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Does Uncovered Interest Rate Parity Hold After All?

Author

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  • Muhammad Omer

    (University of Groningen, Faculty of Economics and Business, PO Box 800, 9700 AV Groningen, The Netherlands.)

  • Jakob de Haan

    (University of Groningen, Faculty of Economics and Business, PO Box 800, 9700 AV Groningen, The Netherlands. De Nederlandsche Bank, PO Box 98, 1000 AB Amsterdam, The Netherlands. CESifo, Munich, Germany)

  • Bert Scholtens

    (University of Groningen, Faculty of Economics and Business, PO Box 800, 9700 AV Groningen, The Netherlands.)

Abstract

This paper tests Uncovered Interest Rate Parity (UIP) using LIBOR rates for the major international currencies for the period January 2001 to December 2008. We find that UIP generally holds over a short-term horizon for individual and groups of currencies. Our results suggest that it is important to take the cross correlation between currencies into account. We also find that ‘state dependence’ plays an important role for currencies with a negative interest differential vis-à-vis the US. This ‘state dependence’ could also be instrumental in explaining exchange rate overshooting.
(This abstract was borrowed from another version of this item.)

Suggested Citation

  • Muhammad Omer & Jakob de Haan & Bert Scholtens, 2019. "Does Uncovered Interest Rate Parity Hold After All?," Lahore Journal of Economics, Department of Economics, The Lahore School of Economics, vol. 24(2), pages 49-72, July-Dec.
  • Handle: RePEc:lje:journl:v:24:y:2019:i:2:p:49-72
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    Cited by:

    1. Sussman, Nathan & Saadon, Yossi, 2018. "Nominal exchange rate dynamics and monetary policy: uncovered interest rate parity and purchasing power parity revisited," CEPR Discussion Papers 13235, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    2. Peter Ubi & Ishaku Rimamtanung Nyiputen, 2020. "Uncovered Interest Rate Parity and Investment: A Tripartite Analysis of Nigeria, United States of America and China," International Journal of Financial Research, International Journal of Financial Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 11(2), pages 111-127, April.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    UIP; LIBOR; system SUR; system DGLS; system DOLS;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange

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