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Real exchange rate and economic complexity in a North-South structuralist BoPG model

Author

Listed:
  • Luciano Ferreira Gabriel

    (Universidade Federal de Vi?osa, Brazil)

  • Fabricio Jose Missio

    (Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais)

Abstract

The main objective of this work is to analyze theoretically and empirically the interrelationships between the real exchange rate (RER) and the economic complexity level in a Keynesian-Structuralist framework for two regions, the (developed) North and the (developing) South. In the analysis presented here, the RER level matters for influencing the industrial (manufacturing) share of GDP as well as the GDP growth rate compatible with the balance-of-payments equilibrium. Higher levels of economic complexity influence the South growth rate, depending on the effects of innovation, knowledge stock, and human capital on international trade. The empirical evidence in panel data suggests that undervalued RER and a higher manufacturing share in the developing-countries sample exhibit positive and significant effects on the economic complexity level.

Suggested Citation

  • Luciano Ferreira Gabriel & Fabricio Jose Missio, 2018. "Real exchange rate and economic complexity in a North-South structuralist BoPG model," PSL Quarterly Review, Economia civile, vol. 71(287), pages 439-465.
    • Handle: RePEc:psl:pslqrr:2018:44
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    Cited by:

    1. Felipe Orsolin Teixeira & Fabricio Jose Missio & Ricardo Dathein, 2022. "Economic complexity, structural transformation and economic growth in a regional context: Evidence for Brazil," PSL Quarterly Review, Economia civile, vol. 75(300), pages 63-79.
    2. Luciano Ferreira Gabriel & Luiz Carlos De Santana Ribeiro & Frederico Gonzaga Jayme Jr. & Jose Luis Oreiro, 2020. "Manufactoring, economic growth, and real exchange rate: Empirical evidence in panel data and input-output multipliers," PSL Quarterly Review, Economia civile, vol. 73(292), pages 51-75.
    3. Kemal Erkisi & Melike Cetin, 2024. "Dynamics of Economic Complexity in Canada: A Multifaceted Long-Term Analysis," Economic Studies journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 7, pages 3-20.
    4. Hugo Iasco-Pereira & Fabricio José Missio, 2022. "Would a competitive real exchange rate be a driver of economic prosperity?," PSL Quarterly Review, Economia civile, vol. 75(303), pages 355-383.
    5. JosŽ Luis Oreiro & Luciano Luiz Manarin & Paulo Gala, 2020. "Deindustrialization, economic complexity and exchange rate overvaluation: the case of Brazil (1998-2017)," PSL Quarterly Review, Economia civile, vol. 73(295), pages 313-341.

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    JEL classification:

    • O10 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - General
    • O33 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - Technological Change: Choices and Consequences; Diffusion Processes
    • L16 - Industrial Organization - - Market Structure, Firm Strategy, and Market Performance - - - Industrial Organization and Macroeconomics; Macroeconomic Industrial Structure

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