IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ris/joefas/0042.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The Mexican Peso: Exchange Risk Coverage Management through the Forgotten Effects Theory

Author

Listed:
  • Salazar-Garza, Ricardo

    () (Universidad de Monterrey)

Abstract

El presente trabajo desarrolla un modelo no lineal de predicción del comportamiento del tipo de cambio a futuro basado en la opinión de los agentes económicos participantes en el mercado dólar/peso. Tales opiniones son tratadas mediante la Lógica Borrosa y una variante de ésta, conocida como la Teoría de los Efectos Olvidados.La finalidad es encontrar un mecanismo de toma de decisiones de cobertura que nos permita una administración de riesgo de tipo de cambio óptima a un menor costo que aquel que conlleva realizar operaciones con los instrumentos de cobertura tradicional. Para el periodo investigado y mediante este modelo, los resultados sustentan que las opiniones conjuntas de los expertos económicos involucrados en la toma de decisiones de administración de riesgo de tipo de cambio brindan mejores resultados que aquellos que utilizan métodos tradicionales en los mercados de futuros.

Suggested Citation

  • Salazar-Garza, Ricardo, 2012. "The Mexican Peso: Exchange Risk Coverage Management through the Forgotten Effects Theory," Journal of Economics, Finance and Administrative Science, Universidad ESAN, vol. 17(32), pages 53-73.
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:joefas:0042
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.esan.edu.pe/publicaciones/2012/05/23/journal32_salazar.pdf
    File Function: Full text
    Download Restriction: no

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Martin D.D. Evans & Richard K. Lyons, 2017. "Order Flow and Exchange Rate Dynamics," World Scientific Book Chapters,in: Studies in Foreign Exchange Economics, chapter 6, pages 247-290 World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    2. Goldberg, Linda & Tenorio, Rafael, 1997. "Strategic trading in a two-sided foreign exchange auction1," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 42(3-4), pages 299-326, May.
    3. Meese, Richard A. & Rogoff, Kenneth, 1983. "Empirical exchange rate models of the seventies : Do they fit out of sample?," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 14(1-2), pages 3-24, February.
    4. Gunther Tichy, 2002. "Over-optimism Among Experts in Assessment and Foresight," ITA manu:scripts 02_05, Institute of Technology Assessment (ITA).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ris:joefas:0042. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (ESAN Ediciones). General contact details of provider: http://edirc.repec.org/data/esannpe.html .

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service hosted by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis . RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.