IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/rjr/romjef/vy2010i4p44-53.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The Balassa-Samuelson Effect in Romania

Author

Listed:
  • Dedu, Vasile

    () (Academy of Economic Studies, Bucharest)

  • Dumitrescu, Bogdan Andrei

    () (Academy of Economic Studies, Bucharest)

Abstract

This paper aims to provide estimates of the the Balassa-Samuelson effect in Romania – the extent to which differences in productivity growth between tradables and nontradables industries explain the observed differences in inflation between Romania and the euro area. The Balassa-Samuelson effect has major implications for interpretation of the inflation and the exchange rate criteria for European Monetary Union membership. The conclusion is that the Balassa-Samuelson effect explains only marginally the observed inflation differential. Unlike previous studies which estimated higher values for this effect, this paper considers the productivity differential of each sector and the weight of the tradables sector in Romania in relation to the Euro Area. The results show that there is very unlikely that the productivity differential endangers the nominal convergence criterions.

Suggested Citation

  • Dedu, Vasile & Dumitrescu, Bogdan Andrei, 2010. "The Balassa-Samuelson Effect in Romania," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(4), pages 44-53, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:rjr:romjef:v::y:2010:i:4:p:44-53
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.ipe.ro/rjef/rjef4_10/rjef4_10_4.pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Canzoneri, Matthew B. & Cumby, Robert E. & Diba, Behzad, 1999. "Relative labor productivity and the real exchange rate in the long run: evidence for a panel of OECD countries," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 47(2), pages 245-266, April.
    2. Egert, Balazs & Drine, Imed & Lommatzsch, Kirsten & Rault, Christophe, 2003. "The Balassa-Samuelson effect in Central and Eastern Europe: myth or reality?," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 552-572, September.
    3. Bela Balassa, 1964. "The Purchasing-Power Parity Doctrine: A Reappraisal," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 72, pages 584-584.
    4. Egert, Balazs, 2002. "Estimating the impact of the Balassa-Samuelson effect on inflation and the real exchange rate during the transition," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 26(1), pages 1-16, April.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Mirjana Miletić, 2012. "Estimating the Impact of the Balassa-Samuelson Effect in Central and Eastern European Countries: A Revised Analysis of Panel Data Cointegration Tests," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 59(4), pages 475-499, September.
    2. Mirjana Miletic, 2012. "Estimating the Impact of the Balassa-Samuelson Effect in Central and Eastern European Countries: A Revised Analysis of Panel Data Cointegration Tests," Working papers 22, National Bank of Serbia.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Balassa-Samuelson effect; productivity differential; inflation differential; nominal convergence;

    JEL classification:

    • E30 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • F33 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:rjr:romjef:v::y:2010:i:4:p:44-53. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Corina Saman). General contact details of provider: http://edirc.repec.org/data/ipacaro.html .

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service hosted by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis . RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.