IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/pal/jorsoc/v60y2009i9d10.1057_palgrave.jors.2602646.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Predicting consumer preference for fast-food franchises: a data mining approach

Author

Listed:
  • Y Hayashi

    (Meiji University Higashimita)

  • M-H Hsieh

    (National Taiwan University)

  • R Setiono

    (National University of Singapore)

Abstract

The objectives of the study reported in this paper are: (1) to evaluate the adequacy of two data mining techniques, decision tree and neural network in analysing consumer preference for a fast-food franchise and (2) to examine the sufficiency of the criteria selected in understanding this preference. We build decision tree and neural network models to fit data samples collected from 800 respondents in Taiwan to understand the factors that determine their brand preference. Classification rules are generated from these models to differentiate between consumers who prefer the brand and those who do not. The generated rules show that while both decision tree and neural network models can achieve predictive accuracy of more than 80% on the training data samples and more that 70% on the cross-validation data samples, the neural network models compare very favourably to a decision tree model in rule complexity and the numbers of relevant input attributes.

Suggested Citation

  • Y Hayashi & M-H Hsieh & R Setiono, 2009. "Predicting consumer preference for fast-food franchises: a data mining approach," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 60(9), pages 1221-1229, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:pal:jorsoc:v:60:y:2009:i:9:d:10.1057_palgrave.jors.2602646
    DOI: 10.1057/palgrave.jors.2602646
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1057/palgrave.jors.2602646
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1057/palgrave.jors.2602646?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Jean-Marie Blin & Joe A. Dodson, 1980. "The Relationship between Attributes, Brand Preference, and Choice: A Stochastic View," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 26(6), pages 606-619, June.
    2. Vroomen, Bjorn & Hans Franses, Philip & van Nierop, Erjen, 2004. "Modeling consideration sets and brand choice using artificial neural networks," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 154(1), pages 206-217, April.
    3. Aneel Karnani, 1985. "Strategic Implications of Market Share Attraction Models," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 31(5), pages 536-547, May.
    4. van Wezel, Michiel & Potharst, Rob, 2007. "Improved customer choice predictions using ensemble methods," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 181(1), pages 436-452, August.
    5. Wagner A. Kamakura & Byung-Do Kim & Jonathan Lee, 1996. "Modeling Preference and Structural Heterogeneity in Consumer Choice," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 15(2), pages 152-172.
    6. Hruschka, Harald & Natter, Martin, 1999. "Comparing performance of feedforward neural nets and K-means for cluster-based market segmentation," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 114(2), pages 346-353, April.
    7. Laroche, Michel & Hui, Michael & Zhou, Lianxi, 1994. "A test of the effects of competition on consumer brand selection processes," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 31(2-3), pages 171-181.
    8. Bagozzi, Richard P & Warshaw, Paul R, 1990. "Trying to Consume," Journal of Consumer Research, Journal of Consumer Research Inc., vol. 17(2), pages 127-140, September.
    9. Fish, Kelly E. & Johnson, John D. & Dorsey, Robert E. & Blodgett, Jeffery G., 2004. "Using an artificial neural network trained with a genetic algorithm to model brand share," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 57(1), pages 79-85, January.
    10. Laroche, Michel & Takahashi, Ikuo & Kalamas, Maria & Teng, Lefa, 2005. "Modeling the selection of fast-food franchises among Japanese consumers," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 58(8), pages 1121-1131, August.
    11. R Setiono & S-L Pan & M-H Hsieh & A Azcarraga, 2005. "Automatic knowledge extraction from survey data: learning M-of-N constructs using a hybrid approach," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 56(1), pages 3-14, January.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. YongSeog Kim & W. Nick Street & Gary J. Russell & Filippo Menczer, 2005. "Customer Targeting: A Neural Network Approach Guided by Genetic Algorithms," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 51(2), pages 264-276, February.
    2. Ringle, Christian M. & Sarstedt, Marko & Schlittgen, Rainer & Taylor, Charles R., 2013. "PLS path modeling and evolutionary segmentation," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 66(9), pages 1318-1324.
    3. Farid Bagheri & Diego Reforgiato Recupero & Espen Sirnes, 2023. "Leveraging Return Prediction Approaches for Improved Value-at-Risk Estimation," Data, MDPI, vol. 8(8), pages 1-22, August.
    4. Laroche, Michel & Kalamas, Maria & Huang, Qinchao, 2005. "Effects of coupons on brand categorization and choice of fast foods in China," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 58(5), pages 674-686, May.
    5. Heungsun Hwang & Marc Tomiuk, 2010. "Fuzzy clusterwise quasi-likelihood generalized linear models," Advances in Data Analysis and Classification, Springer;German Classification Society - Gesellschaft für Klassifikation (GfKl);Japanese Classification Society (JCS);Classification and Data Analysis Group of the Italian Statistical Society (CLADAG);International Federation of Classification Societies (IFCS), vol. 4(4), pages 255-270, December.
    6. Das, Gopal, 2014. "Factors affecting Indian shoppers׳ attitude and purchase intention: An empirical check," Journal of Retailing and Consumer Services, Elsevier, vol. 21(4), pages 561-569.
    7. Kai-Lung Hui, 2004. "Product Variety Under Brand Influence: An Empirical Investigation of Personal Computer Demand," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 50(5), pages 686-700, May.
    8. Minjung Kyung & Ju-Hyun Park & Ji Yeh Choi, 2022. "Bayesian Mixture Model of Extended Redundancy Analysis," Psychometrika, Springer;The Psychometric Society, vol. 87(3), pages 946-966, September.
    9. Paas, L.J. & Bijmolt, T.H.A. & Vermunt, J.K., 2004. "Extending dynamic segmentation with lead generation : A latent class Markov analysis of financial product portfolios," Discussion Paper 2004-1, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
    10. Awi Federgruen & Nan Yang, 2009. "Competition Under Generalized Attraction Models: Applications to Quality Competition Under Yield Uncertainty," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 55(12), pages 2028-2043, December.
    11. Alegre, Joaquín & Mateo, Sara & Pou, Llorenç, 2011. "A latent class approach to tourists’ length of stay," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 32(3), pages 555-563.
    12. Dellaert, B.G.C. & Arentze, T. & Bierlaire, M. & Borgers, A. & Timmermans, H.J.P., 1997. "Investigating consumers' tendency to combine multiple shopping purposes and destinations," Other publications TiSEM bcd54ace-55dc-41c8-9050-0, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    13. Schmidt, Robert J., 2019. "Do injunctive or descriptive social norms elicited using coordination games better explain social preferences?," Working Papers 0668, University of Heidelberg, Department of Economics.
    14. Cang, Shuang & Yu, Hongnian, 2014. "A combination selection algorithm on forecasting," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 234(1), pages 127-139.
    15. Pando-Garcia, Julián & Periañez-Cañadillas, Iñaki & Charterina, Jon, 2016. "Business simulation games with and without supervision: An analysis based on the TAM model," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 69(5), pages 1731-1736.
    16. Teng, Lefa, 2009. "A comparison of two types of price discounts in shifting consumers' attitudes and purchase intentions," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 62(1), pages 14-21, January.
    17. Anna Walaszczyk & Małgorzata Koszewska & Iwona Staniec, 2022. "Food Traceability as an Element of Sustainable Consumption—Pandemic-Driven Changes in Consumer Attitudes," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(9), pages 1-18, April.
    18. Hauser, John R., 2014. "Consideration-set heuristics," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 67(8), pages 1688-1699.
    19. Yasemin Boztug & Lutz Hildebrandt, 2005. "An empirical test of theories of price valuation using a semiparametric approach, reference prices, and accounting for heterogeneity," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2005-057, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany.
    20. Jeroen P.J. de Jong, 2013. "The Decision to Exploit Opportunities for Innovation: A Study of High–Tech Small–Business Owners," Entrepreneurship Theory and Practice, , vol. 37(2), pages 281-301, March.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:pal:jorsoc:v:60:y:2009:i:9:d:10.1057_palgrave.jors.2602646. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.palgrave-journals.com/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.