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Exchange Rate Regimes and Poland's Participation in ERM II

Author

Listed:
  • Jakub Borowski

    (National Bank of Poland)

  • Michal Brzoza- Brzezina

    (National Bank of Poland, Warsaw School of Economics)

  • Piotr Szpunar

    (National Bank of Poland)

Abstract

In this paper we address some of the issues resulting from Poland's will to join the Economic and Monetary Union. Our attention focuses on topics related to the possibly soon entry into the European exchange rate mechanism (ERM II). We consider the possible paths of entering the system, providing a detailed analysis of the choice of fluctuation margins and the central parity. Further, we analyze the possible monetary policy strategies within the system. We describe the benefits and drawbacks of ERM II participation and consider the eventuality of parity revaluation. In this part estimates of the Balassa-Samuelson effect for Poland are provided.

Suggested Citation

  • Jakub Borowski & Michal Brzoza- Brzezina & Piotr Szpunar, 2003. "Exchange Rate Regimes and Poland's Participation in ERM II," Macroeconomics 0302002, EconWPA.
  • Handle: RePEc:wpa:wuwpma:0302002 Note: Type of Document - PDF; prepared on IBM PC ; to print on HP;
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    File URL: http://econwpa.repec.org/eps/mac/papers/0302/0302002.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Anne-Marie Brook & David Hargreaves, 2001. "PPP-based analysis of New Zealand's equilibrium exchange rate," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series DP2001/01, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
    2. Canzoneri, Matthew B. & Cumby, Robert E. & Diba, Behzad, 1999. "Relative labor productivity and the real exchange rate in the long run: evidence for a panel of OECD countries," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, pages 245-266.
    3. Michał Brzoza-Brzezina, 2002. "Estimating the Natural Rate of Interest: A SVAR Approach," NBP Working Papers 27, Narodowy Bank Polski, Economic Research Department.
    4. Egert, Balazs & Drine, Imed & Lommatzsch, Kirsten & Rault, Christophe, 2003. "The Balassa-Samuelson effect in Central and Eastern Europe: myth or reality?," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, pages 552-572.
    5. Virginie Coudert & Cécile Couharde, 2003. "Exchange Rate Regimes and Sustainable Parities for ceecs in the Run-up to emu Membership," Revue économique, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 54(5), pages 983-1012.
    6. Michał Brzoza-Brzezina, 2002. "The Relationship between Real Interest Rates and Inflation," NBP Working Papers 23, Narodowy Bank Polski, Economic Research Department.
    7. Egert, Balazs, 2002. "Estimating the impact of the Balassa-Samuelson effect on inflation and the real exchange rate during the transition," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 26(1), pages 1-16, April.
    8. Laszlo Halpern & Charles Wyplosz, 2001. "Economic Transformation and Real Exchange Rates in the 2000s: The Balassa-Samuelson Connection," ECE Discussion Papers Series 2001_1, UNECE.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Vladimir Lavrac, 2003. "Institutional Aspects of Dynamics of Inclusion of Accession Countries into the EMU," Eastward Enlargement of the Euro-zone Working Papers wp18, Free University Berlin, Jean Monnet Centre of Excellence, revised 01 Jun 2003.
    2. repec:pal:compes:v:59:y:2017:i:4:d:10.1057_s41294-017-0035-3 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Milka Kazandziska, 2016. "Macroeconomic Policy Regime In Poland," Equilibrium. Quarterly Journal of Economics and Economic Policy, Institute of Economic Research, pages 411-436.
    4. Michalczyk Wawrzyniec, 2011. "An Overview to the Exchange Rate Stability as A Criterion of the Accession to the Euro Zone," Folia Oeconomica Stetinensia, De Gruyter Open, pages 120-130.
    5. Imre Vámos & Zsuzsanna Novák, 2015. "Four currencies outside the eurozone," International Journal of Business and Economic Sciences Applied Research (IJBESAR), Eastern Macedonia and Thrace Institute of Technology (EMATTECH), Kavala, Greece, vol. 8(3), pages 97-108, December.
    6. Kilponen, Juha, 2003. "A Positive theory of monetary policy and robust control," Research Discussion Papers 18/2003, Bank of Finland.
    7. Magdalena RADULESCU & Doina Elena DASCALU, 2016. "The Monetary Regimes And The Inflation Developments In The Central And Eastern European Countries," Scientific Bulletin - Economic Sciences, University of Pitesti, vol. 15(1), pages 3-15.
    8. Paul de Grauwe & Gunther Schnabl, 2004. "Nominal versus Real Convergence with Respect to EMU Accession.How to Cope with the Balassa-Samuelson Dilemma," EUI-RSCAS Working Papers 20, European University Institute (EUI), Robert Schuman Centre of Advanced Studies (RSCAS).
    9. Jakub Borowski & Michal Brzoza- Brzezina, 2004. "Designing Poland’s Macroeconomic Strategy on the Way to the Euro Area," Macroeconomics 0404015, EconWPA.
    10. Alfred Janc & Michal Jurek & Pawel Marszalek, 2013. "Studies in Financial Systems No 7 Financial System in Poland," FESSUD studies fstudy07, Financialisation, Economy, Society & Sustainable Development (FESSUD) Project.
    11. Gunther Schnabl & Paul De Grauwe, 2004. "Nominal versus Real Convergence with Respect to EMU Accession - EMU Entry Scenarios for the New Member States," International Finance 0403008, EconWPA, revised 16 Feb 2005.
    12. Jerzy Pruski & Piotr Szpunar, 2005. "Exchange rate policy and foreign exchange interventions in Poland," BIS Papers chapters,in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Foreign exchange market intervention in emerging markets: motives, techniques and implications, volume 24, pages 255-64 Bank for International Settlements.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Transition economies; Poland; ERM II; Balassa-Samuelson effect; equilibrium exchange rate;

    JEL classification:

    • E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics
    • F - International Economics

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