IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/nat/natsus/v6y2023i11d10.1038_s41893-023-01155-z.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Change in cooling degree days with global mean temperature rise increasing from 1.5 °C to 2.0 °C

Author

Listed:
  • Nicole D. Miranda

    (University of Oxford
    University of Oxford)

  • Jesus Lizana

    (University of Oxford
    University of Oxford)

  • Sarah N. Sparrow

    (University of Oxford)

  • Miriam Zachau-Walker

    (University of Oxford)

  • Peter A. G. Watson

    (University of Bristol)

  • David C. H. Wallom

    (University of Oxford)

  • Radhika Khosla

    (University of Oxford
    University of Oxford)

  • Malcolm McCulloch

    (University of Oxford
    University of Oxford)

Abstract

Limiting global mean temperature rise to 1.5 °C is increasingly out of reach. Here we show the impact on global cooling demand in moving from 1.5 °C to 2.0 °C of global warming. African countries have the highest increase in cooling requirements. Switzerland, the United Kingdom and Norway (traditionally unprepared for heat) will suffer the largest relative cooling demand surges. Immediate and unprecedented adaptation interventions are required worldwide to be prepared for a hotter world.

Suggested Citation

  • Nicole D. Miranda & Jesus Lizana & Sarah N. Sparrow & Miriam Zachau-Walker & Peter A. G. Watson & David C. H. Wallom & Radhika Khosla & Malcolm McCulloch, 2023. "Change in cooling degree days with global mean temperature rise increasing from 1.5 °C to 2.0 °C," Nature Sustainability, Nature, vol. 6(11), pages 1326-1330, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natsus:v:6:y:2023:i:11:d:10.1038_s41893-023-01155-z
    DOI: 10.1038/s41893-023-01155-z
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41893-023-01155-z
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1038/s41893-023-01155-z?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Yacob Mulugetta & Youba Sokona & Philipp A. Trotter & Samuel Fankhauser & Jessica Omukuti & Lucas Somavilla Croxatto & Bjarne Steffen & Meron Tesfamichael & Edo Abraham & Jean-Paul Adam & Lawrence Agb, 2022. "Africa needs context-relevant evidence to shape its clean energy future," Nature Energy, Nature, vol. 7(11), pages 1015-1022, November.
    2. Mutschler, Robin & Rüdisüli, Martin & Heer, Philipp & Eggimann, Sven, 2021. "Benchmarking cooling and heating energy demands considering climate change, population growth and cooling device uptake," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 288(C).
    3. Léopold T. Biardeau & Lucas W. Davis & Paul Gertler & Catherine Wolfram, 2020. "Heat exposure and global air conditioning," Nature Sustainability, Nature, vol. 3(1), pages 25-28, January.
    4. Radhika Khosla & Nicole D. Miranda & Philipp A. Trotter & Antonella Mazzone & Renaldi Renaldi & Caitlin McElroy & Francois Cohen & Anant Jani & Rafael Perera-Salazar & Malcolm McCulloch, 2021. "Cooling for sustainable development," Nature Sustainability, Nature, vol. 4(3), pages 201-208, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Zhu, Mengshu & Huang, Ying & Wang, Si-Nuo & Zheng, Xinye & Wei, Chu, 2023. "Characteristics and patterns of residential energy consumption for space cooling in China: Evidence from appliance-level data," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 265(C).
    2. Rüdisüli, Martin & Romano, Elliot & Eggimann, Sven & Patel, Martin K., 2022. "Decarbonization strategies for Switzerland considering embedded greenhouse gas emissions in electricity imports," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 162(C).
    3. Rao, Congjun & Zhang, Yue & Wen, Jianghui & Xiao, Xinping & Goh, Mark, 2023. "Energy demand forecasting in China: A support vector regression-compositional data second exponential smoothing model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 263(PC).
    4. Olivier Deschenes, 2022. "The impact of climate change on mortality in the United States: Benefits and costs of adaptation," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 55(3), pages 1227-1249, August.
    5. Florian Egli & Churchill Agutu & Bjarne Steffen & Tobias S. Schmidt, 2023. "The cost of electrifying all households in 40 Sub-Saharan African countries by 2030," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-10, December.
    6. Meeks, Robyn C. & Omuraliev, Arstan & Isaev, Ruslan & Wang, Zhenxuan, 2023. "Impacts of electricity quality improvements: Experimental evidence on infrastructure investments," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    7. Ayou, Dereje S. & Wardhana, Muhammad Fa'iq Vidi & Coronas, Alberto, 2023. "Performance analysis of a reversible water/LiBr absorption heat pump connected to district heating network in warm and cold climates," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 268(C).
    8. Xiong, Chengyan & Meng, Qinglong & Wei, Ying'an & Luo, Huilong & Lei, Yu & Liu, Jiao & Yan, Xiuying, 2023. "A demand response method for an active thermal energy storage air-conditioning system using improved transactive control: On-site experiments," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 339(C).
    9. Trotter, Philipp A. & Brophy, Aoife, 2022. "Policy mixes for business model innovation: The case of off-grid energy for sustainable development in sub-Saharan Africa," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 51(6).
    10. Filippo Pavanello & Enrica Cian & Marinella Davide & Malcolm Mistry & Talita Cruz & Paula Bezerra & Dattakiran Jagu & Sebastian Renner & Roberto Schaeffer & André F. P. Lucena, 2021. "Air-conditioning and the adaptation cooling deficit in emerging economies," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 12(1), pages 1-11, December.
    11. Zhe Li & Feng Wu & Huiqiang Ma & Zhanjun Xu & Shaohua Wang, 2022. "Spatiotemporal Evolution and Relationship between Night Time Light and Land Surface Temperature: A Case Study of Beijing, China," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-24, April.
    12. De Masi, Rosa Francesca & Gigante, Antonio & Ruggiero, Silvia & Vanoli, Giuseppe Peter, 2021. "Impact of weather data and climate change projections in the refurbishment design of residential buildings in cooling dominated climate," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 303(C).
    13. Müller, Leander A. & Leonard, Alycia & Trotter, Philipp A. & Hirmer, Stephanie, 2023. "Green hydrogen production and use in low- and middle-income countries: A least-cost geospatial modelling approach applied to Kenya," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 343(C).
    14. Perera, A.T.D. & Hong, Tianzhen, 2023. "Vulnerability and resilience of urban energy ecosystems to extreme climate events: A systematic review and perspectives," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 173(C).
    15. Mustafa Saglam & Catalina Spataru & Omer Ali Karaman, 2023. "Forecasting Electricity Demand in Turkey Using Optimization and Machine Learning Algorithms," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(11), pages 1-23, June.
    16. Xingchi Shen & Yueming Lucy Qiu & Pengfei Liu & Anand Patwardhan, 2022. "The Effect of Rebate and Loan Incentives on Residential Heat Pump Adoption: Evidence from North Carolina," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 82(3), pages 741-789, July.
    17. Kahn,Matthew Edwin & Lall,Somik V., 2022. "Will the Developing World’s Growing Middle Class Support Low-Carbon Policies ?," Policy Research Working Paper Series 10125, The World Bank.
    18. Wang, Bingqing & Li, Yongping & Huang, Guohe & Gao, Pangpang & Liu, Jing & Wen, Yizhuo, 2023. "Development of an integrated BLSVM-MFA method for analyzing renewable power-generation potential under climate change: A case study of Xiamen," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 337(C).
    19. Liddle, Brantley & Huntington, Hillard, 2021. "How prices, income, and weather shape household electricity demand in high-income and middle-income countries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    20. Pan He & Pengfei Liu & Yueming (Lucy) Qiu & Lufan Liu, 2022. "The weather affects air conditioner purchases to fill the energy efficiency gap," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-8, December.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:nat:natsus:v:6:y:2023:i:11:d:10.1038_s41893-023-01155-z. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.nature.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.