IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/rfb/journl/v16y2024i2p295-308.html

The Effects of COVID-19 and their Mitigation through Fiscal Policy: Results from a DSGE Model with Financial Frictions

Author

Listed:
  • Stefania Stancu

Abstract

This study investigates the effectiveness of fiscal policy in macroeconomic stabilization during the COVID-19 health crisis through a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) model, incorporating financial frictions and using Romanian empirical data from 2007-2020. We analyse the impact of a consumption and labour demand shock similar to the ones occurring during the COVID-19 health crisis and explore how discretionary fiscal measures can modulate their effects. The findings suggest that increased government spending during the economic downturns of COVID-19 appears to mitigate some of the adverse effects, particularly on output and investment. While consumption does not seem to benefit significantly from fiscal stimulus, public spending helps to moderate declines in output and bolsters investment, especially in scenarios with a financial accelerator.

Suggested Citation

  • Stefania Stancu, 2024. "The Effects of COVID-19 and their Mitigation through Fiscal Policy: Results from a DSGE Model with Financial Frictions," The Review of Finance and Banking, Academia de Studii Economice din Bucuresti, Romania / Facultatea de Finante, Asigurari, Banci si Burse de Valori / Catedra de Finante, vol. 16(2), pages 295-308, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:rfb:journl:v:16:y:2024:i:2:p:295-308
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://rfb.ase.ro/articole/RFB_2024V2_art_7.pdf
    File Function: Full text
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Lawrence Christiano & Martin Eichenbaum & Sergio Rebelo, 2011. "When Is the Government Spending Multiplier Large?," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 119(1), pages 78-121.
    2. Christopher Erceg & Jesper Lindé, 2014. "Is There A Fiscal Free Lunch In A Liquidity Trap?," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 12(1), pages 73-107, February.
    3. Dorine Boumans & Pauliina Sandqvist & Stefan Sauer, 2020. "World Economy: What Does the Road to Recovery from COVID-19 Look Like? Expert Survey on Worldwide Effects of the Pandemic," EconPol Policy Reports 26, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
    4. Calvo, Guillermo A., 1983. "Staggered prices in a utility-maximizing framework," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 12(3), pages 383-398, September.
    5. Faria-e-Castro, Miguel, 2021. "Fiscal policy during a pandemic," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    6. Drygalla, Andrej & Holtemöller, Oliver & Kiesel, Konstantin, 2020. "The Effects Of Fiscal Policy In An Estimated Dsge Model—The Case Of The German Stimulus Packages During The Great Recession," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 24(6), pages 1315-1345, September.
    7. Ratto Marco & Roeger Werner & Veld Jan, 2006. "Fiscal Policy in an estimated open-economy model for the EURO area," Computing in Economics and Finance 2006 43, Society for Computational Economics.
    8. Cardani, Roberta & Croitorov, Olga & Giovannini, Massimo & Pfeiffer, Philipp & Ratto, Marco & Vogel, Lukas, 2022. "The euro area’s pandemic recession: A DSGE-based interpretation," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    9. Townsend, Robert M., 1979. "Optimal contracts and competitive markets with costly state verification," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 21(2), pages 265-293, October.
    10. Bhattarai, Keshab & Trzeciakiewicz, Dawid, 2017. "Macroeconomic impacts of fiscal policy shocks in the UK: A DSGE analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 321-338.
    11. Gallegati, Marco & Giri, Federico & Palestrini, Antonio, 2019. "DSGE model with financial frictions over subsets of business cycle frequencies," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 152-163.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Stancu, Stefania, 2024. "The effects of fiscal policy during COVID-19 pandemic in Romania. The results of a DSGE model with financial frictions," MPRA Paper 121322, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2024.
    2. Richard McManus & F. Gulcin Ozkan & Dawid Trzeciakiewicz, 2014. "Self-defeating austerity at the zero lower bound," Discussion Papers 14/24, Department of Economics, University of York.
    3. Richard McManus & Gulcin Ozkan & Dawid Trzeciakiewicz, 2019. "Expansionary Contractions and Fiscal Free Lunches: Too Good To Be True?," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 121(1), pages 32-54, January.
    4. Jasmin Sin, 2016. "The Fiscal Multiplier in Small Open Economy: The Role of Liquidity Frictions," IMF Working Papers 2016/138, International Monetary Fund.
    5. Michael Funke & Raphael Terasa, 2020. "Will Germany's Temporary VAT Tax Rates Cut as Part of the Covid-19 Fiscal Stimulus Package Boost Consumption and Growth?," CESifo Working Paper Series 8765, CESifo.
    6. Javier Andres & Oscar Arce & Dominik Thaler & Carlos Thomas, 2020. "When Fiscal Consolidation Meets Private Deleveraging," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 37, pages 214-233, July.
    7. Richard McManus, 2018. "Fiscal Trade‐Offs: The Relationship Between Output and Debt in Policy Interventions," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 86(S1), pages 50-82, September.
    8. Gomes, Sandra, 2018. "Euro area structural reforms in times of a global crisis," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 28-45.
    9. Jeffrey R. Campbell, 2014. "Quantitative Easing in Joseph's Egypt with Keynesian Producers," Working Paper Series WP-2014-15, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    10. Stähler, Nikolai & Thomas, Carlos, 2012. "FiMod — A DSGE model for fiscal policy simulations," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(2), pages 239-261.
    11. Takyi, Paul Owusu & Leon-Gonzalez, Roberto, 2020. "Macroeconomic impact of fiscal policy in Ghana: Analysis of an estimated DSGE model with financial exclusion," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 239-260.
    12. Mendicino, Caterina & Nikolov, Kalin & Suarez, Javier & Supera, Dominik, 2020. "Bank capital in the short and in the long run," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(C), pages 64-79.
    13. Richard McManus & F. Gulcin Ozkan & Dawid Trzeciakiewicz, 2014. "Who is afraid of austerity? The redistributive impact of fiscal policy in a DSGE framework," Discussion Papers 14/22, Department of Economics, University of York.
    14. Coenen, Günter & Straub, Roland & Trabandt, Mathias, 2013. "Gauging the effects of fiscal stimulus packages in the euro area," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 367-386.
    15. Shah, Sayar Ahmad & Garg, Bhavesh, 2023. "Testing policy effectiveness during COVID-19: An NK-DSGE analysis," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    16. Matthieu Darracq Paries & Georg Muller & Niki Papadopoulou, 2022. "Fiscal Multipliers with Sovereign Risk and Fragile Banks," Working Papers 2022-5, Central Bank of Cyprus.
    17. Lawrence J. Christiano & Martin S. Eichenbaum & Mathias Trabandt, 2018. "On DSGE Models," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 32(3), pages 113-140, Summer.
    18. Charles de Beauffort, 2024. "Looking Beyond the Trap: Fiscal Legacy and Central Bank Independence," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 86(2), pages 385-416, April.
    19. Boneva, Lena Mareen & Braun, R. Anton & Waki, Yuichiro, 2016. "Some unpleasant properties of loglinearized solutions when the nominal rate is zero," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 216-232.
    20. Hristov, Atanas, 2022. "Credit spread and the transmission of government purchases shocks," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 107(C).

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:rfb:journl:v:16:y:2024:i:2:p:295-308. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Tatu Lucian (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/ffasero.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.