IDEAS home Printed from
   My bibliography  Save this article

Epargne privée, solde budgétaire et taux de change réel


  • Laurent Maurin


[fre] Afin de déterminer les taux de change réels d'équilibre de l'euro et du dollar, nous étudions le déficit public comme facteur de distorsion de change. Nous montrons la possibilité, à court et à moyen terme, de sur-réaction du taux de change réel à une variation du solde budgétaire. En intégrant cette variable au modèle du taux de change naturel, nous estimons alors la dynamique du dollar ainsi que celle d'un euro fictif que nous construisons. Pour cela, nous déterminons une variable approchant le taux de préférence pour le présent, variable exogène du modèle. [eng] Private saving, fiscal balance and real exchange rate.. . We develop a simple model which integrates the public deficit in an equilibrium exchange rate model framework. This allows us to expose the overshooting of the exchange rate following a variation of the fiscal balance. Integrating this variable into the NATREX model, we estimate the dollar and the euro dynamics, constucting a fictive euro and a natural saving rate which approximates the time preference.

Suggested Citation

  • Laurent Maurin, 2001. "Epargne privée, solde budgétaire et taux de change réel," Revue Économique, Programme National Persée, vol. 52(1), pages 117-133.
  • Handle: RePEc:prs:reveco:reco_0035-2764_2001_num_52_1_410303
    Note: DOI:10.3406/reco.2001.410303

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL:
    Download Restriction: Data and metadata provided by Persée are licensed under a Creative Commons "Attribution-Noncommercial-Share Alike 3.0" License

    File URL:
    Download Restriction: Data and metadata provided by Persée are licensed under a Creative Commons "Attribution-Noncommercial-Share Alike 3.0" License

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    1. R. Aversi & G. Dosi & G. Fagiolo & M. Meacci & C. Olivetti, 1997. "Demand Dynamics With Socially Evolving Preferences," Working Papers ir97081, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis.
    2. Creane, Anthony, 1995. "Endogenous Learning, Learning by Doing and Information Sharing," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 36(4), pages 985-1002, November.
    3. Cowan, Robin, 1991. "Tortoises and Hares: Choice among Technologies of Unknown Merit," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 101(407), pages 801-814, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    More about this item


    Access and download statistics


    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:prs:reveco:reco_0035-2764_2001_num_52_1_410303. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Equipe PERSEE). General contact details of provider: .

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service hosted by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis . RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.