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The need for bottom-up assessments of climate risks and adaptation in climate-sensitive regions

Author

Listed:
  • Declan Conway

    (Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment, London School of Economics and Political Science)

  • Robert J. Nicholls

    (University of Southampton)

  • Sally Brown

    (University of Southampton
    Bournemouth University)

  • Mark G. L. Tebboth

    (University of East Anglia
    University of East Anglia)

  • William Neil Adger

    (University of Exeter)

  • Bashir Ahmad

    (National Agricultural Research Centre, NIH)

  • Hester Biemans

    (Wageningen University and Research)

  • Florence Crick

    (Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment, London School of Economics and Political Science
    International Institute for Environment and Development)

  • Arthur F. Lutz

    (FutureWater
    Utrecht University)

  • Ricardo Safra Campos

    (University of Exeter)

  • Mohammed Said

    (Kenya Markets Trust)

  • Chandni Singh

    (Indian Institute for Human Settlements)

  • Modathir Abdalla Hassan Zaroug

    (University of Cape Town)

  • Eva Ludi

    (Overseas Development Institute)

  • Mark New

    (University of East Anglia
    University of Cape Town)

  • Philippus Wester

    (International Centre for Integrated Mountain Development)

Abstract

Studies of climate change at specific intervals of future warming have primarily been addressed through top-down approaches using climate projections and modelled impacts. In contrast, bottom-up approaches focus on the recent past and present vulnerability. Here, we examine climate signals at different increments of warming and consider the need to reconcile top-down and bottom-up approaches. We synthesise insights from recent studies in three climate-sensitive systems where change is a defining feature of the human-environment system. Whilst top-down and bottom-up approaches generate complementary insights into who and what is at risk, integrating their results is a much-needed step towards developing relevant information to address the needs of immediate adaptation decisions.

Suggested Citation

  • Declan Conway & Robert J. Nicholls & Sally Brown & Mark G. L. Tebboth & William Neil Adger & Bashir Ahmad & Hester Biemans & Florence Crick & Arthur F. Lutz & Ricardo Safra Campos & Mohammed Said & Ch, 2019. "The need for bottom-up assessments of climate risks and adaptation in climate-sensitive regions," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 9(7), pages 503-511, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcli:v:9:y:2019:i:7:d:10.1038_s41558-019-0502-0
    DOI: 10.1038/s41558-019-0502-0
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. McDermott, T.K.J. & Surminski, S., 2018. "Normative interpretations of climate risk assessment and how it affects local decision making – a study at the city scale in Cork, Ireland," Working Papers 309607, National University of Ireland, Galway, Socio-Economic Marine Research Unit.
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