016. "Commodity market integration and price transmission: Empirical evidence from India," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania - AGER, vol. 0(3(608), A), pages 283-306, Autumn.
    3. Thi Hong Van Hoang & Amine Lahiani & David Heller, 2016. "Is gold a hedge against inflation? New evidence from a nonlinear ARDL approach," Post-Print hal-02012307, HAL.
    4. Pratap Kumar JENA, 2016. "Commodity market integration and price transmission: Empirical evidence from India," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania - AGER, vol. 0(3(608), A), pages 283-306, Autumn.
    5. Biru Paksha Paul & Hassan Zaman, 2013. "When and Why does Bangladesh’s Inflation Differ from India’s?," Working Papers id:5599, eSocialSciences.
    6. Rexford Abaidoo & Elvis Kwame Agyapong, 2023. "Global food price volatility and inflationary pressures among developing economies," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 3(10), pages 1-21, October.

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