IDEAS home Printed from
   My bibliography  Save this article

Decomposing Productivity Changes – Romania’s Counties Case


  • Cristina LINCARU

    () (National Scientific Research Institute for Labor and Social Protection – INCSMPS)

  • Speranţa PÎRCIOG

    () (National Scientific Research Institute for Labor and Social Protection – INCSMPS)


The Sectoral Pattern of Growth at county level in Romania may be characterised by “decomposing output growth per worker within sectoral changes and between sectoral changes”. The Job Generation and Growth Decomposition Tool, or JoGGs (Step 3&5) (World Bank, 2011 & Guide), is applied to ten economic sectors (NACE Rev.2) in all 42 counties (NUTS3 level) during the 2010-2013 period. The contribution of each sector, as well as of the inter-sectoral employment shifts, to the observed growth in total output per worker (real 2010 Euros/worker by county) is treated as lattice data (Anselin, 2002). The results are presented in the Chloropleth classification technique univariate maps, by five classes calculated with Jenks natural interval classification scheme. The contribution of each sector to changes in output per worker linked to employment relocation effects offers an image of the manifestation of structural change as a factor behind growth.

Suggested Citation

  • Cristina LINCARU & Speranţa PÎRCIOG, 2017. "Decomposing Productivity Changes – Romania’s Counties Case," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(3), pages 166-184, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:rjr:romjef:v::y:2017:i:3:p:166-184

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL:
    Download Restriction: no

    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Philippe Aghion & Diego Comin & Peter Howitt & Isabel Tecu, 2016. "When Does Domestic Savings Matter for Economic Growth?," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 64(3), pages 381-407, August.
    2. Nelson, Richard R & Winter, Sidney G, 1974. "Neoclassical vs. Evolutionary Theories of Economic Growth: Critique and Prospectus," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 84(336), pages 886-905, December.
    3. Margaret S. McMillan & Dani Rodrik, 2011. "Globalization, Structural Change and Productivity Growth," NBER Working Papers 17143, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. Marcel P. Timmer & Mary O’Mahony & Bart van Ark, 2007. "EU KLEMS Growth and Productivity Accounts: An Overview," International Productivity Monitor, Centre for the Study of Living Standards, vol. 14, pages 71-85, Spring.
    5. Elena Pelinescu & Elisei Craciun, 2014. "The human capital in the knowledge society. Theoretical and empirical approach," Manager Journal, Faculty of Business and Administration, University of Bucharest, vol. 20(1), pages 7-18, December.
    6. Philippe Aghion & Peter Howitt, 2009. "The Economics of Growth," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 1, volume 1, number 0262012634, November.
    7. -, 2009. "Economic growth in the Caribbean," Sede Subregional de la CEPAL para el Caribe (Estudios e Investigaciones) 38668, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL).
    8. Rennings, Klaus, 2000. "Redefining innovation -- eco-innovation research and the contribution from ecological economics," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 32(2), pages 319-332, February.
    9. repec:rjr:romjef:v::y:2017:i:1:p:75-97 is not listed on IDEAS
    10. Zhang, Biao & Zhang, Dongxiang & Wang, Juan & Huang, Xiashuai, 2013. "Does Venture Capital Spur Economic Growth? Evidence from Israel," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 115-128, June.
    11. Víctor Raúl López Ruiz & Domingo Nevado Peńa & José Luis Alfaro Navarro & Adriana Grigorescu, 2014. "Human Development European City Index: Methodology And Results," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(3), pages 72-87, October.
    12. Elena PELINESCU, 2016. "The Human Capital And Development. The Romanian Case Study," Institute for Economic Forecasting Conference Proceedings 161105, Institute for Economic Forecasting.
    13. repec:oup:indcch:v:27:y:2018:i:1:p:15-47. is not listed on IDEAS
    14. Jing Xiao & Ron Boschma & Martin Andersson, 2018. "Resilience in the European Union: the effect of the 2008 crisis on the ability of regions in Europe to develop new industrial specializations," Industrial and Corporate Change, Oxford University Press, vol. 27(1), pages 15-47.
    15. Olu Ajakaiye & Afeikhena T. Jerome & David Nabena & Olufunke A. Alaba, 2015. "Understanding the relationship between growth and employment in Nigeria," WIDER Working Paper Series 124, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    16. Jula, Dorin & Jula, Nicolae Marius, 2013. "Economic Growth and Structural Changes in Regional EmploymenT," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 52-69, June.
    17. Elena Pelinescu & Marioara Iordan & Mihaela-Nona Chilian, 2012. "Competitiveness Of The Romanian Economy From European Perspective," New Trends in Modelling and Economic Forecast (MEF 2011), ROMANIAN ACADEMY – INSTITUTE FOR ECONOMIC FORECASTING;"Nicolae Titulescu" University of Bucharest, Faculty of Economic Sciences, vol. 1(1), pages 86-104, January.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)


    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.

    Cited by:

    1. repec:cmj:journl:y:2018:i:1:p:29-32 is not listed on IDEAS

    More about this item


    output per worker changes; changes in output per worker within sector; movements of labour between sectors; structural changes; Locations with sectors with productivity driven by innovation; Locations with sectors without productivity driven by innovation;

    JEL classification:

    • O47 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence
    • O41 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - One, Two, and Multisector Growth Models
    • O15 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Economic Development: Human Resources; Human Development; Income Distribution; Migration


    Access and download statistics


    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:rjr:romjef:v::y:2017:i:3:p:166-184. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Corina Saman). General contact details of provider: .

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service hosted by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis . RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.