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Does idiosyncratic risk matter in IPO long-run performance?

Author

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  • Marie-Claude Beaulieu

    (Université Laval)

  • Habiba Mrissa Bouden

    (Université de Sousse)

Abstract

This paper studies how firm-level idiosyncratic risk varies over time and affects both initial public offering (IPO) and matched non-IPO firms’ long-run performance. It revisits the traditional approach to compute the long-run performance by conditioning aftermarket performance on idiosyncratic risk with a generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity GARCH-M extension of the standard three-factor Fama and French (3FF) model. Our findings show a positive long-run relationship between idiosyncratic risk and expected returns for almost all IPOs and matched non-IPO firms. We find that, in general, IPOs do not underperform their peers when we adjust long-run abnormal returns for firm-level idiosyncratic risk. We also note that the idiosyncratic risk exposure depends on the IPO profile; it is more important for firms going public in hot-issue markets, undervalued IPOs and high idiosyncratic-risk issues. Thus, this paper suggests that a part of abnormal returns in specific IPOs long-run performance is derived from firm idiosyncratic risk.

Suggested Citation

  • Marie-Claude Beaulieu & Habiba Mrissa Bouden, 2020. "Does idiosyncratic risk matter in IPO long-run performance?," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 55(3), pages 935-981, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:rqfnac:v:55:y:2020:i:3:d:10.1007_s11156-019-00864-x
    DOI: 10.1007/s11156-019-00864-x
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Initial public offerings; Performance measures; Asset pricing; Idiosyncratic risk;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading

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