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The Offshore Renminbi Exchange Rate: Microstructure and Links to the Onshore Market

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  • Yin-Wong Cheung
  • Dagfinn Rime

Abstract

The offshore renminbi (CNH) exchange rate is the exchange rate of the Chinese currency transacted outside China. We study the CNH exchange rate dynamics and its links with onshore exchange rates. Using a specialized microstructure dataset, we find that CNH is significantly affected by its order flow and limit-order imbalance. The offshore CNH exchange rate has an increasing impact on the onshore rate, and significant predictive power for the official RMB central parity rate. The CNH order flow also affects the onshore RMB exchange rate and the central parity rate. The interactions between variables are likely to be time-varying.

Suggested Citation

  • Yin-Wong Cheung & Dagfinn Rime, 2014. "The Offshore Renminbi Exchange Rate: Microstructure and Links to the Onshore Market," CESifo Working Paper Series 4850, CESifo Group Munich.
  • Handle: RePEc:ces:ceswps:_4850
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    Cited by:

    1. Fatum, Rasmus & Yamamoto, Yohei & Zhu, Guozhong, 2017. "Is the Renminbi a safe haven?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 189-202.
    2. Shu, Chang & He, Dong & Cheng, Xiaoqiang, 2015. "One currency, two markets: the renminbi's growing influence in Asia-Pacific," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 163-178.
    3. Funke, Michael & Shu, Chang & Cheng, Xiaoqiang & Eraslan, Sercan, 2015. "Assessing the CNH–CNY pricing differential: Role of fundamentals, contagion and policy," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 245-262.
    4. Yin-Wong Cheung & Dagfinn Rime, 2014. "The Offshore Renminbi Exchange Rate: Microstructure and Links to the Onshore Market," CESifo Working Paper Series 4850, CESifo Group Munich.
    5. Liu, Tao, 2014. "The onshore-offshore interaction of RMB market: a high-frequency analysis," MPRA Paper 63905, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Cheung, Yin-Wong & Rime, Dagfinn, 2014. "The offshore renminbi exchange rate: Microstructure and links to the onshore market," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(PA), pages 170-189.
    7. Yin-Wong Cheung & Cho-Hoi Hui & Andrew Tsang, 2017. "The RMB Central Parity Formation Mechanism after August 2015: A Statistical Analysis," Working Papers 062017, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research.
    8. repec:eee:intfin:v:49:y:2017:i:c:p:173-183 is not listed on IDEAS
    9. repec:spr:empeco:v:57:y:2019:i:5:d:10.1007_s00181-018-1516-6 is not listed on IDEAS
    10. Jiadong Tong & Zijun Wang & Jian Yang, 2016. "Information Flow Between Forward and Spot Markets: Evidence From the Chinese Renminbi," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(7), pages 695-718, July.
    11. Yin-Wong Cheung & Cho-Hoi Hui & Andrew Tsang, 2016. "The Renminbi Central Parity: An Empirical Investigation," CESifo Working Paper Series 5963, CESifo Group Munich.
    12. repec:eee:eneeco:v:77:y:2019:i:c:p:80-92 is not listed on IDEAS
    13. Qing, He & Korhonen, Iikka & Zongxin, Qian, 2017. "Monetary policy transmission with two exchange rates and a single currency : The Chinese experience," BOFIT Discussion Papers 14/2017, Bank of Finland, Institute for Economies in Transition.
    14. repec:eee:pacfin:v:49:y:2018:i:c:p:232-247 is not listed on IDEAS
    15. Rasmus Fatum & Yohei Yamamoto & Guozhong Zhu, 2016. "Is the Renminbi a Safe Haven?," Working Papers e109, Tokyo Center for Economic Research.
    16. Yin-Wong CheungAuthor-Workplace-Name: City University of Hong Kong & Matthew S. Yiu, 2016. "Offshore Renminbi Trading: Findings from the 2013 BIS Triennial Central Bank Survey," Working Papers 142016, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research.
    17. Xu, Hai-Chuan & Zhou, Wei-Xing & Sornette, Didier, 2017. "Time-dependent lead-lag relationship between the onshore and offshore Renminbi exchange rates," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 173-183.
    18. Cheung, Yin-Wong & Hui, Cho-Hoi & Tsang, Andrew, 2018. "The RMB central parity formation mechanism: August 2015 to December 2016," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 223-243.
    19. Eraslan, Sercan, 2017. "Asymmetric arbitrage trading on offshore and onshore renminbi markets," Discussion Papers 13/2017, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    20. Hailong Jin & Wisdom Takumah & Josiah Jorenby, 2018. "Currency Internationalization and the International Price System," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 24(4), pages 303-309, November.
    21. repec:eee:ecmode:v:75:y:2018:i:c:p:81-92 is not listed on IDEAS
    22. Kunze, Frederik & Basse, Tobias & Wegener, Christoph & Spiwoks, Markus, 2018. "The emergence of the RMB: A "New Normal" for China's exchange rate system?," Center for European, Governance and Economic Development Research Discussion Papers 348, University of Goettingen, Department of Economics.
    23. Andrea Fracasso, 2015. "Economic Rebalancing and Growth: the Japanese experience and China’s prospects," DEM Discussion Papers 2015/07, Department of Economics and Management.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    foreign exchange market microstructure; order flow; limit-order imbalance; CNH; CNY; central parity rate;

    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F33 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation

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