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Oil Price Shock and Structural Changes in CMEA Trade: Pouring Oil on Troubled Waters?

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  • Elisabeth Beckmann
  • Jarko Fidrmuc

Abstract

We analyse trade between countries of the Council of Mutual Economic Assistance in Eastern Europe between 1950 and 1990. Despite central planning of the CMEA, we show that trade could be explained by standard demand factors surprisingly well. We document that the oil price crisis had several repercussions on Eastern Europe. The Soviet Union as a supplier of crude oil benefited from the energy crisis in the 1970s. By contrast, the individual CMEA countries in Central Europe did not enjoy improved terms of trade with the rest of the world and the CMEA as a whole responded to the oil crisis by intensifying intra-CMEA trade and turning inwards

Suggested Citation

  • Elisabeth Beckmann & Jarko Fidrmuc, 2012. "Oil Price Shock and Structural Changes in CMEA Trade: Pouring Oil on Troubled Waters?," European Journal of Comparative Economics, Cattaneo University (LIUC), vol. 9(1), pages 31-49, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:liu:liucej:v:9:y:2012:i:1:p:31-49
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    5. Beckmann, Elisabeth & Fidrmuc, Jarko, 2009. "Oil Price Shock and Structural Changes in CMEA Trade," Discussion Papers in Economics 10963, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
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    7. Tolonen, Yrjana, 1988. "Some macroeconomic consequences of trade with centrally planned economies," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 12(3), pages 345-361, September.
    8. repec:zbw:bofitp:2008_016 is not listed on IDEAS
    9. Korhonen, Iikka & Ledyaeva, Svetlana, 2010. "Trade linkages and macroeconomic effects of the price of oil," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 32(4), pages 848-856, July.
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    Cited by:

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    3. Allah Morad Seif & Hossein Panahi & Davoud Hamidi Razi, 2017. "An Estimation of The Impact of Economic Sanctions and Oil Price Shocks on Iran-Russian Trade: Evidence from a Gravity- VEC Approach," Iranian Economic Review (IER), Faculty of Economics,University of Tehran.Tehran,Iran, vol. 21(3), pages 469-497, Summer.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Trade; oil price; gravity models; structural breaks;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • N74 - Economic History - - Economic History: Transport, International and Domestic Trade, Energy, and Other Services - - - Europe: 1913-

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