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A VAR Analysis Regarding Tax Evasion and Tax Pressure in Romania

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  • BoÈ™tină Florin

    (West University of Timisoara)

Abstract

The tax burden is viewed, in both empirical and theoretical studies, as the main determinant of tax evasion and the shadow economy. There is an increasing fiscal pressure which suggest that taxpayers are affected by a stable over-burden of fiscal pressure due to tax evasion. Furthermore, the stability of the overburden gap could be considered a signal of the absence of a vicious circle between tax evasion and tax rates, through tax base erosion. The main aim of the paper is to identify the relationship that exists between tax evasion and tax pressure in Romania, between 2000 and 2013, using an autoregressive vector type of analysis. The VAR model with 3 lags can be considered as representative in order to describe autoregressive links between tax evasion and fiscal pressure in Romania.

Suggested Citation

  • BoÈ™tină Florin, 2017. "A VAR Analysis Regarding Tax Evasion and Tax Pressure in Romania," Ovidius University Annals, Economic Sciences Series, Ovidius University of Constantza, Faculty of Economic Sciences, vol. 0(2), pages 505-509, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:ovi:oviste:v:xvii:y:2017:i:2:p:505-509
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Bruno Chiarini & Elisabetta Marzano & Friedrich Schneider, "undated". "Tax rates and Tax evasion: an Empirical Analysis of the Structural Aspects and Long-Run Characteristics in Italy," Working Papers wp2009-1, Department of the Treasury, Ministry of the Economy and of Finance.
    2. Raymond Fisman & Shang-Jin Wei, 2004. "Tax Rates and Tax Evasion: Evidence from "Missing Imports" in China," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 112(2), pages 471-500, April.
    3. Joel Slemrod, 2007. "Cheating Ourselves: The Economics of Tax Evasion," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 21(1), pages 25-48, Winter.
    4. Tamás K. Papp & Elöd Takáts, 2008. "Tax Rate Cuts and Tax Compliance—The Laffer Curve Revisited," IMF Working Papers 2008/007, International Monetary Fund.
    5. Bruno Chiarini & Elisabetta Marzano & Friedrich Schneider, 2013. "Tax rates and tax evasion: an empirical analysis of the long-run aspects in Italy," European Journal of Law and Economics, Springer, vol. 35(2), pages 273-293, April.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    tax evasion; tax pressure; economic growth; VAR;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • H26 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - Tax Evasion and Avoidance
    • H71 - Public Economics - - State and Local Government; Intergovernmental Relations - - - State and Local Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue

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