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Financial and market risks of bitcoin adoption as legal tender: evidence from El Salvador

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Listed:
  • Griffin Msefula

    (National Dong Hwa University)

  • Tony Chieh-Tse Hou

    (National Dong Hwa University)

  • Tina Lemesi

    (National Dong Hwa University)

Abstract

Bitcoin adoption as a legal tender threatens a financial crisis because of the lack of regulatory frameworks and systems for exchanging Bitcoin into local currencies. This study analyzes monthly data from 2010 to 2022 using a structural vector autoregressive model, estimating Bitcoin’s pass-through into remittance, money multiplier, the US Dollar index, and gold price. The results show that Bitcoin prices decrease the money multiplier and gold prices in both the short and long run, while remittances moderately increase in the long run. The implication of these results suggests the potential for international business opportunities to stimulate the credit, savings, and investment monetary policy channel. The results are robust to alternative SVAR identification strategies.

Suggested Citation

  • Griffin Msefula & Tony Chieh-Tse Hou & Tina Lemesi, 2024. "Financial and market risks of bitcoin adoption as legal tender: evidence from El Salvador," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 11(1), pages 1-15, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:pal:palcom:v:11:y:2024:i:1:d:10.1057_s41599-024-03908-3
    DOI: 10.1057/s41599-024-03908-3
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