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A Comparison of Currency Crisis Dating Methods: Turkey 1990-2014

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  • Ali Ari
  • Raif Cergibozan

Abstract

This paper aims to assess the robustness of currency crisis dating methods. Hence, we reproduce a broad set of the ten most representative indicators from the literature, and develop two new crisis indicators derived from Cointegration and ARDL Bounds tests for the Turkish economy which underwent several currency crises over the last 30 years.

Suggested Citation

  • Ali Ari & Raif Cergibozan, 2016. "A Comparison of Currency Crisis Dating Methods: Turkey 1990-2014," Montenegrin Journal of Economics, Economic Laboratory for Transition Research (ELIT), vol. 12(3), pages 19-37.
  • Handle: RePEc:mje:mjejnl:v:12:y:2016:i:3:p:19-37
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    1. Adem Gök & Nihat Tak, 2023. "Dating Currency Crisis and Assessing the Determinants Based on Meta Fuzzy Index Functions," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 61(3), pages 1225-1250, March.
    2. Ari, Ali & Cergibozan, Raif, 2018. "Currency crises in Turkey: An empirical assessment," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 281-293.
    3. Nihat Tak & Adem Gök, 2022. "Dating currency crises and designing early warning systems: Meta‐possibilistic fuzzy index functions," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(3), pages 3773-3790, July.
    4. Adem Baltaci & Raif Cergibozan & Ali Ari, 2022. "Cultural values and the global financial crisis: a missing link?," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 12(3), pages 507-529, September.
    5. Boonman, Tjeerd Menno, 2019. "Dating currency crises in emerging market economies," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 273-286.

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